Duo Nine Profile picture
Apr 15 18 tweets 11 min read
1/ Time to look at the main stablecoins, including people's favorite #UST which looks rather weak.

There is one undisputed winner, despite any criticism.

The reason? Adoption, liquidity, and volume.

The rest are kings in their niche. A thread 👇

#USDT #USDC #BUSD #DAI #UST Image
2/ Ranking by market cap is easy (see pic), but that barely says anything.

What is more important is volume and where this volume comes from!

Let's do a ranking by 7-day volume divided by mcap.

See next tweet for the results. 👇 Image
3/ WoW look at that #UST adoption... barely any. Even DAI looks better.

1. #USDT = 4.78 (392 bil volume / 82 bil mcap)
2. #BUSD = 1.59 (27 / 17)
3. #USDC = 0.58 (29 / 50)
4. #DAI = 0.28 (2.5 / 9)
5. #UST = 0.20 (3.4 / 17)

Clearly, USDT and BUSD are in their own class.

Why? 👇
4/ Binance, the largest exchange in the world, drives most volume for USDT & BUSD (their own stable).

Binance listed UST. Yet, KuCoin drives more volume. Seems people are not that interested.

But what about... DeFI for UST?

As a decentralized stable volume is there right? 👇 Image
5/ The largest DEX on Terra pulls $100 mil volume per day on the Luna/UST pair (pic).

Not bad, yet DAI also pulls similar numbers across Uniswap (70 mil) + Curve where fees are much higher since they use the ETH network (pic).

Remember, DAI market cap is HALF of UST!

Huh? 👇 ImageImage
6/ Of the five stablescoins we have, UST is the weakest.

Its market cap (17 bil) is inflated and sits in Anchor doing nothing (over 70%).

In contrast, BUSD, with a similar mcap pulls over 3 bil in volume per day!

UST? 400 mil / day. But at least UST is decentralized, right? 👇
7/ Not when 12 bil in UST (out of 17 bil) sits in Anchor protocol. That is not decentralization, sorry.

UST = king in Terra ecosystem. But that's it.

So what is the alternative and who's the real winner here?

Let's look at DAI and work ourselves up to USDT. 👇 Image
8/ #DAI is a decentralized and overcollateralized stablecoin (pic)

Most of its volume is from Binance + Coinbase + DEXes like Uniswap

A nice balance

Yet, it has two shortcomings: it can't scale easily (depends on borrow demand) + is capital inefficient (collateral needed). 👇 Image
9/ But at least DAI is a sound & proven stablecoin that can back up its mcap with real collateral in times of need (pic).

You can't say that about UST! Got to be careful there.

DAI = king on DEXes as a decentralized stable

Now let's look at centralized stables. 👇 Image
10/ #BUSD is basically PAX Dollar (#USDP) with a different name. Binance used PAX to issue it.

It's centralized and 90% of the volume is on Binance.

BUSD = king on Binance, nowhere else

That is it. PAX is a proven name in crypto, so should be safe.

USDC next 👇 Image
11/ #USDC is issued by Circle and most recently BlackRock announced they will manage USDC!

BlackRock is the largest asset manager in the world with $10 trillion in assets under management (AUM).

If there is a stablecoin challenging the top spot, this is it.

Can it flip USDT? Image
12/ It's only a matter of time. USDC is positioned to become the de-facto digital dollar.

Plus, USDC has massive adoption in DeFI (ironic as it may sound) and centralized exchanges.

See that pic? Uniswap DEX has 3 spots in top 10 for USDC, plus Binance and Coinbase.

But... 👇 Image
13/ No matter how you look at USDC, it remains a centralized, censor-prone stablecoin.

This means your USDC in your own private wallet can be frozen = your address on the network can be blacklisted together with all your USDC.

So you go back to... DAI? Think twice 👇 Image
14/ For decentralization maxis, DAI has too much exposure to USDC as backing.

Check the pic, 51% in DAI is backed by USDC.

However, you can now tell there is a 'special' synergy between USDC & DAI. Indeed.

They are the best stablecoins, centralized & decentralized.

Hmmm 👇 Image
15/ USDC is positioned to be the top stablecoin & its use cases will equally be applied in decentralized + traditional finance (DeFI/TradFI).

USDC at 50 bil will soon catch up on USDT at 82 bil which does not enjoy the same trust in DeFI.

