Thread by @ecfr

In our latest #opinionpolling report, we highlight emerging fractures between and within societies that threaten European unity in response to Russia’s war against #Ukraine.
buff.ly/3HjKv09
#ECFRdata @ECFRPower

A thread on the main findings ⬇️/8

2/8Europeans are divided between wanting “peace” 🕊️ and wanting “justice” ⚖️ from the war. Across 10 countries, 35% want “Peace”, and 22% want “Justice”. Another 20% are Swing voters – those who can't choose between the two but still support the EU response to the war.

3/8Russia is universally blamed for starting the #UkraineWar and is also seen as the biggest obstacle to peace, especially in 🇫🇮 🇬🇧🇵🇱 🇸🇪. A comparable picture is also evident when identifying #Russia as the chief obstacle to a potential peace agreement.

4/8Most respondents believe in severing economic, diplomatic & cultural relations with #Russia. Europeans also want to reduce their dependence on 🇷🇺 oil and gas – even at the expense of the bloc’s #climate goals, indicating public support for the new #sanctions.

5/8Most Europeans want the war to end ASAP, even if it means territorial losses for #Ukraine. Many believe the war will ultimately hurt the EU – more than it will affect China or the US. The biggest concerns for Europeans are increased living costs and Russian #nuclear weapons.

6/8Geography isn't the most important factor for citizens’ attitudes. There are significant divergences ↔️ between countries that share a border with Ukraine. Poles and Romanians strongly differ in their political solidarity, economic/military assistance and in blaming Russia.

7/8If badly handled the gap between the “peace camp” and the “justice camp” over Ukraine could be as damaging as that between creditors and debtors during the euro crisis, conclude
@markhleonard and Ivan #Krastev

8/8Full report 📜 available here: buff.ly/3HjKv09 @ECFRPower #UkraineWar