Duo Nine Profile picture
Apr 18 16 tweets 6 min read
1/ You no longer have to trust anon FUD on Twitter about #UST

You can now trust the well respected Wall Street Journal @WSJ

Here are the key points in their article that should raise your eyebrows. 👀

UST is on a thin line as its founder fights the SEC in court.

A thread 👇
2/ Exhibit 1:

"A new breed of cryptocurrencies is seeking to replicate the stability of the dollar. But critics say they are a disaster waiting to happen."

They mean #UST and DAI+BUSD/Paxos fudding UST.

Next 👇
3/ Exhibit 2:

"...algorithmic stablecoins aren’t necessarily backed by any assets at all. Instead they rely on financial engineering to maintain their link to the dollar. Some have failed, saddling investors with losses."

Is UST backed? Nope.

Next 👇
4/ Exhibit 3:

"The esoteric topic of algorithmic stablecoins has become more mainstream with the startling rise of TerraUSD, the most popular such coin [...] Luna effectively acts as a shock absorber for TerraUSD, buffering volatility in TerraUSD."

Getting close now.

Next 👇
5/ Exhibit 4:

"Ryan Clements, a law professor at the University of Calgary who has studied algorithmic stablecoins, says TerraUSD is susceptible to what crypto traders call a 'death spiral.'"

Now you get why Terra is buying #BTC to 'protect' the UST peg, right? RIGHT?

Next 👇
6/ Exhibit 5:

"An algorithmic stablecoin called Iron collapsed in a death spiral in June, costing investors about $2 billion. It was partially collateralized."

UST is also now partially collateralized by BTC. 👀

Next 👇
7/ Exhibit 6:

"A related cryptocurrency called Titan—which had played a shock-absorber role similar to Luna—plunged from $64.04 to roughly zero within hours [...] The team suffered a 'large-scale crypto bank run.'"

I repeat "shock-absorber role similar to Luna."

Next 👇
8/ Exhibit 7:

"Mr. Clements says no algorithmic stablecoin is safe from a death spiral. 'They are inherently fragile,' he said."

Don't fall for the FOMO narrative, it's 'inherently fragile'.

Next 👇
9/ Exhibit 8:

"TerraUSD is the brainchild of Do Kwon [...] Mr. Kwon profits from the expansion of TerraUSD [...] He sued SEC to thwart a subpoena against him [...] a federal court ruled against him [...] He is appealing."

Do you still trust the UST cult leader?

Next 👇
10/ Exhibit 9:

"One of the main factors behind the rapid growth of TerraUSD is an incentive scheme offered by Anchor Protocol. Those lofty yields helped drive demand for the stablecoin."

Look at that UST mcap pumping. It's on borrowed time. Be smart about it!

Next 👇
11/ Exhibit 10:

“I know a lot of people who, rather than keeping cash at Chase, they basically put all their money in UST. And they’re basically living rent-free because they’re getting paid on that yield.”

Look at these whales farming Anchor. There is no free lunch!

Next 👇
12/ Exhibit 11:

"Rival stablecoin issuer Paxos, worries that investors drawn into TerraUSD by high yields will ultimately be hurt if it collapses.

It’s definitely not a stablecoin, it’s an unstable coin.”

This is FUD from Paxos/BUSD, not some random anon on Twitter!

Next 👇
13/ While both DAI and BUSD have reasons to FUD against UST. The writing is on the wall.

We are in a bear market. Don't take more risks than necessary.

How many red flags do you ignore due to greed?

Next 👇

14/ I've highlighted similar concerns before the WSJ article myself. 👇

Don't be fooled to think people don't pay attention, they do. People with a lot of cash at stake!

Pressure is definitely building up.

Only one way to release it. 😅

Next 👇

15/ If you liked this thread, #retweet the first post to get more of this content in the future! 😍

Stay in touch + follow @DU09BTC:

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16/ Don't FUD me for not dropping the link to WSJ article. 👇

All exhibit quotes are from their article.

Here it is:
wsj.com/articles/cutti…

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More from @DU09BTC

Apr 15
1/ Time to look at the main stablecoins, including people's favorite #UST which looks rather weak.

There is one undisputed winner, despite any criticism.

The reason? Adoption, liquidity, and volume.

The rest are kings in their niche. A thread 👇

#USDT #USDC #BUSD #DAI #UST Image
2/ Ranking by market cap is easy (see pic), but that barely says anything.

What is more important is volume and where this volume comes from!

Let's do a ranking by 7-day volume divided by mcap.

See next tweet for the results. 👇 Image
3/ WoW look at that #UST adoption... barely any. Even DAI looks better.

1. #USDT = 4.78 (392 bil volume / 82 bil mcap)
2. #BUSD = 1.59 (27 / 17)
3. #USDC = 0.58 (29 / 50)
4. #DAI = 0.28 (2.5 / 9)
5. #UST = 0.20 (3.4 / 17)

Clearly, USDT and BUSD are in their own class.

Why? 👇
Read 18 tweets
Apr 12
1/ Daily Anchor Yield Reserve Update. A thread. 🧵

65 days left. 😱

Important poll in tweet #4.

Link for more juicy details at the end of this thread. 👇
2/ On track to hit 0.
3/ The total TLV in Anchor is falling by a few billions.

I wonder what caused it?

#Luna's price crashing maybe? 😅
Read 6 tweets
Apr 9
🚨 1/ Have Terra #UST & #Luna topped?

The UST market cap is giving me top signals (see pic).

Since UST & Luna are basically the same things with different labels, you need to be careful!

Particularly when #BTC is flashing a major bear signal!

Here's my update, a thread. 👇 Image
2/ Let's start with UST & why you want UST growth to continue at all costs

A falling UST mcap = more Luna minted = Luna sold = Luna crash

Basically the pump cycle, but now in reverse. This is a big NO-NO for Terra.

Let's look at Luna next 👇

3/ With the price now firmly under $100, Luna's uptrend is over.

What makes this worse is that #BTC is not giving much hopium right now.

If BTC falls under $40k, altcoins will be in HUGE trouble.

See next for a #BTC overview. 👇

Read 10 tweets
Apr 9
1/🚨 Market Update 🚨

#Bitcoin just confirmed a major bearish signal, not seen since July 2018. 😱

BTC crashed 63% after that in 2018! Can history repeat?

At least PAY ATTENTION. You cannot ignore this.

A thread. 👇 Image
2/ On the weekly timeframe, the 50-week moving average (in yellow) was just confirmed as RESISTANCE by the price action.

The detailed chart for 2022 is below.

Let's look at 2018 as well next. 👇 Image
3/ Similar to now, in 2018, the 50-week moving average acted as RESISTANCE after the price broke below it.

What followed was a 63% crash in the price of #Bitcoin.

This deserves your full attention.

How low can #BTC go this time if this pattern is confirmed? 👇 Image
Read 7 tweets
Apr 4
1/ 🚨 I started to de-risk and exit @anchor_protocol / #UST.

Just pulled out 15k UST (see pic). Will exit in full slowly.

Risk profile is too high & increasing.

#USDN crashing today is a bad omen.

20% / year is not worth the risk.

Protect capital at all costs! My reasons👇 Image
2/ Why #UST "stablecoin" and Anchor yield have a high risk profile.

This is NOT the place for your life savings!

Next 👇

3/ #USDN - algorithmic stablecoin crashing over 30% today... $1 billion in fake money vanishing.

You think #UST market cap is real? lol

Next 👇

Read 9 tweets
Apr 4
1/ Here is why #USDN is crashing, check the date.

Sounds familiar to another decentralized stablecoin?
Read 5 tweets

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