1/4 Trend Precognition made perfect calls at the start of a 10 Day, 725% rally on @Barn_Bridge coin #BOND and then signaled SHORT for a 53% dump.
Note: The strength of the signal has no relation to the size of the move, it only indicates the probability of an accurate call....
2/4 Through the cycle, the MTF Mean Reversion indi gave a bunch of #TradingSignals. MTF has an impressive hit rate, but I don't want to create the illusion that these indicators nail it 100% of the time.
3/4 Spot checking through MTF signals you can see that even some of the higher entries scalped profits quickly before the cascade continued down. This is why we choose lower TP targets in these market conditions, and it illustrates why #riskmanagement is critical to your success.
4/4 It's only been a day since the dump, and based on our performance data there is a >96% chance that those signals will turn profitable within a 5 day window. Time will tell.
Here's the variable deviation strategy used on the above MTF setup.
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1/11 We've been trading sideways most of the weekend, but today is a Daily, Weekly and Monthly candle close. Expecting some volatility.
This 🧵 will analyze #Ethereum charts and Trend Precognition signals to see how things are developing as we near the close. #NFA
2/11 Yesterday I shared an #ETHUSDT chart showing a tentative short signal from the Trend Precognition A2+ algo. At last night's D close the signal printed and new short signals appeared on both the A2+ algo (arrows) and A1 algo (dots).
3/11 Trend Precognition signals won't print until the D close, but confluence between the A1 and A2+ algos increases the probability of accuracy. The fact that the short signals also have confluence with technical resistance at the 100 DMA increases probability that #ETH is toppy
2/In bear markets everyone is looking for a relief rally to exit or add short. Those are good strategies if you can tell the difference between a fakeout and a breakout. #FOMO + failure to identify invalidation levels are why so many people get rekt. #BullTrap#ShortSqueeze
3/ Identifying targets is easy. Determining breakout or fakeout is more challenging, and while there are no sure things, there are some things we can look at to help mitigate risk of getting trapped. To get some perspective, let's start with an ultra wide macro view of #BTC