1) @Reuters report that Deputy Foreign Minister Andrei Rudenko has apparently suggested Russia is ready to provide a humanitarian corridor for vessels carrying food to leave Ukrainian ports, in return for the lifting of some sanctions #blockade #UkraineWar reuters.com/world/europe/r…
2) This is not the first such offer made by Russia. @SamChambers of @splash_247 reported another in March, which resulted in no ships sailing, & a different result this time would be a considerable surprise. splash247.com/no-sign-shippi…
3) Perhaps the key difference, however, is the apparent linkage of shipping movements to sanctions relief, tacitly admitting, perhaps for the 1st time, that there is actually a #blockade in place, & it may take more than raising the issue of Ukrainian mining to spin that away.
4) Report from @Orhan__Coskun of @Reuters that Turkey🇹🇷 is in negotiations with Russia🇷🇺 & Ukraine🇺🇦 to open a #maritime corridor, via the Bosphorus, for grain exports from Ukraine's blockaded Black Sea ports #blockade #UkraineWar reuters.com/markets/commod…
5) Similarly, this is not the first time Turkey has offered a #maritime solution to a humanitarian crisis during the #UkraineWar, having offered to send ships to evacuate civilians from the port of Mariupol at the start of April. This again came to nothing hurriyetdailynews.com/turkey-can-con…
6) While minesweepers of the Turkish Navy have been monitoring the waters near the Bosphorus for stray, floating mines that threaten the vital trade routes in the western Black Sea. reuters.com/world/middle-e…
7) Controlling the entrance to the Black Sea, if anything happens to end, or ease the #blockade, Turkey will be crucial, but despite @NATO membership & the 2nd most powerful navy in the area, relations with the two sides mean it is extremely unlikely Turkey will forcibly break it
8) It remains to be seen if anything comes of this initiative & expectations should not be high, though Turkey is also reportedly one of the countries more exposed to the #blockade's effects, & so there may yet be domestic pressure to make something happen reuters.com/markets/asia/r…
9) Italy🇮🇹 is the latest country to announce an effort to help end the #blockade of #Ukraine's🇺🇦 Black Sea ports. Anything here appears to be in the very earliest stages, however, as Prime Minister Draghi appears yet to speak to @ZelenskyyUa or @RTErdogan reuters.com/markets/europe…

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Dr Phil Weir

Dr Phil Weir Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @navalhistorian

Apr 30
1) Excellent #UkraineWar #thread🧵 by @DAlperovitch on Russia's de facto maritime blockade of Ukraine's southern coast & some of the difficulties involved in lifting it.
2) For more on Russia's de facto maritime blockade of Ukraine's southern coast & the naval situation from the start of the war, significant elements of which still hold, do check out this #thread🧵 from March
3) And more recently this @defaeroreport #Podcast🎧🗣️ with @CavasShips & @CSSProvision, talking #Moskva, blockade & trade protection in the #BlackSea, & Russia's apparent inability to otherwise exploit their #maritime superiority in the #UkraineWar defaeroreport.com/2022/04/15/cav…
Read 6 tweets
Apr 24
Interesting @ForeignPolicy piece by Emily Ferris of @ISS_RUSI looking at Russia's reliance on & troubles with rail transport in its #UkraineWar
However, it's worth bearing in mind, particularly amid further talk about Odesa & Mykolaiv, that Russia also has a port opening problem.
Probably the first port Russian forces took in the first days of the #UkraineWar was Berdyansk. The first ships to enter arrived in the middle of March & around ten days later they appeared to have cleared just two berths, whereupon the Saratov was sunk.
It would appear that since the loss of the Saratov, Berdyansk has either not, or been little used. Whether this is due to the sunken hulk of the Saratov & other damage, or ongoing issues with the port's security from further attack, or both, is unclear.
Read 8 tweets
Apr 23
The @USNavy aircraft carrier @USSHARRYSTRUMAN pulling into Trieste in Italy marks something of a lull what has been a huge amount of naval activity to reinforce & reassure @NATO allies since the start of the #UkraineWar
After her 65 day #Clemenceau22 deployment (much of which was spent in company with @USSHARRYSTRUMAN & the @ItalianNavy aircraft carrier Cavour), @MarineNationale's @French_CSG returned to Toulon on 7th April 2022
While the @RoyalNavy's @HMSPWLS returned to @HMNBPortsmouth on 20th April after her stint in the #Arctic High North for Exercises #ColdResponse22 off Norway🇳🇴 & #NorthernViking22 off Iceland🇮🇸
Read 11 tweets
Apr 3
1) Okay, since "coastal-defence equipment" for #Ukraine has been mentioned by the British Defence Secretary, a few days late & to only slightly more than the usual lack of public demand (😉), a little #thread🧵with a few thoughts on what that might mean. #UkraineWar
2) For those interested in the wider context of what broadly still appears to be the state of play in the naval war in the Black Sea, this #thread🧵 posted a month ago, should still be of some use (though the situation ashore may have changed somewhat).
3) The key questions, therefore, are :
a) What might be supplied (predominantly in the British context, since that is who is making the suggestion), &
b) What effect might this have?
Inevitably, perhaps, 1st thoughts tend to turn to anti-ship missiles.
Read 27 tweets
Mar 14
Some shots from the bridge of @RoyalNavy amphibious ship @hms_albion of some of the @NATO naval fleet assembling off Norway🇳🇴 for Exercise Cold Response 22 including:
@ItalianNavy🇮🇹 Giuseppe Garibaldi
@RoyalNavy🇬🇧 @HMSPWLS
@MarineNationale🇫🇷 Dixmude
@kon_marine 🇳🇱HNLMS Rotterdam
Not to mention, of course @RoyalNavy Type 45 destroyer @HMSDefender (added to the #thread🧵 because frankly, that's just a damned fine photo📷😉)
While a P-3C Orion maritime patrol aircraft of @Forsvaret_no tracks the Russian Navy Northern Fleet, including the big, nuclear-powered battlecruiser Peter the Great, as it deploys to intercept & observe #ColdResponse22
Read 5 tweets
Mar 8
1) An excellent #thread🧵 by @WarintheFuture on the oft neglected southern front in the #UkraineWar & its importance, covering many aspects ashore, so here's a little additional #thread🧵 looking into some of the naval & maritime aspects that hopefully further enrich the picture.
2) As @WarintheFuture points out Ukraine's maritime south is economically vital to the country, handling 60% of its exports & 50% of its imports while containing a number of very large & important industrial centres, not least its 3rd largest city - Odesa.
3) So what has happened to this vital, maritime trade since the start of the #UkraineWar? Well, put bluntly - as @MarineTraffic demonstrates here - it has stopped. Nothing is coming out to help Ukraine's economy, & nothing is coming in to aid the fight.
Read 33 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(