Brishti Basu Profile picture
Sep 28 17 tweets 7 min read
#NEW: BC is preparing for a surge in COVID-19 and influenza-related hospitalizations expected starting mid-November.

They project 700 COVID patients needing hospitalization at a time (currently ~350), plus a peak of up to 1,200 influenza patients.

@CapitalDailyVic #covid19bc
@CapitalDailyVic Steps being considered:

- Adding 1,500 hospital beds (to current 9,400 capacity)
-Moving patients to community and LTC care
- 'Bed management teams' at hospitals
-Worst case scenario: postponing surgeries

#bcpoli #covid19bc
Dr. Bonnie Henry says it's important to protect against respiratory illnesses like COVID-19 but also important to "come back together". Says COVID measures had differential impacts on racialized populations, young people, etc.
DBH: "this is the longest period of time" when we've had one variant—Omicron—causing illness, with slight differences.

*note: Omicron BA.1 and BA.5 are very different, with BA.5 being more easily transmissible than any other variant.
DBH: Level of protection, through vax and infection in Canada, right now means we’re unlikely to have a new strain other than Omicron, but could have "slightly different strain" of Omicron, so bivalent booster vaccine will be effective against Omicron.

#covid19bc
Some data on people who have died with COVID-19: the virus was not the cause of death in about 40-50% of cases.

Hospitalizations with COVID continue to go through surges and ebbs particularly among people aged 80+—currently in a lull.

#covid19bc
Getting a booster is important because immunity from vax wanes in about 3-6 months.

Expecting a spike in both COVID and influenza, based on what happened in southern hemisphere.

Story on this from earlier this month:
capitaldaily.ca/news/bc-bivale…

@CapitalDailyVic
#NEW: Wastewater surveillance will be expanded to Victoria, Nanaimo, Comox in the coming weeks, after finding that COVID in wastewater aligns with hospitalization numbers by about a week.

(Zoomed in to this plot, which was part of one slide. Blue=wastewater, yellow=hospital)
"For many..who are clinically extremely vulnerable, there has been a fear and apprehension as collectively we have moved from all using the same levels of protection...eg. the mask mandate."

Says she has "honoured your concerns and fears and assure you that you are being heard"
DBH continues to reiterate that vaccines (and personal choices to stay home or wear a mask when sick) mean other public health measures are not necessary.

"COVID no longer poses that same risk of serious outcomes as it did at the onset of this pandemic."

#bcpoli #covid19bc
Why aren't you doing more to prevent respiratory illnesses if they're threatening to collapse our healthcare system? @PennyDaflos

"We're in a difference place and..we haven't seen a massive surge in hospitalizations."

"We can't stop [viruses] when we have a mobile community."
Could there be multiple waves this fall? What point will there be a peak in COVID and flu?

"We don't think about influenza in waves and we shouldn't be thinking about COVID in waves anymore....there's a fair amount of it out there. It's not causing severe illness in most people"
Given current shortages, where are we possibly going to find more healthcare workers for surge? @richardzussman

Dix: last year we moved patients from places where capacity wasn't available to where it was.
Now, plan to "create resources in the community and LTC"

(unclear how)
Concerns: re COVID restrictions lifted for travellers federally?

I think we can't expect that we can limit travel and the impact that has on people around the globe right now.
How can you say schools can't be blanked for spike in COVID transmission when there's no contact tracing?

(Study shows 70-80% school aged children infected)
Infections were across the board.

"Kids in schools reflect what's happening in community"

#bcpoli #bced
I wasn't called on to ask questions, but was planning to ask:

What have you done to address concerns of immunocompromised people, and what differential impacts does a mask mandate have on racialized communities?

Does BC plan to track and release regular data on long COVID?
blamed** ugh typo

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More from @brish_ti

Jun 30
#NEW: Omicron's newest subvariants are already here and spreading fast, with their ability to bypass antibodies from both vaccines and prior infection, says new data from BC + experts.

What it means for our healthcare system this summer:
#bcpoli capitaldaily.ca/news/summer-wa…
“We are all incredibly worried that there will be more morbidity and mortality," said ER physician Dr. Jeff Unger.

Last week, Saanich Peninsula Hospital asked Island Health to shut down the ER overnight, to redirect staff to their busiest hours.

Island Health said no.
With public health measures all but gone & waning immunity from 3rd doses, BA.4 and BA.5 are expected soon become dominant in BC.

A new study shows that the more times you get reinfected with COVID-19, the higher your risk of death, hospitalization, and long COVID.

#COVID19BC
Read 6 tweets
Apr 25
#NEW: Internal email shared with @CapitalDailyVic shows #yyj hospitals are too full to accept patients and are considering emergency steps like renting hotel rooms.

Healthcare workers say #COVID19 hospitalizations on the rise + surgeries being postponed

capitaldaily.ca/news/greater-v…
@CapitalDailyVic “I am writing to let you all know that we are facing an extreme overcensus situation at all of our acute care sites,” reads the email which was sent to staff at Victoria General Hospital, and shared with @zoeducklow

#COVID19BC
According to ER physician Dr. Jeff Unger, all 3 ERs (RJH, VGH, Saan Pen) were full on Sunday and RJH was on ambulance diversion for a part of the night.

A nurse at RJH tells us surgeries are being postponed because there are too many COVID patients in surgical units.
Read 6 tweets
Dec 21, 2021
#BREAKING: Starting midnight tonight until Jan. 18, new BC PHO orders:

- Closing bars, nightclubs, gyms, fitness centres, and dance studios;
- Cancelling all organized indoor gatherings of any size
- Max. 6 per table at restaurants, cafes

@CapitalDailyVic #covid19bc #bcpoli
@CapitalDailyVic (Cont’d)

- Capacity reduced to 50% at all seated indoor venues regardless of size; this includes theatres, movie theatres, concerts, sports venues, etc.

These measures will be instated in addition to the PHO orders that kicked in on Monday.

New measures announced due to data that came to light over the weekend re: how transmissible omicron is even among vaxxed + potential to overwhelm hospitals.

Cases increasing among all age groups, but mostly in 19-59yr olds (i.e. working age people)

#COVID19BC #bcpoli
Read 7 tweets
Dec 21, 2021
#NEW: My latest for @CapitalDailyVic analyzes the rapidly deteriorating situation in BC and particularly on Vancouver Island, where #Omicron is expected to fuel 400+ daily cases by Christmas

#COVID19BC #yyj

capitaldaily.ca/news/vancouver…
@CapitalDailyVic By ignoring evidence of aerosol transmission, Island Health still insists transmission doesn't happen on campus or in K-12 schools.

That’s the reason they gave for no longer requiring schools to report exposures. It looks more like a sign of contact tracing breakdown.

#bcpoli
Under current public health guidance, people who test positive are not always told whether they have #omicron. Lauren, a #yyj nurse, deduced so from her symptoms.

Contact tracers told her close contacts they don't need to isolate unless they have symptoms
Read 9 tweets

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