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Feb 28 โ€ข 11 tweets โ€ข 2 min read
Hello Monday! ๐ŸŽข

What a month February has been!
$SSEC +2.7%
$SPX -2.9%
$DAX -5.05%

$GOLD +5.1%
$WTIC +3.9%
$WHEAT +12.9%

$USD +0.08%

$VIX 27.59 +257 BPS

$TNX 1.986% +25.7 BPS

Let's dig into Monday
Asian equities closed โ†—๏ธ

$NIKK 26527 +0.2%
$SSEC 3462 +0.3%
$TWII 17652 +0.35%
$HSI 22713 -0.25% โฌ…๏ธ
$KOSPI 2699 +0.85%
$IDX 6888 +1.05%

Australia โ†—๏ธ
$ASX 12431 +0.1%

India โ†—๏ธ
$BSE 56131 +0.5%
Europe under ๐Ÿช†๐Ÿป pressure โ†˜๏ธ

$DAX 15225 -2.35%
$FTSE 7385 -1.4%
$CAC 6564 -2.8%
$AEX 716 -1.6%
$IBEX 8381 -1.25%
$MIB 25125 -1.25%
$SMI 11908 -0.65%

$MOEX closed as Russia CB raises interest rates to 20% ๐Ÿ˜ฑ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ futures โ†˜๏ธ with ๐ŸŒŠ โ†—๏ธ

$ES 4316 -1.55%
$NQ 4315 -1.6%
$RTY 2000 -1.8%

$VIX 32.86 ๐Ÿ”บ
#backwardation
GOLD โ†—๏ธ and base metals ๐Ÿš€

$GOLD 1902 +0.8% off the highs
$SILVER 24.35 +0.2%
$COPPER 4.52 +0.85%
$PLAT 1063 +1.2%
$PALL 2482 +4.95% โฌ…๏ธ
$ALI 3496 +4.15% โฌ…๏ธ
$ZINC 3692 +1.95%
Hydrocarbons ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€

$WTIC 96.48 +5.35%
$BRENT 99.06 +5.25%
$GASO 2.984 +3.8%
$NATGAS 4.62 +3.4%
Grains ripping โ†—๏ธ

$WHEAT 907 +5.5%
$CORN 680 +3.8$
$SOYB 1627 +2.7%
$SUGAR 17.63

โ˜•๏ธ 234.78 -1.35% โฌ…๏ธ๐Ÿป
USD ๐Ÿ’ช into #RiskOff

$USBRUB 100.20 +20.79% โฌ…๏ธ๐Ÿช†๐Ÿ˜ฑ

$USD 97.08 +0.49%
$EUR 1.118 -0.75%
$GBP 1.338 -0.2%
$AUD 0.72 -0.42%
$USDJPY 115.54 -0.01%
$USDCHF 0.922 -0.29% โฌ…๏ธ
$USDCAD 1.276 +0.48%
#Crypto โ†˜๏ธ

$BTC 38362 -1.2%
$ETH 2635 -4.8%
UST yields โ†˜๏ธ across the curve
10/2s to 41.3 ๐Ÿ”บ

2Y 1.5% -0.0.86
5Y 1.803% -0.082
10Y 1.913% -0.071
30Y 2.336% -0.06

Global 10Ys mostly โ†˜๏ธ
AUS 2.18% +0.017
Buckle up folks! โš ๏ธโš ๏ธ

30+ equity vol ๐ŸŒŠ and ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธโ›ฝ๏ธ๐ŸŒฝ๐ŸŒพ en fuego ๐Ÿ”ฅ is sure to provide a fun ride ๐ŸŽข

Let's ๐Ÿ™for โ˜ฎ๏ธ

Have a super profitable ๐Ÿ’ฐ day!

