In 2024 they will have presidential elections in #Russia, in #Ukraine and in the States. This deadline is worth keeping in mind when predicting the future: 🧵
- Putin changed the constitution to allow him to serve as a president after 2024. The elections won't be free, but dictators like to keep up the appearances. They don't like being called dictators. Therefore the election theatre requires something to cheer for (Ukraine!)
- #Putin is expecting that in two years EU will fall into chaos due to the energy.
- Russia is waiting the global south starve or fall into chaos due to the famine, unless they support Russia.
- Two years is a very short period of time. However two years is a long period when you think of the news cycle and the stamina of the citizens in the West (including Ukraine) - or this is what Russia is counting on. We have to prove Putin wrong. End of 🧵 #turpo#Venäjä
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Tapaus #MattiSaarelainen. Jos ihminen pelaa Venäjän pussiin systemaattisesti ja vuosien ajan, yleensä ajatellaan että taustalla on taloudellinen hyöty. Se toki on mahdollista, mutta syitä voi olla myös muita, alla niistä lisää. (1/x) 🧵 #Venäjä#turpo
Saarelaisen tapauksessa on syytä myös kysyä, onko Saarelaisella kiristämiseen kelpaavaa materiaalia suomalaisista virkamiehistä tai vaikka ulkomaisista merkkihenkilöistä.Saarelainen on saanut operoida niin pitkään ja hänen toimiaan on salailtu. (2/x)
Peittely voi johtua myös mainehaitan pelosta tai sitten Saarelaisella on ollut jotain annettavaa vastalahjaksi.
Venäjän kelkkaan joutuneiden henkilöiden motiiveja:
- kompromatti eli kiristysmateriaali. (3/x)
Why am I not surprised? Of course there's a connection to the #Russia'n propaganda professionals behind the Quran-burning project in Sweden. (1/x) 🧵#Nato#Ukraineis.fi/ulkomaat/art-2…
When #Finland decided to join NATO, we had numerous headlines worried about possible cyber attacks or hybrid operations against Finland. It was like citizens and tabloids were certain that something like that would happen. (2/x)
When nothing happened last year, it was considered as a sign of Russian weakness: the propaganda front had collapsed just like the Russian military front in Ukraine. (3/x)
Jännityksen ystäville:
- @antti_tuomainen : Majavateoria (hanki koko trilogia)
- Niklas Natt och Dag: hanki koko trilogia, päätösosa 1795 ilmestyi tänä vuonna #isänpäivä#lahjavinkki (3/x)
About terrorist #bombings by #Russia 1) RU's main tool of influence is spreading terror and fear. The goal is to influence policies in different countries. In #Ukraine they try to affect the conduct of the Ukrainian government. (1/x) 🧵
2) Ukraine is becoming the most experienced nation in dealing with this terror tool. Russian intimidation is not making them scared, but more resistant.
Note: They already had #Chernobyl. They've also experienced a politically motivated genocide, #Holodomor. (2/x)
>>Ukrainians have plenty to teach to their fellow Europeans about how to deal with Russian intimidation. Let's learn from them! (3/x)
Some of you have wondered, why an earth would Russia destroy its own infra #nordstream. The question itself is the answer: all eye balls on the #gaspipe and national security > the attention is drawn to something else than Ukraine. Besides: (1/x) 🧵
- If a country is willing to kill it's own citizens the way #Russia does, why infra would be some special exception? (2/x)
- If #Putin is ok with using terrorist attacks against Russia's own citizens, why infra would be such an impossible idea? Remember how he rose to power? By blowing up apartment buildings and claiming it was a terrorist attack.(3/x)
About "referendums" in #Ukraine. Many have asked, why #Russia even makes the effort to stage "#referendums", which look so fake to any Western country. But let's go back a bit and look at the #Baltic states under Soviet occupation.(1/x) 🧵
- In Baltic states we know this "referendum"-play very well: the USSR occupied Baltic states through performances that bears similarities to these "referendums". (2/x)
- As a result in my textbooks in #Finland there was no word about occupation, but I was told how Balts "joined" happily to the family of Soviet republics. This is what Finnish curriculum taught at school a decade after decade.(3/x)