What does the war in Ukraine mean for #Eurasia and Russia's regional integration aspirations? Well, there are no good options for the Kremlin with Russia's influence diminishing over time.
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So far out of nations of Central Asia and the Caucasus we have a group of relative neutral countries: Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan. Baku and Nur Sultan sent aid to Ukraine but only as a diplo gesture -both need Russia's good will. Uzbekistan is a bit more direct.
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Armenia, Tajikistan and Turkmenistan are staying quite and abstaining from publicly commenting on war.
Georgia is the only country that voted for UN resolution condemning Russia's war in Ukraine but at the same time it continues to engage in trade with Russia.
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Georgia is the only country that voted for UN resolution condemning Russia's war in Ukraine but at the same time it continues to engage in trade with Russia.
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Kyrgyzstan is the only nation that has publicly supported Russia.
As for the Eurasian Union, we're looking at 3 scenarios:
1. Reformatted Eurasian integration with a change in the role of a key player
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As for the Eurasian Union, we're looking at 3 scenarios:
1. Reformatted Eurasian integration with a change in the role of a key player
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2) Frozen integration and 3) The collapse of the EAEU and the withdrawal of member countries from the EAEU
For details and practical implications check this @OlgaRGulina piece for @RiddleRussia
ridl.io/en/how-the-ukr…
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For details and practical implications check this @OlgaRGulina piece for @RiddleRussia
ridl.io/en/how-the-ukr…
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