Ted Darling Profile picture
Sep 21 โ€ข 11 tweets โ€ข 3 min read
Hello ๐Ÿซ day!

Last day of summer ๐ŸŒป
#FOMC announcement ๐Ÿ’ฆ
๐Ÿช†mobilization ๐Ÿฅท with โ˜ข๏ธ threat

What could possibly go wrong?

Let's dig into the market ๐Ÿงฎ!
Asia closed broadly โ†˜๏ธ again

$NIKK 27313 -1.35% ๐Ÿ‘
$SSEC 3117 -0.15%
$TWII 14425 -0.85%
$HSI 18429 -1.9% ๐Ÿซ
$KOSPI 2347 -0.85%
$IDX 7271 -0.35%

Australia โ†˜๏ธ
$ASX 6700 -1.55%

India โ†˜๏ธ
$BSE 59468 -0.4%
Europe โ†”๏ธ despite ๐Ÿช†๐Ÿฅทโ˜ข๏ธ

$DAX 12602 -0.55%
$FTSE 7224 +0.45%
$CAC 5956 -0.4%
$AEX 661 -0.15%
$IBEX 7867 -0.05%
$MIB 21859 +0.4%
$SMI 10413 -0.6%
$MOEX 2155 -2.75% โฌ…๏ธ๐Ÿช†๐Ÿซ

$VSTOXX 27.81 ๐Ÿ”บ๐Ÿ›—

$DAX range = 12563 - 13353 ๐Ÿป
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ futures โ†”๏ธ after $SPX -1.15%

$ES 3857 unch
$NQ 11845 -0.05%
$RTY 1791 +0.15%

$VIX 27.52 ๐Ÿ”บ๐Ÿ›—

$SPX range = 3784 - 3994 ๐Ÿ†•๐Ÿป
$VIX range = 22.17 - 28.26 neutral
GOLD catching a bid โ†—๏ธ on ๐Ÿช†๐Ÿฅทโ˜ข๏ธ

$GOLD 1678 +0.45%
$SILVER 19.402 +1.15%
$COPPER 3.482 -0.6%
$PLAT 932 +1.05%
$PALL 2180 +0.4%
$ALI 2228 -1.0%
$ZINC 3131 +0.2%

$GVZ 18.59 ๐Ÿ”บ

$GOLD range = 1647 - 1723 ๐Ÿป
$COPPER range = 3.37 - 3.72 ๐Ÿป
Hydrocarbons โ†—๏ธ

$WTIC 86.03 +2.5%
$BRENT 92.79 +2.4%
$NATGAS 7.876 +2.05%
$GASO 2.503 +2.3%

$OVX 48.23 ๐Ÿ”บ

$WTIC range = 80.31 - 88.39 ๐Ÿป
$NATGAS range = 7.14 - 9.83 โ™‰๏ธ
Grains โ†—๏ธ after $WHEAT ๐ŸŒพ +7.6% ๐Ÿš€

$WHEAT 907.25 +1.6%
$CORN 696 +0.55%
$SOYB 1483 +0.25%
$SUGAR 18.30 +0.85%

$COFFEE 225 -0.35% โ˜•๏ธ

$DBA range = 20.22 - 20.92 neutral
$USD to a 20-year high ๐Ÿ’ช

$USD 110.49 +0.5%
$EUR 0.991 -0.64%
$GBP 1.1334 -0.35%
$AUD 0.667 -0.28%
$USDCHF 0.967 +0.3%
$USDJPY 143.76 +0.02%
$USDCAD 1.338 +0.11%
$USDRUB 60.798 +0.33% ๐Ÿช†

$USD range = 109.02 - 110.48 โฌ…๏ธโ™‰๏ธ
$GBP range = 1.126 - 1.157 ๐Ÿป
#cryptocurrencies โ†”๏ธ

$BTC 18838 -0.2%
$ETH 1324 +0.1%

#Bitcoin range = 18208 - 22014 ๐Ÿป
UST yields โ†˜๏ธ after tagging top of range
10Y/3M to +0.152 ๐Ÿฅž