โ€ข โ€ข โ€ข

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More from @tdarling1

Ted Darling Profile picture
Mar 1
Hello Tuesday and the 1st of March!
๐Ÿฐ๐Ÿฐ

Big spike โ†—๏ธ in #inflation assets last month with ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ +8.6%, ๐ŸŒพ +22.7%, and ๐Ÿฅ‡ +5.8% - pushing $CRB +5.47% to a new cycle high

Let's dig into the early March ๐Ÿงฎ! Image
Asia โ†—๏ธ unfazed by ๐Ÿช†๐Ÿ’ฅ

$NIKK 26845 +1.2%
$SSEC 3489 +0.75%
$TWII 17898 +1.4%
$HSI 22762 +0.2%
$KOSPI 2699 +0.85%
$IDX 6921 +0.5%

Australia โ†—๏ธ
$ASX 7096 +0.65%

India closed

Chart: $SSEC +3.0% in February ๐Ÿ’ช Image
On the other โœ‹, Europe ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ pummeled โ†˜๏ธ

$DAX 14131 -2.3%
$FTSE 7402 -0.75%
$CAC 6501 -2.35%
$AEX 719 +1.5%
$IBEX 8349 -1.5%
$MIB 24877 -2.1%
$SMI 11825 -1.35%
$MOEX ๐Ÿช† closed

$VSTOXX 35.29 ๐Ÿ”บ

Chart: $DAX ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช -6.53% in February ๐Ÿป Image
Read 11 tweets
Ted Darling Profile picture
Feb 27
๐Ÿปโ™‰๏ธโ†—๏ธโ†˜๏ธโ†”๏ธโš ๏ธ๐Ÿšฉ๐Ÿ”บ๐Ÿ”ป๐Ÿงฎ
Global Macro Review 02/27/22

1/13

With ๐Ÿช† event risk behind us, equities were able to find relief ๐Ÿ˜…

But with #FOMC into the #ides in advance of quarterly #opex, vol ๐ŸŒŠ is expected to remain ๐Ÿ›—

Under reported: #PCE +6.1% y/y โ†—๏ธ

Letโ€™s dig into the ๐Ÿงฎ!
2/13

War ๐Ÿ’ฅ broke out and equity volatility ๐ŸŒŠ actually came in on the week but remains ๐Ÿ›—

$VIX 27.59 ๐Ÿ”ป
$RVX 33.20 ๐Ÿ”ป
$VXN 31.19 ๐Ÿ”ป
$VXEEM 28.17 ๐Ÿ”บ
$VSTOXX 32.12 ๐Ÿ”บ

Chart: $RVX retreated from the F ๐Ÿชฃ
ยฉ @Hedgeye Image
3/13

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ equities โ†—๏ธ on the week but remain ๐Ÿป Trend
(T = 3 months)

$IWM +1.52% (w) -9.1% (T)
$COMPQ +1.08% (w) -11.6% (T)
$SPX +0.82% (w) -4.57% (T)

Chart: $IWM - small caps continue to outperform +3.71% over trade duration (t) = 1 month Image
Read 14 tweets
Ted Darling Profile picture
Feb 24
Hello Thursday! ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ’ฅ

๐Ÿช† unleashes ๐Ÿ‘น

$MOEX -23%
$VIX 36.23
$BRENT +6.3%
$WHEAT +5.7%
$BTC -7.75%
$GOLD +2.0%

Let's dig into the ๐Ÿงฎ!
Asia closed โ†˜๏ธโ†˜๏ธ

$NIKK 25971 -1.8%
$SSEC 3429 -1.7% (safe haven per Mobius)
$TWII 17595 -2.55%
$HSI 22902 -3.2% โฌ…๏ธ
$KOSPI 2649 -2.6%
$IDX -1.5%

Australia โ†˜๏ธโ†˜๏ธ
$ASX 6991 -3.0%

India โ†˜๏ธโ†˜๏ธ
$BSE 54964 -4.0% โฌ…๏ธ
Europe opens โ†˜๏ธ๐Ÿฉธ

$DAX 14141 -3.3%
$FTSE 7313 -2.45%
$CAC 3568 -3.15%
$AEX 710 -2.5%
$IBEX 8193 -2.9%
$MIB 35104 -3.3%
$SMI 11688 -2.15%
$MOEX 2344 -24.05% โฌ…๏ธ๐Ÿช†๐Ÿฉธ

$VSTOXX 33.46
Read 12 tweets
Ted Darling Profile picture
Feb 23
Hello ๐Ÿซ day!

