WeedFarmer Profile picture
Oct 10, 2022 25 tweets 8 min read Read on X
My updated NAV model:

Company: @ElectraBMC
Sector: #Materials #Refining #Mining
Ticker: $ELBM
CEO: @TrentMell
Recycling Peers: $ABML $LICY
Refining Peers: None (domestically)

#Cobalt #Manganese #Graphite #Nickel #Lithium #Aluminum #BlackMass #EV
*I'm Long-Bullish|Not advice* Image
Alternative forward looking valuation multiples (EV to EBITDA & Sales) Image
NAV valuation contribution Image
My estimated NPV from Refinery Operations Image
My estimated NPV from recycling operations. Image
A graphical view on PV of CFs on refinery operations Image
Refinery Operations (1) Image
Refinery Operations (2) Image
Refinery Operations (3) Image
Recycling Operations (1) Image
Recycling Operations (2)

-----> $TSLA Model S<<----- Image
Recycling Operations (3) Image
Mining Operations Image
Projected Capital Structure Pie Image
#WACC breakdown Image
Mining Assets NAV Distribution (USD) Image
Capital Structure Image
Only results through 2030 have been shown....
Only results through 2030 have been shown....
Only results through 2030 have been shown....
Only results through 2030 have been shown....
Only results through 2030 have been shown....
Only results through 2030 have been shown....
BTW,

🔘I hold a long stock position in $ELBM and i have a bullish outlook on the company.

🔘I’m in no way affiliated with the company’s operations or employees.

🔘I have no access to any MNPI data on the company.
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More from @Theweedfarmer

Mar 13, 2023
🧵1

So many posts/tweets/articles about the $SIVB meltdown but no one is explaining/breaking it down for the masses to understand.

Firstly, Silicon Valley Bank Was The Largest Banking Failure Since The Global Financial Crisis In 2008.
🧵2
The bottom line of the collapse was due to poor risk-mgmt. Instead of just buying short-dated T-bills or depositing with the Federal Reserve they bought long-duration fixed-income securities. This caused an asset-liability mismatch —> liquidity issues —> bank run —> collapse
🧵3
They then failed to manage interest-rate risk by simply not hedging their exposure at all, they had $120Bn of securities. When interest rates went up they took a massive $1.8Bn loss on their available-for-sale bond portfolio. They had $80Bn in bonds with yields of 1.5%!!!🚨
Read 16 tweets
Oct 7, 2022
Good evening,

I’m sharing one of my NAV modeling (cashflow) results.🧵

Company: Permian Resource Corporation
Sector: O&G
Ticker: $PR (NYSE)
Current SP: $9.04
My Estimated NAV: $18.06
Peers: $SM $CPE $CTRA $DVN $FANG $MTDR $PDCE

*Not investment advice*
#WTI #Brent #Permian #POM Image
Production/Decline Assumptions Image
Observed production composition from FY 2021 Image
Read 24 tweets

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