2/x Reading macro analysts, following arguments emerge.
Current commodity run is:
- supply chain related only
- speculation fueled
- long term secular shortage in commodities
- caused by geopolitics, sanctions etc.
- going to end soon
- going to last a decade
3/x I am personally watching for short term pull back, but support long term commodity price increase trend from supply shortage perspective.
Uncertainties: china, wars, geopolitics.
Below is some data supporting long term commodity bull.