If you sold the lows and panicked at $VIX 30 like the big #DIX, then you are getting ๐Ÿซ at the open.

But ๐ŸŒŠ like this has a way of ๐Ÿซ everyone but the most agile โš ๏ธ

Let's dig into the ๐Ÿงฎ!
Emperor's Day in ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ตbut open Asia closed โ†—๏ธ

$SSEC 3489 +0.95%
$TWII 18056 +0.5%
$HSI 23660 +0.6%
$KOSPI 2720 +0.45%
$IDEX 6920 +0.85%

Australia โ†—๏ธ
$7206 +0.6%

India โ†—๏ธ
$BSE 57495 +0.35%
Europe ripping โ†—๏ธ at the open

$DAX 148889 +1.35%
$FTSE 7543 +0.65%
$CAC 6903 +1.7% โฌ…๏ธ
$IBEX 8597 +1.25%
$MIB 26353 +1.2%
$SMI 12117 +1.3%
$MOEX 3085 +1.6% ๐Ÿช†

$VSTOXX 32.98 ๐Ÿ”ป
Read 11 tweets
Ted Darling Profile picture
Feb 22
Hello Tuesday!

#festivus came early this year with an hour long airing of the grievances followed by feats of ๐Ÿ’ช and military occupation of southeastern #Urkaine

$WTIC ๐Ÿš€

Let's dig into the resulting ๐Ÿงฎ!
Asia not liking #festivus closing โ†˜๏ธโ†˜๏ธ

$NIKK 20450 -1.7%
$SSEC 3457 -0.95%
$TWII 17969 -1.40%
$HSI 23475 -2.9% โฌ…๏ธ
$KOSPI 2707 -1.35%
$IDX 6862 -0.6%

Australia โ†˜๏ธ
$ASX 7161 -1.0%

India โ†˜๏ธ
$BSE -1.5%
Europe compounding losses at the open โ†˜๏ธ

$DAX 14484 -1.7%
$FTSE 7440 -0.6%
$CAC 6717 -1.05%
$AEX 725 -0.6%
$IBEX 8400 -1.05%
$MIB 25700 -1.35%
$SMI 11763 -1.1%
$MOEX 2925 -3.7% โฌ…๏ธโ†˜๏ธ๐Ÿช†

$VSTOXX 36.22 ๐Ÿ˜ฑ๐Ÿ”บ๐Ÿ”บ
Read 11 tweets
Ted Darling Profile picture
Feb 13
๐Ÿปโ™‰๏ธโ†—๏ธโ†˜๏ธโ†”๏ธโš ๏ธ๐Ÿšฉ๐Ÿ”บ๐Ÿ”ป๐Ÿงฎ

Global Macro Review 02/013/22

1/11

Lots of speculation about where to from here?

Sometimes, itโ€™s as simple as looking at clear Trends

Equities ๐Ÿป
Bonds ๐Ÿป
Commodities โ™‰๏ธ
Volatility โ™‰๏ธ
USD ๐Ÿ˜‘
Gold ๐Ÿ˜‘

Letโ€™s dig into the ๐Ÿงฎ!
2/11

With markets closed before ๐Ÿช†๐Ÿ˜ฑ, internatโ€™l equities โ†—๏ธ last week

$SSEC +3.0% (w) -2.15% (T)
$DAX +2.15% (w) -4.15% (T)
$HSI +1.35% (w) -1.65% (T)
$NIKK +0.95% (w) -6.55% (T)
$CAC +0.9% (w) -1.15% (T)
$KOSPI -0.9% (w) -7.45% (T)

Chart: $DAX remains ๐Ÿป (T) = Trend = 3 mos
2a/11

Chart: $HSI now โ™‰๏ธ (t) = trade = 1 mo = +2.15%
A close above 25,050 would confirm โ™‰๏ธ trend
Read 24 tweets

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