2/10 How can we say with confidence that 🇺🇦 is fighting for 🇪🇺? Well, there is a simple thought experiment for you.
Would 🇪🇺 be safer if 🇺🇦’s bravest sons and daughters weren’t willing to give their lives in a fight against genocidal neo-fascists? nytimes.com/2022/05/19/opi…
3/10 Would the world be safer if the barbarians, who indiscriminately shell civilian targets, who kill, rape, and torture, succeeded in their war of conquest and captured Kyiv in three days, as the Kremlin reportedly wished? bbc.com/news/world-eur…
4/10 Would we be able to count on peace and prosperity on our continent, if the rules-based international order had collapsed? Surely, Ukraine is defending its own land, its right to self-determination, and freedom. But make no mistake, Ukraine is fighting for Europe
5/10 Putin has used energy as a weapon against 🇪🇺 for a long time. This cannot go on.
Russian artillery is leveling Ukrainian cities, At the same time, the continued Russian gas imports are stabbing us in the back.
6/10 As long as the diversionary pipelines, like Nord Stream 1 and TurkStream, are kept in operation, Ukraine’s security posture remains much weaker than it could otherwise be. tsoua.com/en/news/gtsou-…
7/10 russia’s latest offensive in Donbas made it impossible for us to operate 1 of 2 major entry points into our transit network. What happened next, surprised no one. kremlin launched a misinformation campaign, refused to reroute gas flows, & blamed 🇺🇦 tsoua.com/en/news/the-ac…
8/10 To be sure, Russia actually closed the valve on its side of the border. The only party responsible for the interruption of gas flows is Russia.
At GTSOU, we have demonstrated our reliability as a partner for Europe.
9/10 For 3 months, our repair crews risk their lives to keep gas flowing westward despite missile attacks.
🇷🇺 sabotaging our transit route is yet another instance of energy blackmail. Putin’s goal has not changed, he wants the gas flows diverted from 🇺🇦 tsoua.com/en/news/ukrain…
10/10 The more dependent 🇷🇺 is on 🇺🇦 for gas transit, the stronger are our deterrents. Immediate termination of NS1 will have a massive symbolic significance. It will strengthen 🇺🇦, demonstrate 🇪🇺 unity, and finally disarm Putin’s energy weapon and conclusively call out blackmail
⚡️ Thread 1/14
"Nord Stream 1 is not advancing 🇪🇺 interests and it is still pumping 🇷🇺 gas exports directly to 🇩🇪, bypassing 🇺🇦. There has never been a better time to shut it down."
our CEO, S. Makogon shares his views in an op-ed for @EURACTIV
2/14 For decades, Putin played hardball with the gas trade, and Europe usually met it with appeasement and acquiescence. In Ukraine, we found it puzzling. Europe depends on Russia for less than half of its gas, but Russia depends on Europe for pretty much all of its revenue.
3/14 When it comes to natural gas, Putin’s pivot to Asia is an empty threat. First of all, Russia’s extensive pipeline network is heavily oriented toward Europe.
“the German People must learn how the intrinsic signalling that came along with the continued failure by Merkel’s government to terminate #NordStream2 was perversely interpreted by putin as a green light to attack Ukraine.” Writes M. Gonchar for @EURACTIV
“With the pipelines of death, the Kremlin had two objectives: to squeeze Ukraine out of the gas transit and cement Gazprom’s hold over European gas markets – controlling transit routes and the commodity. This was never about commerce.”
“As long as Russia depended on Ukraine for gas transit, Putin’s hands were tied, and he couldn’t wage his war. When Nord Stream 1 was launched in 2011, transit via Ukraine was cut. Turk Stream started flowing gas to Europe in 2020. The same story repeated itself.”
We said continuity of transit was Ukraine's biggest non-military barrier to Russian aggression. Now we see it 2/5
We offered as much transit capacity as Europe needed, but Gazprom chose not to use it and blackmail Europe instead. If you ever claimed this was Ukraine's fault, now your public apology would be welcomed 3/5
Indiscriminate shelling of nonmilitary targets, civilian population, and strategic infrastructure by the russian invaders has resulted in a major accident on the Kramatorsk-Donetsk-Mariupol gas pipeline. tsoua.com/news/stan-robo…
2/8 Our system engineers recorded a sharp pressure change in the transmission system and had to shut off the gas flows.
As a result of russian attack, 24 gas distribution stations in the region have no gas supply.
3/8 About 1m consumers in Donetsk & Zaporizhzhia provinces have no gas. Our local teams and the engineering department in our Kyiv HQ are looking for technical solutions to minimize the losses and restore the gas supplies.
NS2 was never going to bring new gas to 🇪🇺
It's a question of simple arithmetic.
🟨 total gas exports from 🇷🇺 to 🇪🇺 in 2021 = 140 bcm
🟨 maximum gas exports from 🇷🇺 to 🇪🇺 estimated at ~200 bcm by Gazprom itself
🟨 total existing transit capacity to bring 🇷🇺 gas to 🇪🇺 = 266 bcm
The gas crunch in Europe is a consequence of discretionary and deliberate efforts by Gazprom.
Don't take our word for it, just ask @fbirol of @IEA - the most respected international body, staunchly neutral, always objective and data-driven
[THREAD]: The #EnergyCrisis and #gasprice 📈is a consequence of deliberate choices by a dominant gas supplier to Europe not to use the existing gas transmission infrastructure
Russia talks of increased gas "supplies" to Europe but not “exports”
The difference seems subtle🤔 the consequences are not 🚨
To boost “supplies,” Gazprom is emptying its EU storage facilities (stoking fears ➠ pushing up prices 📈) and hides behind "delivering on obligations"
Gazprom increased production by 18% this year, which allowed Russia to triple its exports to China and Turkey, but not Europe 🤔 #gascrisis#energycrunch