MOVE 134.66 ๐Ÿ›—

$TNX range = 3.27 - 3.67 โ™‰๏ธ
$TLT range = 104.64 - 109.52 ๐Ÿป

Global 10Ys
UST 3.526 -0.049
GILT 3.24 -0.054
BUND 1.849 -0.096
ITA 4.115 -0.075
JPN 0.25 -0.001
AUS 3.696 -0.018
CAN 3.107 -0.044
As @spotgamma has pointed out, we often get a ๐Ÿพโ†—๏ธ upon #vixperation

#FADEIT with #FOMC on tap at 2PM ๐Ÿฟ

Are we at "Peak Hawkishness?" ๐Ÿฆ…
Markets expecting +75BPS but what of ๐Ÿ”ด plot?

โ›”๏ธ abounds. Act accordingly and have a super ๐Ÿ’ฐ profitable day!

โ€ข โ€ข โ€ข

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More from @tdarling1

Sep 22
Hello Thursday and the post-Powell 117 point swing in $SPX from a peak of 3907 to the close of 3790 ๐Ÿซ

Let's dig into the market ๐Ÿงฎ!
Kuroda-san left rates unch but BOJ intervenes in #FX as Asia closes โ†˜๏ธ

$NIKK 27154 -0.6%
$SSEC 3109 -0.25%
$TWII 14285 -0.95%
$HSI 18109 -1.8%
$KOSPI 2332 -0.65%
$IDX 7219 +0.45%

Australia โ†˜๏ธ
$ASX 6700 -1.55%

India โ†”๏ธ
$BSE 59351 -0.2%
European bourses โ†”๏ธ

$DAX 12748 -0.15%
$FTSE 7235 -0.05%
$CAC 6007 -0.4%
$AEX 669 -0.1%
$IBEX 7883 +0.15%
$MIB 22149 +0.5%
$SMI 10442 +0.1%
$MOEX 2188 +2.7% โฌ…๏ธ๐Ÿช†

$VSTOXX 27.01

$DAX range = 12510 - 13320 ๐Ÿป
Read 11 tweets
Sep 21
๐Ÿฟ
Less than 5 minutes into JPOW's speech to SPX green
GOLD +0.8% ripping after having been -0.6%
Read 4 tweets
Sep 20
Hello Tuesday!

"Whistling past the graveyard" ๐Ÿฅ

Equities are oblivious to the MOVE at 133.79 ๐ŸŒŠ, the 3-month bill tapping 3.377% with the 10-year at 3.518

Ignore at your own peril.
JPOW will remind us again tomorrow.

Let's dig into the market ๐Ÿงฎ!
Asia closed broadly โ†—๏ธ

$NIKK 27688 +0.45%
$SSEC 3122 +0.2%
$TWII 14549 +0.85%
$HSI 18776 +1.15%
$KOSPI 2368 +0.5%
$IDX 7197 unch

Australia โ†—๏ธ
$ASX 6806 +1.3%

India โ†—๏ธ
$BSE 59945 +1.35%
European equities โ†”๏ธ at the open

$DAX 12784 -0.15%
$FTSE 7264 +0.4%
$CAC 6046 -0.25%
$AEX 667 +0.2%
$IBEX 7981 -0.15%
$MIB 22100 -0.2%
$SMI 10611 -0.05%
$MOEX 2389 -1.7% โฌ…๏ธ๐Ÿช†

$VSTOXX 25.87 ๐Ÿ”ป

$DAX range = 12549 - 13369 ๐Ÿป
Read 12 tweets
Sep 19
Hello Monday!

The beatings ๐Ÿช“๐Ÿฉธ will continue until ๐Ÿ’ฆ improves.

Unfortunately, for risk asset โ™‰๏ธ, that is not any time soon.

