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Raj Rajnarayanan Profile picture
@RajlabN
Jun 7, 2022 • 5 tweets • 5 min read • Read on X
Scrolly
CDC #NOWCAST Variant Proportions Predictions
- #USA (6/7/22)

62.2% BA.2.12.1 (S:L452Q)
24.8% BA.2
7.6% BA.5 (S:L452R/F486V)<<<
5.4% BA.4 (S:L452R/F486V) <<<

Get Boosted and #MaskUp

Source: covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tra… @CDCgov
Region 8 is a BA.4 Hotspot

~13.1% BA.4 in circulation in region comprising of #Colorado, #Montana, #Utah, #NorthDakota, #SouthDakota, #Wyoming
BA.4 hotspots by HHS Region - USA
HHS Region 6 is a BA.5 Hotspot

~13.2% of BA.5 is in circulation in HHS Region 6 comprised of #Arkansas, #Louisiana, #Oklahoma, #NewMexico and #Texas
BA.5 Hotspots by HHS Region - USA

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More from @RajlabN

Raj Rajnarayanan Profile picture
Oct 20
Tracking #SARSCoV2 #Lineages - Globally |10/19/24

Top lineages -#30DayTrends #G30

KP.3.1.1 (41.9%)
XEC (10.5%)👀
KP.2.3 (3.1%)
MC.13 (3.1%)
MC.16 (2.6%)
MC.1 (2.5%)
KP.3.3 (2.3%)
LB.1.3.1 (1.9%)
MC.10 (1.7%)
MC.11 (1.4%)
XEC.2 (1.3%)👀



1/n public.tableau.com/app/profile/ra…Image
Granular details #Global #30DayTrends

KP.3.1.1* is still the top circulating group of lineages in the world.

This analysis includes #SARSCoV2 sequences submitted to @GISAID with sample collection dates on or after 09/19/2024 (11,851sequences)

2/n Image
@GISAID Thanks to all the countries that are supporting #SARSCoV2 testing and rapidly submitting sequences to @GISAID

Top submitters #Canada #USA #France #UK #Netherlands #Sweden #Spain #Japan #Italy
#Denmark #Australia #Ireland #Singapore
#China #NewZealand #Slovenia #Germany

3/n Image
Read 4 tweets
Raj Rajnarayanan Profile picture
Sep 27
#SARSCoV2 #VariantProportions - #USA |09/27/24

@CDCgov #Nowcast 2-Week estimates

KP.3.1.1 (JN.1.11.1.3.1.1) is still the top circulating lineage in the USA

🚨XEC makes an entry @ 5.7%



1/n covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tra…
Image
Reliable nowcast estimates are available only for HHS regions 2, 3, 4, 5, 7 and 9

Other regions did not sequence enough

2/n Image
KP.3.1.1* group of lineages

In the @CDCgov nowcast chart....
KP.3.1.1* is not further separated in to MC.1-MC.16 sub-lineages

3/n Image
Read 6 tweets
Raj Rajnarayanan Profile picture
Sep 8
Tracking #SARSCoV2 #Lineages - Globally |09/07/24

Top lineages -#30DayTrends

KP.3.1.1 (37.1%)
KP.2.3 (9%)
KP.3.3 (5.7%)
KP.3.1 (2.9%)
XDV.1 (2.9%)
KP.1.1.3 (2.7%)
LB.1 (2.3%)
LB.1.3 (2.1%)
KP.2.2 (2%)
---
XEC (1.4%)👀

Track #G30 :

1/n public.tableau.com/app/profile/ra…
Image
Granular details #Global #30DayTrends

KP.3.1.1* is still the top circulating group of lineages in the world.

This analysis includes #SARSCoV2 sequences submitted to @GISAID with sample collection dates on or after 08/08/2024 (12,884 sequences)

2/n Image
@GISAID Thanks to all the countries that are supporting #SARSCoV2 testing and rapidly submitting sequences to @GISAID

Top submitters #USA #Canada #UK #Sweden #Japan
#China #Spain #Australia #Germany #Denmark #SouthKorea #France #Singapore #NewZealand #Ireland #Italy #Netherlands Image
Read 16 tweets
Raj Rajnarayanan Profile picture
Sep 1
What the XEC!

Recombinant #SARSCoV2 lineage #XEC (recombinant of KS.1.1/KP.3.3) has the potential to outcompete other circulating lineages in #USA (and other countries)

More data is needed to provide a reliable growth advantage estimates
Image
#VariantHunters are closely monitoring XEC.1 with signature mutations Spike K182R & ORF1a:L4182F
XEC.1 was proposed by #VariantHunter @siamosolocani

github.com/sars-cov-2-var…
Read 5 tweets
Raj Rajnarayanan Profile picture
Aug 25
Tracking #SARSCoV2 #Lineages - Globally |08/25/24

Top lineages -#30DayTrends

KP.3.1.1 (30.1%)👀
KP.2.3 (11%)
KP.3.3 (7.1%)
KP.3.1 (4.2%)
LB.1.7 (2.7%)
KP.2 (2.5%)
LB.1 (2.5%)
KP.1.1.3 (2.5%)
KP.2.2 (2.2%)
---
XEC (0.4%)

Track #G30 :

1/n public.tableau.com/app/profile/ra…
Image
Granular details #Global #30DayTrends

KP.3.1.1* is the top circulating group of lineages in the world. This analysis includes #SARSCoV2 sequences submitted to @GISAID with sample collection dates on or after 07/25/2024 (14,688 sequences)

2/n Image
@GISAID Thanks to all the countries that are still supporting #SARSCoV2 testing and rapidly submitting sequences to @GISAID

Top submitters: #USA #Canada #UK #Japan #Spain
#Sweden #Netherlands #SouthKorea #Denmark #Israel #Ireland #Singapore #Australia #China #Germany #Italy #France Image
Read 17 tweets
Raj Rajnarayanan Profile picture
Aug 11
Tracking #SARSCoV2 #Lineages - Globally |08/10/24

Top lineages -#30DayTrends

KP.3.1.1 (24.2%)👀
KP.2.3 (9.5%)
KP.3.3 (8.4%)
KP.3.1 (5.9%)
LB.1 (2.5%)
KP.2.2 (2.4%)
KP.2 (2.4%)
KP.3 (2.3%)
LB.1.7 (2.3%)
KP.3.2.3 (2.2%)

Track #G30 :

1/n public.tableau.com/app/profile/ra…
Image
Granular details #Global #30DayTrends

KP.3.1.1 is the top circulating lineage in the world. This analysis includes #SARSCoV2 sequences submitted to @GISAID with sample collection dates on or after 07/11/2024 (15,325 sequences)

2/n Image
@GISAID Thanks to all the countries that are still supporting #SARSCoV2 testing and rapidly submitting sequences to @GISAID

Top submitters: #USA #Canada #UK #Japan #Spain
#France #China #Netherlands #Israel #Ireland
#Australia #Singapore #Denmark #Italy #Sweden #Germany #Guatemala Image
Read 21 tweets

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