Ted Darling Profile picture
Apr 29 11 tweets 2 min read
Hello Friday and the MONTH to date!

$CAC -2.3%
$KOPSI -3.25%
$SSEC -8.55%
$COMPQ -9.5%

$COPPER -8.7%
$WITC +5.05%
$CORN +8.65%
$COTTON +8.85%
$GASO +10.3%
$NATGAS +22.1%

$USD +5.4%
$GOLD -3.2%
$GBP -5.15%
$JPY -7.0%

$TLT -8.25%

$VIX 29.99 +46%

Let's dig into the 🧮
$NIKK closed for the next 6 trading days, but the rest of Asia ripped ↗️ into month end

$SSEC 3047 +2.4%
$TWII 16592 +1.05%
$HSI 21110 +4.1% ⬅️
$KOSPI 2695 +1.05%
$IDX 7229 +0.45%

Australia ↗️
$ASX 7435 +1.05%

India ↗️
$BSE 57830 +0.55%
Europe also rallying ↗️ into month end

$DAX 14145 +1.2%
$FTSE 7538 +0.4%
$CAC 6585 +1.2%
$AEX 716 +1.4%
$IBEX 8562 +0.6%
$MIB 24281 +0.95%
$SMI 12159 +0.8%
$MOEX 2431 +1.95% 🪆

$VSTOXX 31.28
🇺🇸 futures ↘️ after a sharp 🐻 rally

$ES 4271 -0.4%
$NQ 13352 -0.8%
$RTY 1919 +0.05%

$VIX 28.89 🔻
GOLD catching a bid ↗️ metals ↗️

$GOLD 1915 +1.25%
$SILVER 23.54 +1.55%
$COPPER 4.46 +0.7%
$PLAT 923 +1.3%
$PALL 2292 +3.7%
$ALI 3019 -0.4%
$ZINC 4155 +0.45%

$GVZ 19.00
Hydrocarbons firm ↗️

$WTIC 105.91 +0.55%
$BRENT 108.22 +0.9%
$NATGAS 6.89 unch
$GASO 3.473 -0.15%

$OVX 51.94
Grains trading ↗️

$WHEAT 1094 +0.8%
$CORN 814 +0.25%
$SOYB 1699 +0.85%
$SUGAR 19.29 +0.4%

$COFFEE 219.2 +0.55% ☕️
USD met the resistance ↘️

$USD 102.96 -0.67%
$EUR 1.057 +0.75%
$GBP 1.2557 +0.81%
$AUD 0.715 -0.8%
$USDJPY 130.18 -0.5%
$USDCHF 0.969 -0.31%
$USDCAD 1.275 -0.46%
$USDRUB 70.524 -2.12% 🪆💪
#cryptocurrencies ↘️

$BTC 39447 -0.45%
$ETH 2911 -0.65%
UST yields ↔️ to ↘️
10/2s to 19 BPS 🔻

MOVE 128.74

2Y 2.656 +0.009
5Y 2.873 -0.009
10Y 2.852 -0.011
30Y 2.92 -0.009

Global 10Ys ↔️
CAN 2.787 -0.013
AUS 3.146 -0.032
BUND 0.901 +0.003
GILT 1.853 -0.023
🩸 month for equity and bond holders

GDP ↘️ inflation ↗️
Real incomes -2.0%

FOMC set to take 👊🥣 away
Gov't spending ↘️

Don't take the 🐻🍩

Have a super profitable 💰 day!

(Tune in Sunday for a full review of April)

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More from @tdarling1

May 1
🐻♉️↗️↘️↔️⚠️🚩🔺🔻🧮
Global macro review 05/01/2022

1/11

🐰🐰 - we’re gonna need it!

Q1 GDP release this week confirmed #stagflation
Growth -1.4%
Inflation +8.0%

But what did April signal in terms of the current quad regime?

Let’s dig into the April 🧮!
2/11

UST yields ↗️ across the ⤴️

10/2s to 19.9 BPS, +20.6 BPS and out of inversion

MOVE 128.4 +20% for the month = 🛗 vol

Chart: UST2Y 2.73% + 42 BPS for the month but acceleration slowing Image
2a/11

Chart: The UST10Y 2.94% + 57 BPS with room to run Image
Read 22 tweets
Apr 24
🐻♉️↗️↘️↔️⚠️🚩🔺🔻🧮
Global macro review 4/24/2022

1/11

We got a parade of FOMC members this week, starting with Bullard 🐻 and ending with Powell 💩

Their message was clear - no 👊🥣 for you!

The equity market 🤮, $CRB ↘️, $TNX ↗️, and $USD 🚀

Let’s dig into the 🧮!
1a/11

Indeed the Federal Reserve balance sheet ↘️ -9.5B this week
2/11

With the pending 💦🍋, the $USD has become more valuable - raising havoc around the 🌏

$USD +0.9% (w) +5.8% (T) = 3 months
$USDCHF 3.0% (w) +4.9% (T)
$USDJPY +1.7% (w) +13.05% (T)
$GBP -1.75% (w) -5.3% (T)
$AUD -2.1% (w) +1.0% (T)

Chart: $USD ripping to new cycle highs
Read 23 tweets
Apr 22
Hello Friday and the week to date!

