Breaking: @STLebanon appeal chamber reverses acquittals & convicts Merhi & Oneissi, including on charge of conspiracy aimed at committing a terrorist act, ie #Hezbollah murder of #RafiqHariri
2. The @STLebanon Appeals Chamber does, however, find that the Trial Chamber committed an error of fact by failing to find that Mr Badreddine was a #Hezbollah military commander in 2004 and 2005
3. The @STLebanon Appeals Chamber also finds that the Trial Chamber erred in both law and fact by holding that written statements from unavailable witnesses showing that the Green Network was a #Hezbollah network were not corroborated
4. the @STLebanon Appeals Chamber finds that it has been established that the Green Network was a covert 4 #Hezbollah network acting as the mission command of the attack and that its members were Messrs Badreddine, Ayyash, and Merhi.
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2. On Feb 12, 2008, Imad #Mughniyeh was killed in a joint @CIA -Mossad op near Damascus. A bomb was placed in his car’s spare tire. Fearing he would be next, #Hezbollah secretary-general Hassan #Nasrallah warned Israel to expect an “open war”
3. #Hezbollah was desperate to avenge Mughniyeh’s death. The problem was, they weren’t very successful. Operations in Azerbaijan, Egypt, Greece, Turkey, and West Africa were all foiled washingtoninstitute.org/hezbollahinter…
In this month’s cover of @CTCWP I look at the who/what/where/when/why/how of Iranian external assassination, surveillance, & abduction plots, based on a personal dataset. ctc.usma.edu/february-2022/
A thread 🧵👇
2. This study is based on a dataset that includes 98 cases of assassination, abduction, attack, & surveillance plots by the #Iran regime from Dec 1979–Dec 2021
3. WHO is targeted by #Iran? Of the 98 cases, 42 target dissidents, 31 target Jews/Israelis, 24 target diplomats, 24 target Western interests, & 7 target Gulf interests (note: some cases target multiple)
Thread 🧵re SOF raid that took out ISIS leader Qurayshi: 1. Like previous administrations, Biden seeks to get out of 'endless wars' and pivot from Mideast to Asia. Adversaries get a vote, however, so CT efforts must continue. Biden: we will come after you.
2. CT efforts should be seen not in terms of victory or defeat, but rather as an ongoing effort— short of both war and peace—in which both lethal and nonlethal tools are employed to compete with adversaries and disrupt acts of terrorism washingtoninstitute.org/media/4359
3. CT officials very focused on making sure any shift in CT policy seeks a maximum return on US 20-year investment in CT while preserving the many advances made during this period. With fewer troops on ground, looking to leverage opportunities to keep adversaries off balance
1. ~20 yrs after 9/11, it's time 2 think thru what a rationalized & sustainable U.S. CT global posture should look like. We've built great CT tools over 20 yrs, but tools should not dictate strategy. Next week @WashInstitute publishes my CT policy review paper, lots 2 discuss
2. Biden admin interim guidance echoes broadly bipartisan desire 2 rationalize U.S. investment in CT that goes back at least two administrations including pledge not to engage in “forever wars” & to “right-size” U.S. military presence in Mideast whitehouse.gov/wp-content/upl…
3. When it comes to fighting terrorism overseas, mood has shifted to focus on groups presenting threats to homeland, while addressing regional terrorist threats thru intel & action by local partners. But such a shift comes with risks
THREAD: French President Macron recently denounced #Hezbollah's attempts to pose as a legitimate political party while engaging in militant activity independent of the Lebanese state. Here I explore why it's time for Paris resent on Hezbollah washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysi…
2. Last month #Hezbollah threw a wrench in French efforts to stabilize the Lebanese political system following the tragic Aug 4 explosion in Beirut. Macron's response caught the group off guard & came on heels of new revelations re Hezbollah activities in Europe
3. According to U.S. officials, Hezbollah has been stockpiling caches of ammonium nitrate—used to make explosives for terrorist attacks—in Europe, including in France washingtoninstitute.org/hezbollahinter…
Amb Nathan Sales @StateDeptCT tells @AJCGlobal about newly revealed cases of #Hezbollah stockpiling caches of ammonium nitrate in ice-packs across Europe.
These have been moved thru Belgium, to France, Greece, Italy, Spain & Switzerland--explosives 4 future plots in Europe
2. Amb Sales @StateDeptCT@AJCGlobal that ammonium nitrate ice pack caches also found &/or destroyed in France, Greece and Italy. Additional LH ammonium nitrate ice packs may still exist in Greece, Italy, and Spain
3. German Min Elgelke notes that prior to banning #Hezbollah authorities found "substantial amounts" of ammonium nitrate in ice packs in Southern Germany. Cannot say more here, he explains, bc this was an intelligence operation.