USDC = king of stables

So USDT? 👇
16/ #USDT continues to pull the highest volume + liquidity across centralized exchanges, but not on Coinbase (which focuses on USDC)

Nor will you see any DEXes using it

Clearly, USDT is on borrowed time as the top stablecoin

USDT = king on (some) centralized exchanges

Next 👇 Image
17/ Plus, Tether has major trust issues as it was very obtuse about its backing for USDT in the past

Audits are scarce and even so, people don't trust those numbers.

Why use USDT when you can use USDC?

There is only one place at the top & BlackRock is the top.

Tick, tock. 👇 Image
18/ If you liked this thread, #retweet the first post to get more of this content in the future! 😍

Stay in touch + follow @DU09BTC:

Discord: bit.ly/3n2gng0
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YouTube: bit.ly/3p8vPdf
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More from @DU09BTC

Apr 18
1/ You no longer have to trust anon FUD on Twitter about #UST

You can now trust the well respected Wall Street Journal @WSJ

Here are the key points in their article that should raise your eyebrows. 👀

UST is on a thin line as its founder fights the SEC in court.

A thread 👇 Image
2/ Exhibit 1:

"A new breed of cryptocurrencies is seeking to replicate the stability of the dollar. But critics say they are a disaster waiting to happen."

They mean #UST and DAI+BUSD/Paxos fudding UST.

Next 👇
3/ Exhibit 2:

"...algorithmic stablecoins aren’t necessarily backed by any assets at all. Instead they rely on financial engineering to maintain their link to the dollar. Some have failed, saddling investors with losses."

Is UST backed? Nope.

Next 👇
Read 16 tweets
Apr 12
1/ Daily Anchor Yield Reserve Update. A thread. 🧵

65 days left. 😱

Important poll in tweet #4.

Link for more juicy details at the end of this thread. 👇
2/ On track to hit 0.
3/ The total TLV in Anchor is falling by a few billions.

I wonder what caused it?

#Luna's price crashing maybe? 😅
Read 6 tweets
Apr 9
🚨 1/ Have Terra #UST & #Luna topped?

The UST market cap is giving me top signals (see pic).

Since UST & Luna are basically the same things with different labels, you need to be careful!

Particularly when #BTC is flashing a major bear signal!

Here's my update, a thread. 👇 Image
2/ Let's start with UST & why you want UST growth to continue at all costs

A falling UST mcap = more Luna minted = Luna sold = Luna crash

Basically the pump cycle, but now in reverse. This is a big NO-NO for Terra.

Let's look at Luna next 👇

3/ With the price now firmly under $100, Luna's uptrend is over.

What makes this worse is that #BTC is not giving much hopium right now.

If BTC falls under $40k, altcoins will be in HUGE trouble.

See next for a #BTC overview. 👇

Read 10 tweets
Apr 9
1/🚨 Market Update 🚨

#Bitcoin just confirmed a major bearish signal, not seen since July 2018. 😱

BTC crashed 63% after that in 2018! Can history repeat?

At least PAY ATTENTION. You cannot ignore this.

A thread. 👇 Image
2/ On the weekly timeframe, the 50-week moving average (in yellow) was just confirmed as RESISTANCE by the price action.

The detailed chart for 2022 is below.

Let's look at 2018 as well next. 👇 Image
3/ Similar to now, in 2018, the 50-week moving average acted as RESISTANCE after the price broke below it.

What followed was a 63% crash in the price of #Bitcoin.

This deserves your full attention.

How low can #BTC go this time if this pattern is confirmed? 👇 Image
Read 7 tweets
Apr 4
1/ 🚨 I started to de-risk and exit @anchor_protocol / #UST.

Just pulled out 15k UST (see pic). Will exit in full slowly.

Risk profile is too high & increasing.

#USDN crashing today is a bad omen.

20% / year is not worth the risk.

Protect capital at all costs! My reasons👇 Image
2/ Why #UST "stablecoin" and Anchor yield have a high risk profile.

This is NOT the place for your life savings!

Next 👇

3/ #USDN - algorithmic stablecoin crashing over 30% today... $1 billion in fake money vanishing.

You think #UST market cap is real? lol

Next 👇

Read 9 tweets
Apr 4
1/ Here is why #USDN is crashing, check the date.

Sounds familiar to another decentralized stablecoin?
Read 5 tweets

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