Sunday 8/28 analysis. An obvious setup for Monday is coming. BTC is hovering at/around the $20k mark, which means consolidation for the time being. It's clear that BTC is ready to follow the SPY for the new week.
For those that have been following what I'm doing, it's clear that doesn't mean bullish. tradingview.com/x/UXUy5E0Q/ BTC can't even make it over tiny MA's at this time, and top of MA resistance on short term is $21.6k to continue downtrend.
Funding history shows shorts taking profit are the only thing bringing things up from under $20k. binance.com/en/futures/fun…
On top of that at best, we have a significant 3 week timeframe *Sell/short* signal from the first major drop under $20k, that only looks like it's being continued. tradingview.com/x/clRZi2eQ/
So...it's about as bearish as it gets, folks. Down is the way to go, look for suspect things that pump to short, etc.
Of notice is that dogechain (DC) was launched in this bullshit to try to extract money, and are clearly succeeding at it. I mean devs cashed out immediately on multiple chains, does that spell faith in a project?
But sure, #bitcoin is perfect sound money and an #inflationhedge and all always goes up, and...what am I missing again? Oh right, #tornadocash, known for funding Russia and North Korea directly. Clearly a great thing to stand behind in these bearish times.
And to top it off, we have the 3 *month* DXY just getting started on bullishness. 3 MONTH! tradingview.com/x/bYicXRDc/ bullish crossup and buy/long signal which can last months to years given that it's a 3 MONTH signal. Signals can last from 1-8+ candles, y'all.
Asia/Europe/Latin America/Canada/Australia, US is clearly about to rule you entirely, as everyone else is screwed. It should be interesting to see mass import of US goods to all of the above, because that's what's next. I'd be looking to American utilities exports to explode.
First, let's do some TA. tradingview.com/x/lmjBtqFy/ - we have a macro inverted head and shoulders on the quarterly DXY. So....that's possibly a year, two years? More? Not going to be bullish for crypto, for sure.
Next, we have 3 month BTC - which is just starting to turn for the first time in a long time. Yep....tradingview.com/x/s7Z7H7ok/
So, what do we have? We have #short#squeezes on thin air. I had suspicion of #bear#traps, and well.....yeah. Can't exactly say I'm surprised.
At this time, weekly charts are by and large unchanged. tradingview.com/x/J8cJYTLY/ - bearish, see ya later. So far. Obviously this #fakeout back and forth stuff when we're at a pivot leaves me at a little bit of indecision.
Daily charts also say LOL, because we're literally sitting on top of a horizontal support going way back, and yet...we already went under it once and for sure did not strongly bounce off it. Usually when this occurs, market goes down. tradingview.com/x/2q3KlQ0m/
1/ Macro bearish — it’s worse than I expected. - Cryptocurrency Market/Bitcoin analysis 8/27.
Turns out, things are more bleak than I expected. I just needed to zoom out enough to see it. One of the two I see is the end of a 5 year, macro bull trend in Bitcoin.
2/ Yep, everyone says crypto moves fast, well….guess what. Surprise! Macro trend is waiting for ya. Oh, and MT GOX release is tomorrow. see that volume trend? tradingview.com/x/e4SCMGkG/ This basically implies that we have yet to correct.
3/ from 2018, which fits with one potential thesis that we will see sub-2018 lows. Yep, that under $4k a few folks have mentioned, it may be coming. What with BTC hovering around 20k ready to drop, and imminent global market turning mega bearish.