Ted Darling Profile picture
Mar 8 โ€ข 11 tweets โ€ข 3 min read
Hello Tuesday from ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฝ!

The $VIX spiked to the top end of the BB while the $SPX sank to the bottom, and for once the big #dix at 42.1 were not buyers. Is big money now the contra indicator?

Let's dig into the ๐Ÿงฎ!
No relief for late to the ๐Ÿป๐Ÿช… Asian equities โ†˜๏ธ

$NIKK 24791 -1.7%
$SSEC 6980 -0.85%
$TWII 16825 -2.05%
$HSI 20766 -1.4%
$KOSPI 2622 -1.1%
$IDEX 6814 -0.8%

Australia โ†˜๏ธ
$ASX 6930 -0.85%

India trading โ†—๏ธ
$BSE 53424 +1.1% โฌ…๏ธ
Europe ๐Ÿ€ โ†—๏ธ mid-morning

$DAX 12941 +0.8%
$DTSE 6963 +0.05%
$CAC 6057 +1.25%
$AEX 660 -1.35%
$IBEX 7844 +2.6%
$MIB 22694 +2.4%
$SMI 11101 -0.9%
$MOEX closed ๐Ÿช†

$VSTOXX 48.24 โฌ…๏ธ
implied moves of +/- 3%
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ futures ๐Ÿ€โ†—๏ธ after $SPX closed at the low of the day and year with $VIX 36.46

$ES 4215 +0.35%
$NQ 13337 +0.15%
$TRY 1966 +0.55%

$VIX 34.98 ๐Ÿ”ป
GOLD โ†—๏ธ and base metals, ex-ALI, bouncing from a day when $COPPER -4.2%

$GOLD 2012 +0.8%
$SILVER 26.425 +2.75%
$COPPER 4.76 +0.6%
$PLAT 1149 +2.9%
$PALL 2970 +2.35%
$ALI 3580 -4.3%
$ZINC 4817 +1.8%

$NICKEL 81051 +68.58% โฌ…๏ธ๐Ÿ˜ฎ

$GVZ 29.67 ๐Ÿš€
1.85% implied daily moves
Oil with the relentless bid โ†—๏ธ but diverging with Natty โ†˜๏ธ

$WTIC 122.67 +2.75%
$BRENT 127.12 +3.15%
$GASO 3.677 +2.95%
$NATGAS 4.588 -5.05% โฌ…๏ธ

$OVX 78.91
implied swings of +/- 4.95%
Grains โ†”๏ธ

$WTIC 1324 +2.35%
$CORN 746 -0.45%
$SOYB 1686 +1.55%
$SUGAR 19.16 -0.55%

โ˜•๏ธ 225.28 +0.45%
The USD closed at a new cycle high but is trading โ†˜๏ธ this morning

$USD 99.15 -0.15%
$EUR 1.0884 +0.29%
$GBP 1.31 unch
$AUD 0.729 -0.3%
$USDJPY 115.66 +0.32%
$USDCHF 0.926 +0.09%
$USDCAD 1.283 +0.08%
$USDRUB 141.05 +4.1% โฌ…๏ธ๐Ÿช†
#Cryptos with a bid โ†—๏ธ

$BTC 38905 +1.4%
$ETH 2589 +2.2%

Vol 92
UST yields โ†—๏ธ across the curve
10/2s to 23 BPS

MOVE 140.03 ๐Ÿ”บ

2Y 1.613 +0.065
5Y 1.783 +0.092
10Y 1.84 +0.91
30Y 2.231 +0.08

Global 10Ys mostly โ†—๏ธ
ITA 1.578 -0.023
With equity ๐ŸŒŠ of 35-50 and trading at the lows, an upside ๐Ÿš€ of +2-3% for a day or three is expected.

Unlike the big #dix who sold the lows, you should take advantage #BTFD and #STFR

๐Ÿป in equities
โ™‰๏ธ in CRB

Be โš ๏ธ and have a super profitable ๐Ÿ’ฐ day!

