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Charles Gaba 🇺🇦 Profile picture
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Mar 12 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
Reminder: Another ~1,600 Americans were reported to have died of COVID yesterday.
Most of these deaths are of people who got infected 3-4 weeks ago. The daily death numbers should start dropping in another week or so. But still.
Meanwhile, here’s the death rates in the U.S. since all adults became eligible to get vaccinated.
Meanwhile…

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More from @charles_gaba

Charles Gaba 🇺🇦 Profile picture
Mar 13
Many people have asked me why the Biden Admin didn’t move on this LAST year. There’s two reasons I can think of: First, the process is a long & convoluted one; it might simply have taken a full year to get to this point. 1/
The other is more pragmatic: They were hoping to have #BuildBackBetter passed and signed into law by now. The CBO score *without* the family glitch will likely be billions of dollars higher than with it still in place. They might’ve been hoping to lock in ARP legislatively first.
With the #FamilyGlitch fixed, up to 5.1 million more Americans would become eligible for #ACA subsidies. Assuming half of them took this up, that’d increase enrollment by another ~18% or so. CBO scored permanent ARP subsidies at ~$220B over a decade, so that’d go up ~$40B or so.
Read 5 tweets
Charles Gaba 🇺🇦 Profile picture
Mar 11
📣 On anniversary of the #ARP, Biden-Harris Admin highlights health insurance subsidies that promoted critical increases in enrollment & savings:
acasignups.net/22/03/11/durin…
📣 REMINDER: Thanks to the enhanced financial subsidies, increased outreach, expanded assister resources and the elimination of the dreaded #SubsidyCliff, a record-breaking *15.5 MILLION* Americans enrolled in TRULY affordable #ACA coverage for 2022. Image
📣 #ACA enrollment increased by 21% y/y nationally. It's up across 47 states, with 16 states seeing enrollment increase by 25% or more, and some going up by as much as a whopping 42%!

Millions of #ACA enrollees are saving an average of $800 apiece this year thanks to the #ARP.
Read 4 tweets
Charles Gaba 🇺🇦 Profile picture
Mar 11
This appears to be garbage.

The average American drove 14,263 miles/yr in 2019. Let's call it 15K/yr even. 1/
kbb.com/car-advice/ave….
~15K miles x ~331M people = ~5 trillion miles/yr driven nationally.

My Kia Niro EV, which is pretty typical of 2022 EVs I believe, gets ~250 miles/charge on a 64 kWH battery.

5T miles / 250 = ~20 billion full charges.

20B x 64 kWH = ~1.3 trillion kWH, or ~1.3B MWh per year. 2/
via the U.S. EIA, the *smallest* nuclear power plant in the U.S. produced 4,727,764 MWh in 2021.

It would take around 275 *small* nuclear power plants to produce enough electricity to power every EV assuming all 331M Americans used them. 3/
eia.gov/tools/faqs/faq…
Read 11 tweets
Charles Gaba 🇺🇦 Profile picture
Mar 11
Good.

For those claiming hypocrisy since she *is* calling for the *federal* gas tax to be suspended, the difference is that states aren't allowed to run deficits. Still shouldn't suspend the federal gas tax either, though.
(and yes, I just bought an electric car, but that also means my annual registration fee is an extra $140 per year to make up for the gas tax I won't be paying)
Honestly, that seems awfully steep. MI's gas tax is $0.272/gallon. $140 would be the equivalent of using 515 gallons of gas per year. At 25 mpg, that'd mean driving 13,000 miles/year even though I only drive about *half* that.
Read 6 tweets
Charles Gaba 🇺🇦 Profile picture
Mar 2
Take your best guess.
OK, it's spot updates of my estimates for the likely net difference between Trump & Biden voters who've died of COVID in each state since the 2020 election: acasignups.net/22/02/03/chall…
Here's my high-end estimate for the net difference a month ago & today:

AZ: 3,400 > 3,600
CO: 900 > 1,000
FL: 10,700 > 11,200
GA: 4,500 > 4,800
IA: 2,000 > 2,100
MI: 3,000 > 3,200
NH: 190 > 200
NC: 4,500 > 4,900
OH: 7,800 > 8,500
PA: 6,500 > 7,000
WI: 2,200 > 2,400
Read 6 tweets
Charles Gaba 🇺🇦 Profile picture
Feb 28
📣📣 THREAD: Dems are facing strong headwinds in 2022, but DON'T accept defeat as inevitable.

In 2020 we saved democracy. In 2022 we need to do it again. Money isn't everything, but it's still an important tool.

Here's links to multiple fed/state races to support: 1/
1. First, we desperately need to keep the #HouseBlueIn22! I know it’s a long shot but if the GOP takes control you’ll have racist lunatics like MTG, Matt Gaetz & Lauren Boebert in charge.

This page includes races in Alabama - Michigan; donate today! secure.actblue.com/donate/housebl…
1a. This page includes races in Minnesota - Wyoming:
secure.actblue.com/donate/housebl…
Read 10 tweets

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