~15K miles x ~331M people = ~5 trillion miles/yr driven nationally.
My Kia Niro EV, which is pretty typical of 2022 EVs I believe, gets ~250 miles/charge on a 64 kWH battery.
5T miles / 250 = ~20 billion full charges.
20B x 64 kWH = ~1.3 trillion kWH, or ~1.3B MWh per year. 2/
via the U.S. EIA, the *smallest* nuclear power plant in the U.S. produced 4,727,764 MWh in 2021.
It would take around 275 *small* nuclear power plants to produce enough electricity to power every EV assuming all 331M Americans used them. 3/ eia.gov/tools/faqs/faq…
The *largest* nuclear power plant in the U.S. produces 6.7x as much electricity. Let's say the average is in the middle: 15.6 million MWh/year.
That means it would take around ~83 nuclear power plans.
Currently, there are 55 of them nationally, so we'd only need ~30 more. 4/
Thankfully, nuclear power isn't the only clean, renewable source of electricity in the U.S.
Around 20% comes from solar, wind, hydroelectric, geothermal, etc., and that capacity is growing quickly; it's nearly doubled in the past decade. 5/ eia.gov/energyexplaine….
Now, if your goal is to get off of fossil fuels above all else, it'll take awhile since 60% of our electricity is from coal, natural gas and, yes, a tiny bit of petroleum...but that's shrinking.
If your goal is simply to get off of *petroleum*, though, it's doable. 6/
Of course, we don't just use petroleum for gasoline. 1/3 of the petroleum we use goes towards industrial use, heating and so forth. And there will still be a need for *some* gas-based vehicles for a long time. But the premise of the OT is absurd. /END eia.gov/energyexplaine….
P.S. Note that the OT claims he "did the math" yet provides...no math. Or sources.
UPDATE: Whoops! One important correction: We'd need 83 *more* nuclear power plants, not 30 more, since of course the 55 existing ones are being used for other electrical needs (including the small % of EVs already on the road).
UPDATE x2: On the other hand, the ~15K/yr per person estimate may be 15K per *driver*, not the total population. If so, it looks like the avg. *per person* is only ~10K/yr.
If so, that means we'd only need ~55 more nuclear power plants, give or take.
Now, obviously this all assumes maximum efficiency, no waste, etc. And not every EV gets 250 miles on 64 kWH. But even if you DOUBLE the amount of electricity needed, you're still talking about perhaps 100 or so more nuke plants theoretically required, not 15,800!!
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Many people have asked me why the Biden Admin didn’t move on this LAST year. There’s two reasons I can think of: First, the process is a long & convoluted one; it might simply have taken a full year to get to this point. 1/
The other is more pragmatic: They were hoping to have #BuildBackBetter passed and signed into law by now. The CBO score *without* the family glitch will likely be billions of dollars higher than with it still in place. They might’ve been hoping to lock in ARP legislatively first.
With the #FamilyGlitch fixed, up to 5.1 million more Americans would become eligible for #ACA subsidies. Assuming half of them took this up, that’d increase enrollment by another ~18% or so. CBO scored permanent ARP subsidies at ~$220B over a decade, so that’d go up ~$40B or so.
📣 On anniversary of the #ARP, Biden-Harris Admin highlights health insurance subsidies that promoted critical increases in enrollment & savings: acasignups.net/22/03/11/durin…
📣 REMINDER: Thanks to the enhanced financial subsidies, increased outreach, expanded assister resources and the elimination of the dreaded #SubsidyCliff, a record-breaking *15.5 MILLION* Americans enrolled in TRULY affordable #ACA coverage for 2022.
📣 #ACA enrollment increased by 21% y/y nationally. It's up across 47 states, with 16 states seeing enrollment increase by 25% or more, and some going up by as much as a whopping 42%!
Millions of #ACA enrollees are saving an average of $800 apiece this year thanks to the #ARP.
For those claiming hypocrisy since she *is* calling for the *federal* gas tax to be suspended, the difference is that states aren't allowed to run deficits. Still shouldn't suspend the federal gas tax either, though.
(and yes, I just bought an electric car, but that also means my annual registration fee is an extra $140 per year to make up for the gas tax I won't be paying)
Honestly, that seems awfully steep. MI's gas tax is $0.272/gallon. $140 would be the equivalent of using 515 gallons of gas per year. At 25 mpg, that'd mean driving 13,000 miles/year even though I only drive about *half* that.
OK, it's spot updates of my estimates for the likely net difference between Trump & Biden voters who've died of COVID in each state since the 2020 election: acasignups.net/22/02/03/chall…
Here's my high-end estimate for the net difference a month ago & today:
📣📣 THREAD: Dems are facing strong headwinds in 2022, but DON'T accept defeat as inevitable.
In 2020 we saved democracy. In 2022 we need to do it again. Money isn't everything, but it's still an important tool.
Here's links to multiple fed/state races to support: 1/
1. First, we desperately need to keep the #HouseBlueIn22! I know it’s a long shot but if the GOP takes control you’ll have racist lunatics like MTG, Matt Gaetz & Lauren Boebert in charge.