(1/8) At the beginning of the year we highlighted #consumerstaples as a sector that should outperform at this stage of the business cycle. Pepsi $PEP is the latest example with their Q3 earnings report this morning...
(2/8) Remember, people tend to demand consumer staples at a relatively constant level, regardless of price.

The “staple” characteristic in an inflationary environment allows these companies to grow revenue and earnings, even with flat volumes.
(3/8) A few notes from the Pepsi Q3 earnings release: beat on top (revenue) and bottom line (profit), grew EPS (earnings per share) 14% (includes currency headwind)…
(4/8) …raised full year guidance for organic revenue growth (excludes M&A, which staples companies do a lot of) to 12% (from 10% previously).
(5/8) The strong organic revenue growth was broad-based with North America and international markets each delivering 16% growth for the quarter.
(6/8) By product type, both snacks (+20%) and beverages (+12%) delivered double-digit growth – a sequential acceleration for each segment.

Personally, we love snacks.
(7/8) Gross margin contracted by 20bps due to continued inflationary pressures.

Price/cost dynamics take time to normalize. Meaning the price a company sells a product for often takes time to catch up to the price they paid to make it.
(8/8) At this point in the earnings season, we are always looking for read throughs to related businesses that report later on – and this is certainly a positive read through on expectations for the broad non-alcoholic beverage sector.

$KO $NESN $MNST etc.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Radnor Capital

Radnor Capital Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @RadnorCapital

Oct 12
(1/16) Applied Materials $AMAT, a leading provider of #semiconductor equipment, became the latest company in the #chip space to warn of weakening trends (also ~$400mm impact from #Chinese #export regulations).
(2/16) The semiconductor space has seen a ton of volatility this year, but sector fundamentals and share prices are entirely following the playbook of the last several decades. Let’s take a quick look…
(3/16) The industry continues to be deeply cyclical (despite playing into secular trends like #computing / processing power – meaning the long term trend is bumpy, but higher) with y/y growth rates rising much more than end-demand for products, as well as falling more steeply.
Read 16 tweets
Oct 11
(1/12) Understanding mega cap companies helps us understand the broader #market because they have such an outsized impact on the indices people track and invest in. Yesterday we talked about big / ad #tech ( $GOOG $META) and today we are talking #retail.
(2/12) People forget that Walmart $WMT and Amazon $AMZN are the largest companies in the world by sales...

Heck, the US has a massive per capita #GDP thanks in large part to the #consumer / American's buying a lot of stuff.
(3/12) So lets take a look at the state of retail from the top down (macro / economy level) and then from the bottom up (micro / company level)…

We are bottoms up investors, but pay close attention to the macro as an overlay (and just out of interest!).
Read 12 tweets
Oct 10
(1/14) Let’s talk big / ad tech headed into Q3 #earnings season…

Companies like Facebook & Google are important for any investor to understand because they make up such a large % of the indices which people refer to as "the market" (think S&P 500).
(2/14) On Facebook $META - sentiment is relatively mixed but leaning negative (see share performance). There appears to be a turnover in the shareholder base as the stock moves from growth to value. Image
(3/14) EV/EBITDA (common valuation multiple – higher multiple implies investors ascribe more value to a given earnings stream for reasons like future growth potential or greater predictability) is now 5.8x down ~42% from 8.6x in December 2021 and ~43% below Pre-Covid.
Read 14 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(