Thread by @rid1tweets

[Thread] Update of #COVID19 numbers in Gauteng 🇿🇦

Gauteng, with ~25% of SA's population, is once again the epicentre of a resurgence of #Covid_19 in South Africa 🇿🇦

A surge in infection rates, increasing demand on hospitalisations, reported deaths remain low...

Thread 🧵 ../n

Another 3,145 #COVID19 cases reported in Gauteng 🇿🇦 today, 7-day rolling avg at 2,117 ⬆️

Case incidence = 13.4 per 100k population, up to 20% of recent peak 🏔️

Case rate up 173% week-on-week or currently doubling every 4.8 days 📈

2/n

Latest test % positivity in Gauteng🇿🇦 for week ending 23 Apr = 20.2% 🚩

Not surprising given fewer people testing, but increase is steep, up from 11.9% a week prior. With 1 in every 5 tests returning a positive result, it also indicates many more cases going undetected 🧐

3/n

Hospital admissions in Gauteng 🇿🇦 have seen an increase last week, up 59% week-on-week but off a low baseline 📈

The increase is not as steep as that in infections, but needs to be monitored closely 🚑

993 patients currently in hospitals in GP, with 83 in ICU 🤲

4/n

Reported #COVID19 deaths in Gauteng 🇿🇦 remain low 🙏

Due to lag between infections and deaths, as well as reporting lag, cannot read too much into this indicator yet... However, with high levels of population immunity, >80%, hopefully more decoupling and less severe disease

5/n

While it's too early to read much into severity of current #COVID19 resurgence being experienced in Gauteng, and South Africa🇿🇦, early indications suggest a similar decoupling effect as with original #Omicron wave due to high levels of population immunity. Watching closely🧐

6/n

As ever, all comments/suggestions/criticisms always welcome! #FreeSpeech

I don't always have time to reply to all or to post the many graphs I update daily, but I'll endeavour to respond and share what's most pertinent 🤗

Take care, stay safe, and happy freedom day SA🇿🇦

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