Let's dig into the market ๐Ÿงฎ!
Asia closed broadly โ†˜๏ธ

$NIKK 27568 -1.1%
$SSEC 3116 -0.35%
$TWII 14426 -0.95%
$HSI 18547 -1.15%
$KOSPI 2356 -1.15%
$IDX 7216 +0.65% โฌ…๏ธ

Australia โ†˜๏ธ
$ASX 6720 -0.3%

India โ†—๏ธ
$BSE 59113 +0.45%
Europe โ†˜๏ธ at the open as ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง bids the ๐Ÿ‘‘ adieu

$DAX 12684 -0.45%
$FTSE 7237 -0.6%
$CAC 6014 -1.05%
$AEX 660 -0.65%
$IBEX 7963 -0.25%
$MIB 21921 -0.85%
$SMI 10580 -0.3%
$MOEX 2446 +0.6% โฌ…๏ธ๐Ÿช†

$VSTOXX 27.22 ๐Ÿ”บ

$DAX range = 12487 - 13395 ๐Ÿป
Read 11 tweets
Sep 11
๐Ÿปโ™‰๏ธโ†—๏ธโ†˜๏ธโ†”๏ธโš ๏ธ๐Ÿšฉ๐Ÿ”บ๐Ÿ”ป๐Ÿงฎ ๐Ÿ’ฐ

Global Macro Review
September 12, 2022

1/10

Comping against the June lows, equities, yields, and #bitcoin ripped โ†—๏ธ as the USD and vol ๐ŸŒŠ โ†˜๏ธ even as a litany of #FedHeads reaffirmed more ๐Ÿ‘Š๐Ÿฅฃ removal

Letโ€™s dig into the ๐Ÿงฎ!
2/10

The $USD ๐ŸŽณ paused while ECB, BOC, RBA hiked 75 BPS

$FXY -1.7% (w) -6.0% (T)
$UUP -0.65% (w), +4.9% (T)
$FXA +0.6% (w), -3.0% (T)
$FXE +0.91% (w), -4.75% (T)
$FXC +1.04% (w), -1.9% (T)
$FXF +2.14% (w), +2.6% (T)

Chart: capitulatory selling in $FXY ๐Ÿ’ด
3a/10

Treasury bond ETFs were ๐Ÿช“ as the $UST10Y +9.8 BPS to 3.3.15%

10/2s to -24.8 BPS

MOVE 121.54 ๐Ÿ›—

$TLT -1.75% (w), -4.8% (T)
$TIP -1.05% (w), -5.05% (T)
$IEF -0.85% (w), -1.05% (T)

Chart: $TLT oversold and exploring a double bottom
Read 12 tweets
Sep 9
Hello Friday and the week to date!

$TNX +3.1%
$TLT -1.95%
$HYG +1.6%

$SPX +2.1%
$SSEC +2.3%
$NIKK +2.05%
$DAX -1.1%

$USD +0.18%
$GOLD -0.17%

$WITC -3.85%
$NATGAS -9.9%
$COPPER +3.5$
#Bitcoin -3.2%

Let's dig into the ๐Ÿงฎ and the risk that is on!
With the USD โ†˜๏ธ hard, Asia closed โ†—๏ธ

$NIKK 28215 +0.55%
$SSEC 3262 +0.8%
$TWII 14583 +1.2%
$HSI 19380 +2.8% โฌ…๏ธ
$KOSPI 2384 +0.35%
$IDX 7243 +0.15%

Australia โ†—๏ธ
$ASX 694 +0.65%

India โ†”๏ธ
$BSE 59722 +0.05%
Buyers are out in force in Europe โ†—๏ธ

$DAX 13110 +1.6%
$FTSE 7367 +1.45%
$CAC 6219 +1.5%
$AEX 685 +1.6%
$IBEX 8045 +1.6%
$MIB 22089 +1.9%
$SMI 1083 +0.85%
$MOEX 2402 +0.5%

$VSTOXX 24.97 ๐Ÿ”ป๐Ÿ›—

$DAX range = 12437 - 13182 ๐Ÿป ๐Ÿฉณ
Read 11 tweets

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