🪆 the nested doll of lies - a story of russian energy blackmail:
😱a sanctioned turbine (currently in 🇨🇦) is necessary to operate Nord Stream 1
🧐There’re 7 turbines, this is only 1 of them. Turbines currently operating are sufficient for full capacity
reuters.com/world/exclusiv… 😱 without #NordStream2 - Europe can’t attain energy security
🧐 putin’s energy weapon was never going to bring new gas to Europe; it’s only purpose was to squeeze Ukraine out of transit. As M Gonchar convincingly argued, it ruined European security

euractiv.com/section/global…

⚡️ Latest by S. Makogon on putin's favourite gas pipeline #NordStream1 via @KyivIndependent
Spoiler alert: it's time to 🛑 shut it down 🛑

"Rusia started this war, but it falls upon all of us, not just #Ukraine, to end it"

Thread 🧵 1/10
kyivindependent.com/opinion/sergiy… 2/10 How can we say with confidence that 🇺🇦 is fighting for 🇪🇺? Well, there is a simple thought experiment for you.

Would 🇪🇺 be safer if 🇺🇦’s bravest sons and daughters weren’t willing to give their lives in a fight against genocidal neo-fascists?
nytimes.com/2022/05/19/opi…

⚡️ Thread 1/14
"Nord Stream 1 is not advancing 🇪🇺 interests and it is still pumping 🇷🇺 gas exports directly to 🇩🇪, bypassing 🇺🇦. There has never been a better time to shut it down."
our CEO, S. Makogon shares his views in an op-ed for @EURACTIV

euractiv.com/section/global… 2/14 For decades, Putin played hardball with the gas trade, and Europe usually met it with appeasement and acquiescence. In Ukraine, we found it puzzling. Europe depends on Russia for less than half of its gas, but Russia depends on Europe for pretty much all of its revenue.

“the German People must learn how the intrinsic signalling that came along with the continued failure by Merkel’s government to terminate #NordStream2 was perversely interpreted by putin as a green light to attack Ukraine.” Writes M. Gonchar for @EURACTIV

euractiv.com/section/global… “With the pipelines of death, the Kremlin had two objectives: to squeeze Ukraine out of the gas transit and cement Gazprom’s hold over European gas markets – controlling transit routes and the commodity. This was never about commerce.”

#THREAD
For years we said, Ukraine is a reliable transit partner for 🇪🇺 Reject #NordStream2, don't let putin weaponize energy

To every doubter out there, to everyone who questioned GTSOU's reliability, to every gazprom apologist who supported NS2

1/5
wsj.com/articles/ukrai… We said continuity of transit was Ukraine's biggest non-military barrier to Russian aggression. Now we see it
2/5

THREAD 1/8

Operational Update / 12th day of war

Indiscriminate shelling of nonmilitary targets, civilian population, and strategic infrastructure by the russian invaders has resulted in a major accident on the Kramatorsk-Donetsk-Mariupol gas pipeline.
tsoua.com/news/stan-robo… 2/8 Our system engineers recorded a sharp pressure change in the transmission system and had to shut off the gas flows.
As a result of russian attack, 24 gas distribution stations in the region have no gas supply.

QUESTION: now that 🇩🇪 halted certification of #NordStream2 will it cause gas shortages in Europe?

ANSWER: no.

in 2021, ~40 BCM of gas arrived in 🇪🇺 via #Ukraine 🇺🇦 (that's roughly equivalent to 🇩🇪's total gas consumption)

0 BCM of gas was transited to 🇪🇺 via #NS2

🧵THREAD NS2 was never going to bring new gas to 🇪🇺
It's a question of simple arithmetic.
🟨 total gas exports from 🇷🇺 to 🇪🇺 in 2021 = 140 bcm
🟨 maximum gas exports from 🇷🇺 to 🇪🇺 estimated at ~200 bcm by Gazprom itself
🟨 total existing transit capacity to bring 🇷🇺 gas to 🇪🇺 = 266 bcm

[THREAD]: The #EnergyCrisis and #gasprice 📈is a consequence of deliberate choices by a dominant gas supplier to Europe not to use the existing gas transmission infrastructure Russia talks of increased gas "supplies" to Europe but not “exports”
The difference seems subtle🤔 the consequences are not 🚨
To boost “supplies,” Gazprom is emptying its EU storage facilities (stoking fears ➠ pushing up prices 📈) and hides behind "delivering on obligations"

The 5-year contract which was signed in 2019 foresees the transit volumes of 40 bcm in 2021, which amounts to 109 mcm/day.
It is deeply alarming 🚨 and quite informative to note that Gazprom is now paying for capacity and not using it! Since the beginning of the month, Gazprom is shipping 86 mcm/day which is ~25% less than what it's paying for. There is a great disconnect between the words and the actions when it comes to the role of the Russian Federation in the European gas crunch.
#EnergyCrisis #GasPrice

🤔 it is possible for Russia to "increase supplies" of #natgas to Europe and create market fear 😱 that contributed to the quadrupling of prices since June?
💡 A few hints below 👇👇👇 Hint 1: gas "supplies" is a loaded word. Many automatically equate "increased supplies" with more gas exports from 🇷🇺 to 🇪🇺.
That's not the case. Gazprom is emptying its EU storage (stoking fears ➠ pushing up prices 📈) and hides behind "delivering on obligations"