SURGING 🏥—Hospitalizations for #COVID19 is surging sharply ⬆️ 15.6% in England🏴 again—across **ALL AGE GROUPS**, elderly to kids. Notably, hospitalizations up ⬆️ 26% in kids 6-17 in just 1 week. This is #BA2 subvariant + no mitigations that we warned about.
3) we already have lab evidence that old Omicron BA1 may not protect that much against future variants, especially if unvaccinated or under-vaccinated. Two lab studies showed this in January. We knew it was coming. Many thought it would be April or maybe even May for uptick. 🤔
4) As reminder, #CovidIsNotOver — not by a long shot. #BA2 is still creeping up slowly (or quickly) in most of the world. You only have to look at HK to see how bad it can get. Morgues full. Their hospitals are low on oxygen too.
6) SERIOUSLY— how bad is #COVID19 deaths in Hong Kong 🇭🇰 right now? It is almost “Holy Mary” bad. It’s higher than any record high that US or Europe has ever seen. When hospitals 🏥 & morgues overloaded, it’s not merely “with COVID”—it’s directly #COVID19. HK is undervaccinated.
7) If we just look at the recent (old) Omicron wave, HK’s surge makes the recent wave look tepid (it’s not — it’s the second worst wave the US had). The surge is that severe.
8) The good news is that #Omicron responds to Boosters well — 90-95% protection against hospitalization. However, 2 shots “basic” vax isn’t enough anymore versus Omicron—protection now only 70-79% depending on agent group. ➡️Note—70% is 3x worse than 90% if inverted for 🏥 risk.
9) But don’t you dare for a second thing hospitalizations and deaths are all that matters. Mild #COVID19 infections are risky too — because #longcovid brain 🧠 disruption is very real. Brain fog is no joke… this study is thoroughly peer reviewed—
⚠️BAD TREND—
📌Cases of #COVID19 soaring—across all ages in England 🏴
📌Meanwhile #BA2 is soaring past 50%—across all regions of 🏴 (data even 2 weeks old)
📌Meanwhile, hospital admissions soaring across all 🏴 regions
📌Cases up⬆️ most among kids
3) #BA2 is not mild among unvaccinated and under-vaccinated populations. In Hong Kong 🇭🇰 where BA2 is very dominant, hospitals and morgues are overflowing. Hong Kong has never had a surge of this kind before - not until #BA2 showed up
‘Who could have foreseen this’ BULLSHIT—Whenever COVID inevitably surges again, I DO NOT WANT to hear @CDCDirector or state/local health official (who dropped masks & mitigations) try to claim—“Oh there was no way we could have seen it coming” EVER AGAIN DAMNIT. #CovidIsNotOver👇
2) Time & time again, countless idiotic health officials and self-proclaimed “experts” have claimed COVID is over because cases dropping, herd blah-blah, vaccines enough blah, no need for N95 blah blah, cases don’t matter blah blah, long COVID not real blah blah… I’m sick of it!
3) Whenever you see total cases dropping, it can actually hide a slower undergrowth of a new variant—which we are seeing now with #BA2. BA2 is causing havoc in Asia (Hong Kong, S Korea, Singapore) and in UK 🇬🇧 where hospitalizations also surging again.
⚠️UPDATE—#BA2 is now 11.6% in US, up from 8.3% last week. It’s definitely increasing, as warned. #COVID19 still dropping, but BA2 is growing in underbelly—it’s a matter of when (not ‘if’) case drop plateaus, then reverses. Likely late April, early May.🧵 covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tra…
2) Where is #BA2 highest? In New England (HHS region 1), where BA2 is already 24% of all cases. It’s definitely outcompeting the old original #Omicron which is fading away.
3) #BA2 is not mild among unvaccinated and under-vaccinated populations. In Hong Kong 🇭🇰 where BA2 is very dominant, hospitals and morgues are overflowing. Hong Kong has never had a surge of this kind before - not until BA2 showed up.
📍Not good—the #BA2 subvariant is doubling and tripling very quickly. New York State is reporting 7.7% BA2, up from 2.3% two weeks prior. Regionally, NY/NJ/PR/VI up to 12.4% BA2. And these data are 2 weeks behind! Epidemiologists regard this as Omicron 2.0 coronavirus.health.ny.gov/covid-19-varia…
2) Nationally, #Ba2 is now 8.3%. But this data is from the final week of February— the CDC doesn’t release numbers every week — often when they just feel like it. This graph is log-scale ➡️ which means #BA2’s linear surge is exponential.
3) Is there any place seeing recent new #BA2 dominance and hospitalization increase? Oh yes—England 🏴 is seeing a brand new increase of hospitalizations across all age groups, especially kids. The national data in all age groups doesn’t lie 👇
📍HUGE—Covid may cause greater loss of gray matter and tissue damage in the brain 🧠 than naturally occurs in people who have not been infected with the virus, a new study finds—the first study with both brain scans before and after #COVID19 infection. 🧵 nytimes.com/2022/03/07/hea…
2) The study, involving people aged 51 to 81, found shrinkage and tissue damage primarily in brain areas related to sense of smell; some of those areas are also involved in other brain functions, the researchers said.
3) “To me, this is pretty convincing evidence that something changes in brains of this overall group of people with Covid,” said Dr. Serena Spudich, chief of neurological infections and global neurology at the Yale School of Medicine,
I have a few thoughts about selfishness, COVID, bullying, and life…
(Note—not an “expert” in life—just as a fellow human)🧵
2) First of all, #CovidIsNotOver — not by a long shot. #BA2 is still creeping up slowly (or quickly) in most of the world. I’ll do a #BA2 update soon, but you only have to look at HK to see how bad it can get. Their hospitals are low on oxygen too. But I’m not here about COVID.
3) I’m here to talk about empathy… or the relative lack thereof. People are often too selfish. They think just because THEY are low risk / don’t have vulnerable family, that thus others are too. And thus, ‘why should I do XYZ to reduce transmission if I’m healthy’—it’s selfish.