โ€ข โ€ข โ€ข

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More from @tdarling1

Mar 10
Hello Thursday!

Did everyone enjoy the 1-day โ™‰๏ธ in equities and rejoice in the ๐Ÿป in commodities?

Or, โ€ฆ

Let's dig into the ๐Ÿงฎ!
Trading on a one-day lag, Asia closed โ†—๏ธ

$NIKK 25690 +3.95% โฌ…๏ธ
$SSEC 3296 +1.2%
$TWII 17433 +2.45%
$HSI 20890 +1.25%
$KOSPI 2680 +2.2%
$IDX 6924 +0.85%

Australia โ†—๏ธ
$ASX 7131 +1.1%

India โ†—๏ธ
$BSE 55464 +1.5%
Europe back to ๐Ÿปโ†˜๏ธ

$DAX 13489 -2.6%
$FTSE 7101 -1.25%
$CAC 6232 -2.45%
$AEX 678 -1.5%
$IBEX 8058 -1.5%
$MIB 23138 -3.15%
$SMI 114667 -0.2%
$MOEX closed ๐Ÿช†

$VSOTXX 41.50 ๐Ÿ”ป
Read 11 tweets
Mar 9
Hello ๐Ÿซ day!

And what a classic ๐Ÿซ day it is!
First equity ๐Ÿป get ๐Ÿซ along with CRB โ™‰๏ธ
And thenโ€ฆ

Let's dig into the ๐Ÿงฎ!
Asia closed โ†”๏ธ

$NIKK 24718 -0.3%
$SSEC 3256 -1.15% โฌ…๏ธ
$TWII 17015 +1.15% โฌ…๏ธ
$HSI 20628 -0.65%
$KOSPI closed for ๐Ÿ—ณ๏ธ
$IDX 6864 +0.75%

Australia โ†—๏ธ
$ASX 7053 +1.05%

India โ†—๏ธ
$BSE 54647 +2.05%
Europe with a ๐Ÿป market ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€

$DAX 13443 +4.75%
$FTSE 7066 +1.45%
$CAC 6225 +4.4%
$AEX 679 +3.45%
$IBEX 8003 +2.8%
$MIB 23417 +4.85%
$SMI 11312 +2.3%
$MOEX closed for ๐Ÿ’ฅ๐Ÿช†

$VSTOXX 45.56 ๐Ÿ”ป
Read 12 tweets
Mar 1
Hello Tuesday and the 1st of March!
๐Ÿฐ๐Ÿฐ

Big spike โ†—๏ธ in #inflation assets last month with ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ +8.6%, ๐ŸŒพ +22.7%, and ๐Ÿฅ‡ +5.8% - pushing $CRB +5.47% to a new cycle high

Let's dig into the early March ๐Ÿงฎ!
Asia โ†—๏ธ unfazed by ๐Ÿช†๐Ÿ’ฅ

$NIKK 26845 +1.2%
$SSEC 3489 +0.75%
$TWII 17898 +1.4%
$HSI 22762 +0.2%
$KOSPI 2699 +0.85%
$IDX 6921 +0.5%

Australia โ†—๏ธ
$ASX 7096 +0.65%

India closed

Chart: $SSEC +3.0% in February ๐Ÿ’ช
On the other โœ‹, Europe ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ pummeled โ†˜๏ธ

$DAX 14131 -2.3%
$FTSE 7402 -0.75%
$CAC 6501 -2.35%
$AEX 719 +1.5%
$IBEX 8349 -1.5%
$MIB 24877 -2.1%
$SMI 11825 -1.35%
$MOEX ๐Ÿช† closed

$VSTOXX 35.29 ๐Ÿ”บ

Chart: $DAX ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช -6.53% in February ๐Ÿป
Read 11 tweets
Feb 28
Hello Monday! ๐ŸŽข

