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Apr 29, 2022 18 tweets 7 min read Read on X
1/Q: Did getting exposed to fewer germs for the last 2 years weaken our immune systems?

We've been hearing this question a lot.
dearpandemic.org/fewer-germ-exp…
2/ Not likely. If your kids are suddenly getting sick a lot, this is likely due to “catching up” on exposures rather than a weakened immune system.
3/ Many families w/ young kids have been hunkered down for the better part of 2 years– a good % of a young child’s entire life. While isolation had *many* downsides, we can agree that not having to suction snot out of infant noses or clean up norovirus puke was a happy upside.
4/ Developing immune systems constantly “sample” microbes from the environment to learn what’s friendly or not, & there are plenty of those to be found in within our interactions with family, pets, and the natural environment (let them eat dirt!).
#microbiome
5/ While it may seem that developing immune systems “needs” lots of infections to learn, in truth we evolved in small groups of humans, not crowds. Most infections we are familiar w/ evolved much later as “crowd” infections when people started gathering in more dense settlements.
6/ We don’t *need* exposure to these infections to develop our immune systems– in fact we’ve been much better off in the last 100 years as we’ve lowered the burden of infections through vaccination & improved sanitation (no one’s missing measles, smallpox, or TB, am I right?
7/ W/ COVID-19 precautions, flu dropped to almost zero. Asthma admissions also went down dramatically, likely due to avoidance of common respiratory infections as triggers. This suggests there are real benefits to avoiding infections w/ common pathogens.
theatlantic.com/health/archive…
8/ But why do kids now seem constantly sick? We may have forgotten just how often kids were sick pre-COVID, w/ an estimated 6-8 respiratory infections/ year on average. Runny noses, pink eye, strange rashes, & stomach bugs are all familiar signposts along the parenting gauntlet.
9/ There is some evidence that kids who get more infections in daycare get fewer in elementary school. But the total # of infections is similar, suggesting non-daycare kids are catching up on exposures rather than suffering from a “weak” immune system. livescience.com/9098-kids-day-…?
10/ The total number of infections is not different, just the timing. This is likely what’s happening now–we are playing catch-up from the previous two years as we resume social contact.
11/ As w/ SARS-CoV-2, if you can avoid infection w/ common respiratory or GI infections, this is all for the good. Infections may help educate our immune system by building memory, but this is like learning a stove is hot by getting burned rather than someone warning you.
12/ Vaccines & prevention measures protect us against nasty illnesses without paying the high price of infection.
13/ BOTTOM LINE:
We “need” most infectious pathogens….like we need a hole in the head. Humans have no inherent need for exposure to smallpox, cholera, measles, polio, etc, and this is also true of less severe but common respiratory infections.
14/ The human immune system needs plenty of exposure to friendly microbes in the natural environment to help educate the immune system. So let your kids get outside, garden and play in the dirt.
15/ If you haven’t been sick the last 2 years & are now playing catch-up, hang in there. There is no magic for boosting your immunity—stick to the basics of good nutrition, sleep, & lowering stress. Your immune system is still looking out for you!
16/ For more on this topic, read @CaroMT writing for @ScaryMommy: scarymommy.com/lifestyle/why-…
17/ A great thread covering some related science from @Voices4Vaccines:
18/ Overview of the need for friendly microbes & the state of the "hygiene hypothesis: pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pn…

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More from @DearPandemic

Dec 22, 2022
How can I stay safe during the holidays?

➡️Think in terms of harm reduction. Don’t let the perfect be the enemy of the good.

dearpandemic.org/safe-holidays/

#covid #rsv #flu #HolidaysAreComing

1/
2/ Just in time for Christmas, #COVID is again on the rise.

#Flu and #RSV may be peaking—but remember that there are often as many cases *after* a peak as before it.

dearpandemic.org/are-cases-peak…
3/ How can we enjoy moments w/ family & friends & lower the risk of illness?

💥 Small steps you take to reduce risk are worthwhile. A little bit better…is a little bit better.

Prevention steps that work for COVID will reduce the risk of RSV, flu, & many other nasty viruses.
Read 14 tweets
May 4, 2022
1/ Q: Has almost everyone been infected with COVID by now?
A: Recent estimates suggest around 58% of the population in the US and over 70% in England have been previously infected, with BIG increases during the Omicron wave.

dearpandemic.org/numbers-infect…
2/ A recent @CDCgov MMWR report estimated seroprevalence from a convenience sample of blood collected for medical tests.

➡️Roughly 58% of Americans showed evidence of previous SARS-CoV-2 infection in their blood by Feb '22.

cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/7…? Image
3/ ➡️ During the Omicron wave from December 2021-February 2022, this estimate increased from 33% to 58%.
➡️ Rates vary a lot by age, ranging from 33.2% for those over age 65 to 75% for those under age 18.

cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/7… Image
Read 15 tweets
Jan 27, 2022
1/ Q: Are cases peaking? That means it’s all downhill from here, right?

A: Sort of…. Remember that even if cases come down as quickly as they rise, there will be as many cases *after* the peak as before (think area under the curve).

dearpandemic.org/are-cases-peak…
2/ ➡️ And if the downward slope is *slower* than the rise, we will see *more* cases during the decline from a surge.
3/ Burning fast could be a silver lining of super transmissible #Omicron. Cases rose & fell quickly in S. Africa (w/ hospitalizations & deaths still lagging). The UK appears to have turned the Omicron corner. Many US states appear past their peak in cases, w/ regional variation:
Read 17 tweets
Dec 30, 2021
1/ Q: Case numbers are jumping QUICK! What should I be doing?

A: Share your gifts without sharing COVID. Helpful gestures come in many shapes.

dearpandemic.org/what-should-i-…

#Omicron #ThoseNerdyGirls
2/ One HUGE help: Cancel non-essential plans.

Unfortunately, this includes New Year’s Eve plans. The perfect storm of a new variant & holiday get-togethers is hitting communities & health care w/ FORCE! Testing is in short supply.
3/ Health care is under extreme pressure with surging cases. If you can avoid even one additional contact, you are helping. This is a temporary and urgent request (from a health care provider).

#MedTwitter #HCWs @IMPACT4HC
Read 10 tweets
Dec 21, 2021
1/ Q: Is it true that #Omicron is less severe than previous variants?

A: We HOPE so, but we don’t know yet. The evidence so far is mixed.

dearpandemic.org/is-omicron-les…
2/ We are WAY past due for some good variant news. But pinning our #Omicron hopes on a less virulent variant is not wise for 2 reasons:

1) It might not be less severe in those who are “immune naïve” (neither vaccinated nor with a previous infection—still millions of people).
3/ 2) Many more infections *even* if less severe can still lead to an avalanche of hospitalizations and deaths, and the risk of long Covid.

@AdamJKucharski raised this last December w/ the rise of Alpha:
Read 25 tweets

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