Defi Robot Profile picture
Mar 22 18 tweets 5 min read
Do you actively trade your #crypto? Or do you buy and #HODL?

Ever aspired to be a day trader? Or at least be much more active in trading?

Ask anyone though, and they'll tell you "DON'T DO IT!" There are many reasons why that is...

🧵/1
Once upon a time, to day trade stocks, you needed AT LEAST $50k. And the reason is simple math. If you're trading a $6 stock, and intraday gain is only to $6.75, one share only makes you $0.75 profit. So you need a LOT more.

That's out of reach for most.

🧵/2
For traders with smaller bags but bigger dreams, the futures markets were born.

Here, you can trade on leverage. Did you know that for every $1 in price of Crude Oil, a crude oil futures contract is worth $1k?

So if oil goes from $98 to $103, that represents $5k.

🧵/3
You can even get started with an account for a few thousand. However, futures contracts are dangerous.

Why? Because while the upside is unlimited, so is the downside.

If you long a crude oil contract (for example) that dumps, you owe $1k for every dollar it went down.

🧵/4
In my humble opinion, #cryptocurrencies and specifically #cryptotrading offer a substantial opportunity for active traders with less means or who wish to limit downside.

I'll explain why in a moment, but first lets look at some study data.

🧵/5
A comprehensive study done (albeit 20 years ago) on the Taiwanese stock market and other Asian markets found that only 1.6% of day traders were profitable!

Most of the stats shared from this study show that traders tend to hold onto losers and sell winners

🧵/6
It also showed that losing day traders were very active (though not as active as winning traders).

And that long stretches of losses didn't stop active traders (likely because of a lack of feedback loop as humans need it to improve..but that's another thread)

🧵/7
Ultimately the stats are grim, which is why the majority of people tend to do better buying and holding.

There are some insights that can be gleaned from the studies though.

For starters, traders that widely diversified did better.

🧵/8
Also, traders that didn't continue to learn (outside of simply trading) did worse.

All this tells us that:
- If you diversify
- And continue to master your craft
- Learn to cut losses early

🧵/9
- Learn to recognize a winning streak
- Follow rules
- Recognize biases
- Don't let current economic situation sway you

Then you can be a successful active #cryptotrader

BUT WAIT...what are you actively trading?

🧵/10
All of the current available education and conventional wisdom says to stay in blue chips where there's a ton of liquidity (mainly $BTC and $ETH)

Why?

Well, that's old-school stock trader mentality.
Think about it...

🧵/11
The people who created this #DayTrading thing were having to trade hundreds or thousands of stock shares at a time. That required a lot of liquidity.

And currently crypto mimics stock shares way more than futures contracts (watch as synthetics get a lot more popular tho).

🧵/12
But I want to make the case for why I think $hitcoins represent the greatest opportunity for fast wealth creation for active traders today.

And again, it's simple math...

🧵/13
Take a look at this chart.

It's a day in the life of $ETH. If you had been skilled (or lucky) enough to read the candles and predict that sharp move upward, you could've 1.054x'd your money.

For every $2893 you invested, you'd have gotten $3050 (minus gas)

🧵/14
That's not bad.
However, take a look at THIS chart.

This random BSC $hitcoin jumped 11x in a day. AAAAND it was less than a penny.

That means, you could've turned a meager $100 into $1100!

🧵/15
Now, this is NOT financial advice. I'm NOT telling you to go out there and day trade $hitcoins.

I'm simply making a case for the opportunity of active trading in micro-caps.

Limited downside + greater upside = #Winning

🧵/16
If you want to learn more about the studies, check out this article which outlines their stats and references the research:
tradeciety.com/24-statistics-…

🧵/17
If you found this thread entertaining or insightful, I have several more so consider following (if you aren't already).

CHEERS!

🧵/finis

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More from @RobotDefi

Mar 23
What is #FVM? [🧵]

A lot of people are talking about the #Fantom Virtual Machine. Most conversations, however, simply state that “it’s the future” or “it’s gonna change the game”

But many still don’t know how or why.

So let’s discuss.

🧵/1
First, if you haven’t yet, definitely listen to the latest interview from @milesdeutscher with Fantom CEO Michael Kong.



He touches on the topic of what they are trying to achieve.

🧵/2
Unfortunately this is still a bit ambiguous. So let’s dive in further.

In the interview Michael talks about research done by university students and professors. Well, here is a publication outlining some of the EVM limitations he discusses: arxiv.org/pdf/1910.11143…

🧵/3
Read 12 tweets
Mar 19
Now that we've discussed how to check if liquidity is locked in a project, let's talk more about how to vet a smart contract.

First, we'll start with the block explorer.

🧵/1
The block explorer is where you can see all of those immutable transactions on the blockchain.
Each chain has it's own (bscscan, etherscan, ftmscan, snowtrace, etc)

You can go to the explorer and plug the contract address into the search bar.

🧵/2
A good place to start is to check out the contract creator's address.

Also, click on the total txn number of the contract and then click to the Last page. This will show you the first txns on the contract.

🧵/3
Read 13 tweets
Mar 18
An important part of vetting new projects is checking whether the liquidity pool is locked or not.

Many people are confused as to how to do this. So here's a thread on one way to check for yourself if a project's LP is locked.

🧵/1
First, it's important to understand WHY you want the liquidity pool to be locked.

If it's not, then the developers can literally cash in their LP tokens, leaving protocol tokens worthless.

There are two types of locks: time locks and multi-sig locks.

🧵/2
Multi-sig is good, but if all the actors on the multi-sig are bad actors, this doesn't do you much good.

The ideal scenario for a liquidity pool is a time lock. I think 12mo + is best, but many projects are starting to do 6mo.

🧵/3
Read 12 tweets
Mar 17
A lot of super smart cats talking about how to get involved in #crypto for solid gains. And I LOVE it. I follow them.

But a lot of privilege gets left out of the story. Many had access to starting capital or non-stressful economic situations

Here’s a 🧵 on how to bootstrap /1
Many smaller investors are attracted to crypto due to the low barrier of entry.

But small bags means more easily rekt and taken out of the game.

So an enormous pressure to not make mistakes ends up causing mistakes.

🧵/2
But there IS a way you can protect against this.

Start an investment club with your friends.

It’s as simple as starting an LLC in the US (Delaware or Wyoming, all online).

SEC doesn’t regulate investment clubs as longs as…

🧵/3
Read 8 tweets

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