What a month February has been!
$SSEC +2.7%
$SPX -2.9%
$DAX -5.05%

$GOLD +5.1%
$WTIC +3.9%
$WHEAT +12.9%

$USD +0.08%

$VIX 27.59 +257 BPS

$TNX 1.986% +25.7 BPS

Let's dig into Monday
Asian equities closed โ†—๏ธ

$NIKK 26527 +0.2%
$SSEC 3462 +0.3%
$TWII 17652 +0.35%
$HSI 22713 -0.25% โฌ…๏ธ
$KOSPI 2699 +0.85%
$IDX 6888 +1.05%

Australia โ†—๏ธ
$ASX 12431 +0.1%

India โ†—๏ธ
$BSE 56131 +0.5%
Europe under ๐Ÿช†๐Ÿป pressure โ†˜๏ธ

$DAX 15225 -2.35%
$FTSE 7385 -1.4%
$CAC 6564 -2.8%
$AEX 716 -1.6%
$IBEX 8381 -1.25%
$MIB 25125 -1.25%
$SMI 11908 -0.65%

$MOEX closed as Russia CB raises interest rates to 20% ๐Ÿ˜ฑ
Read 11 tweets
Feb 27
๐Ÿปโ™‰๏ธโ†—๏ธโ†˜๏ธโ†”๏ธโš ๏ธ๐Ÿšฉ๐Ÿ”บ๐Ÿ”ป๐Ÿงฎ
Global Macro Review 02/27/22

1/13

With ๐Ÿช† event risk behind us, equities were able to find relief ๐Ÿ˜…

But with #FOMC into the #ides in advance of quarterly #opex, vol ๐ŸŒŠ is expected to remain ๐Ÿ›—

Under reported: #PCE +6.1% y/y โ†—๏ธ

Letโ€™s dig into the ๐Ÿงฎ!
2/13

War ๐Ÿ’ฅ broke out and equity volatility ๐ŸŒŠ actually came in on the week but remains ๐Ÿ›—

$VIX 27.59 ๐Ÿ”ป
$RVX 33.20 ๐Ÿ”ป
$VXN 31.19 ๐Ÿ”ป
$VXEEM 28.17 ๐Ÿ”บ
$VSTOXX 32.12 ๐Ÿ”บ

Chart: $RVX retreated from the F ๐Ÿชฃ
ยฉ @Hedgeye Image
3/13

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ equities โ†—๏ธ on the week but remain ๐Ÿป Trend
(T = 3 months)

$IWM +1.52% (w) -9.1% (T)
$COMPQ +1.08% (w) -11.6% (T)
$SPX +0.82% (w) -4.57% (T)

Chart: $IWM - small caps continue to outperform +3.71% over trade duration (t) = 1 month Image
Read 14 tweets
Feb 24
Hello Thursday! ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ’ฅ

๐Ÿช† unleashes ๐Ÿ‘น

$MOEX -23%
$VIX 36.23
$BRENT +6.3%
$WHEAT +5.7%
$BTC -7.75%
$GOLD +2.0%

Let's dig into the ๐Ÿงฎ!
Asia closed โ†˜๏ธโ†˜๏ธ

$NIKK 25971 -1.8%
$SSEC 3429 -1.7% (safe haven per Mobius)
$TWII 17595 -2.55%
$HSI 22902 -3.2% โฌ…๏ธ
$KOSPI 2649 -2.6%
$IDX -1.5%

Australia โ†˜๏ธโ†˜๏ธ
$ASX 6991 -3.0%

India โ†˜๏ธโ†˜๏ธ
$BSE 54964 -4.0% โฌ…๏ธ
Europe opens โ†˜๏ธ๐Ÿฉธ

$DAX 14141 -3.3%
$FTSE 7313 -2.45%
$CAC 3568 -3.15%
$AEX 710 -2.5%
$IBEX 8193 -2.9%
$MIB 35104 -3.3%
$SMI 11688 -2.15%
$MOEX 2344 -24.05% โฌ…๏ธ๐Ÿช†๐Ÿฉธ

$VSTOXX 33.46
Read 12 tweets

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