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Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
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Mar 8 • 7 tweets • 5 min read
📍Not good—the #BA2 subvariant is doubling and tripling very quickly. New York State is reporting 7.7% BA2, up from 2.3% two weeks prior. Regionally, NY/NJ/PR/VI up to 12.4% BA2. And these data are 2 weeks behind! Epidemiologists regard this as Omicron 2.0 coronavirus.health.ny.gov/covid-19-varia…
2) Nationally, #Ba2 is now 8.3%. But this data is from the final week of February— the CDC doesn’t release numbers every week — often when they just feel like it. This graph is log-scale ➡️ which means #BA2’s linear surge is exponential.

Graph by @DrWilliamKu using CDC data.
3) Is there any place seeing recent new #BA2 dominance and hospitalization increase? Oh yes—England 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 is seeing a brand new increase of hospitalizations across all age groups, especially kids. The national data in all age groups doesn’t lie 👇
4) where else is seeing BA2 causing havoc? Hong Kong 🇭🇰 where both hospitalizations are through the roof, and so are deaths. HK hospitals are running in low oxygen as well. Almost all cases are BA2 there.
5) If you think I’m sensationalizing #COVID19 deaths in Hong Kong… trust me, I’m not. The data doesn’t lie. HK per capita deaths has completely outpaced every wave that the US and Europe has had to date. Its that bad. Ask anyone in HK. It’s an utter COVID hell in hospitals there
6) thus don’t think we are immune and impervious to #Ba2. Everyone needs to gather all the compassion and empathy they can for the countless vulnerable people out there still. See my compassion thread 🧵 below.
7) UPDATE— it’s increased again to now #BA2 being 11.6% of all COVID cases — and higher in NY / NJ region too 👇

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More from @DrEricDing

Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
Mar 10
Ever wonder why kids don’t get smallpox vaccine anymore? Because we once decided to eradicate it with #vaccines & 100% containment—& fully EXTINGUISHED smallpox off the face of the Earth 🌍. ➡️ We chose to go **ZERO SMALLPOX** because 500,000,000 deaths in 100 years was enough!! Image
2) So, was the smallpox vaccine some magical miracle 100% efficacy for a lifetime efficacy protection? No, it was 95% and for only 3-5 years, with waning after. It had to be used with contact tracing & village lockdowns to eradicate it—a PLUS strategy. health.ny.gov/publications/7…
3) The eradication of smallpox was no small feat. It took 10 full years to extinguish smallpox off the face of the planet. It was led by the legendary DA Henderson of @JohnsHopkinsSPH @CDCgov and @WHO.

His obituary was epic—by the great @HelenBranswell. statnews.com/2016/08/21/d-a…
Read 20 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
Mar 9
Fine— I’ll say it aloud—Ukraine had a 60% positivity for #COVID19 in mid February, and just before the invasion on Feb. 24, only 35% of Ukrainians were vaccinated. It just makes me sad & worried, that’s all.

📍“War is an infectious disease’s best friend”. time.com/6153254/ukrain…
2) Ukraine’s relatively low vaccination rate could have implications for how large additional surges of cases, both in the country and in the region become as a result of the war.
3) Like many other countries, Ukraine experienced a surge in cases due to the Omicron variant in November and another peak in the first week of February—most likely due to its low level of vaccination.
Read 7 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
Mar 9
Ukrainian 🇺🇦 children are being sent to school wearing stickers indicating their blood🩸 type, but do go on about kids wearing a mask.😠

Children’s hospital bombed today, meanwhile… 👇
Bombing kids hospitals and civilians is war crime. Want to know what else is a crime against humanity and public health? COVID policies to allow mass infection!
I’m gonna say bombing a maternity hospital is most a war crime…
Read 5 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
Mar 9
⚠️BAD TREND—
📌Cases of #COVID19 soaring—across all ages in England 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿
📌Meanwhile #BA2 is soaring past 50%—across all regions of 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 (data even 2 weeks old)
📌Meanwhile, hospital admissions soaring across all 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 regions
📌Cases up⬆️ most among kids

HT @VictimOfMaths ImageImageImage
2) Hospital admissions for COVID in England 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 have soared 21% compared to last week. These are 7 day averages so they aren’t just random flukes.
3) #BA2 is not mild among unvaccinated and under-vaccinated populations. In Hong Kong 🇭🇰 where BA2 is very dominant, hospitals and morgues are overflowing. Hong Kong has never had a surge of this kind before - not until #BA2 showed up
Read 8 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
Mar 9
‘Who could have foreseen this’ BULLSHIT—Whenever COVID inevitably surges again, I DO NOT WANT to hear @CDCDirector or state/local health official (who dropped masks & mitigations) try to claim—“Oh there was no way we could have seen it coming” EVER AGAIN DAMNIT. #CovidIsNotOver👇
2) Time & time again, countless idiotic health officials and self-proclaimed “experts” have claimed COVID is over because cases dropping, herd blah-blah, vaccines enough blah, no need for N95 blah blah, cases don’t matter blah blah, long COVID not real blah blah… I’m sick of it! Image
3) Whenever you see total cases dropping, it can actually hide a slower undergrowth of a new variant—which we are seeing now with #BA2. BA2 is causing havoc in Asia (Hong Kong, S Korea, Singapore) and in UK 🇬🇧 where hospitalizations also surging again.

Figure by @GosiaGasperoPhD Image
Read 9 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
Mar 8
⚠️UPDATE—#BA2 is now 11.6% in US, up from 8.3% last week. It’s definitely increasing, as warned. #COVID19 still dropping, but BA2 is growing in underbelly—it’s a matter of when (not ‘if’) case drop plateaus, then reverses. Likely late April, early May.🧵
covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tra… ImageImage
2) Where is #BA2 highest? In New England (HHS region 1), where BA2 is already 24% of all cases. It’s definitely outcompeting the old original #Omicron which is fading away. Image
3) #BA2 is not mild among unvaccinated and under-vaccinated populations. In Hong Kong 🇭🇰 where BA2 is very dominant, hospitals and morgues are overflowing. Hong Kong has never had a surge of this kind before - not until BA2 showed up.
Read 17 tweets

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