$USD +0.3%
$CNY -1.27%
$GOLD -1.35%

$BTC +2.0%
$COFFEE +1.95%
$CORN +1.45%
$COPPER -0.4%
$WTIC -2.95%
$NATGAS -4.7%

$DAX +2.4%
$CAC +1.9%
$NIKK +1.7%
$COMPQ -1.3%
$HSI -3.9%
$SSEC -4.1%

$TNX +3.15%

Let's dig into the 🧮!
Asia closed the week on a ↘️🎵

$NIKK 27105 -1.65%
$SSEC 3087 +0.25%
$TWII 17025 -0.6%
$HSI 20614 -0.35%
$KOSPI 2705 -0.85%
$IDX 7226 -0.7%

Australia ↘️
$ASX 7473 -1.55%

India ↘️
$BSE 47555 -0.6%
Europe ↘️ in the open hours

$DAX 14320 -1.25%
$FTSE 7599 -0.4%
$CAC 6625 -1.35%
$AEX 721 -1.1%
$IBEX 87535 -0.65%
$MIB 24499 -1.25%
$SMI 12300 unch
$MOEX -0.5% 🪆

$VSTOXX 24.54
Read 11 tweets
Apr 10
🐻♉️↗️↘️↔️⚠️🚩🔺🔻🧮
Global Macro Review - 4/10/2022

1/11

The 💦🍋 has begun as the #FOMC drains the 👊🥣

And they are coming after YOU dear investor

"'The Fed needs to 'inflict more losses' on the stock market in order to rein in soaring inflation.’”

Let’s dig into the 🧮!
2/11

Realizing the Fed bid is no more, bonds headed for the ⛰️⛰️

10/2s steepened ↗️ to 18.6 BPS from #inversion the week earlier

MOVE 125.96 🛗🔺

Chart: $TNX with a new cycle high 2.72% - there’s no reason this cannot go to 5-6%
3/11

Bond ETFs go 'no bid' as the 🐻🐻 continue to roam

$TLT -5.5% (w) -12.05% (T) = 3 mos
$BNDD -5.45% (w) -2.2% (T)
$LQD -3.2% (w) -9.65% (T)
$HYG -2.1% (w) -6.55% (T)
$TIP -1.2% (w) -3.65% (T)
$IVOL +1.6% (w) -3.75% (T) ⬅️

Chart: Despite #inflation, $TIP no place to hide
Read 17 tweets
Apr 8
Hello Friday!

Week to date

$BTC -5.45%
$EUR -1.5%
$GOLD +0.75%
$USD +1.15%

$CAC -3.35%
$NIKK -2.8%
$COMPQ -2.55%
$KOPSI -1.6%

$GASO -4.2%
$WTIC -3.35%
$COFFEE -1.05%
$PLAT -3.1%
$COPPER +0.25%
$CORN +2.05%
$WHEAT +4.15%
$NATGAS +11.2%

$TNX +27.5 BPS

Let's dig into the 🧮!
After a ↘️ week, Asia closed Friday ↗️

$NIKK 26986 +0.35%
$SSEC 3252 +0.45%
$TWII 17285 +0.6%
$HSI 21857 +0.2%
$KOSPI 2700 +0.15%
$IDX 7210 +1.15% ⬅️

Australia ↗️
$ASX 7478 +0.45%

India ↗️
$BSE 59444 +0.7%
Europe catching a bid ↗️ into the weekend

$DAX 14321 +1.7%
$FTSE 7641 +1.2%
$CAC 6578 +1.8%
$AEX 727 +1.45%
$IBEX 8600 +1.55%
$MIB 24843 +2.2% ⬅️
$SMI 12465 +0.75%
$MOEX 2623 -0.5% 🪆

$VSTOXX 32.53
Read 11 tweets
Apr 6
Hello 🐫 day!

As if the relentless ↗️ in yields was not enough, #Brainard reminded participants that the #FOMC is hell bent on removing the 👊🥣

What 🐫 lurks today?

Let's dig into the 🧮!
🪦 🧹 in China is over and Asia closed ↘️

$NIKK 27350 -1.6%
$SSEC 3284 unch
$TWII 17522 -0.6%
$HSI 22016 -2.15% 🐫
$KOSPI 2735 -0.9%
$IDX 7104 -0.6%

Australia ↘️
$ASX 7490 -0.5%

India ↘️
$BSE 59666 -0.85%
Europe opens ↘️ for a 2nd day 🐫

$DAX 14211 -1.5%
$FTSE 7565 -0.6%
$CAC 6559 -1.3%
$AEX 726 -1.35%
$IBEX 8534 -1.05%
$MIB 24552 -1.65%
$SMI 12326 -0.4%
$MOEX 2668 +0.2% ⬅️🪆

$VSTOXX 29.16 🔺
Read 11 tweets

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