Russian sources are reporting that AFU is completing preparations for a massive offensive in the #Zaporizhzhia sector.
If the offensive truly happened, it would propably look something like this. AFU's first & most important objective would be to cut the "land bridge" to #Crimea
If the offensive truly happened, it would propably look something like this. AFU's first & most important objective would be to cut the "land bridge" to #Crimea
If Ukraine attacks in two direction at the same time like on the map, the eastern side of the offensive would likely go to #Berdyansk or even #Mariupol
The main objective is still to reach the sea and cut the railroads and highways. #Crimea would then be cut from supplies
The main objective is still to reach the sea and cut the railroads and highways. #Crimea would then be cut from supplies
AFU would definitely go for #Melitopol because its an important logistics hub & has an airfield that russia uses in its operations. They would probably also go for #Enerdohar to take the NPP back.
If AFU manages to cut the "land bridge" or even takes #Tokmak & #Melitopol, front in Kherson and Zaporizhzhia would most definitely collapse & russian troops would retreat towards Crimea.
If the #CrimeanBridge is still operational, russians have 1 thin "road of life" left. If AFU reaches the Sea of Azov, Ukraine can control the sea with Harpoons & Neptunes.
Russian ships will be in constant danger and operations against the bridge would definitely increase.
Russian ships will be in constant danger and operations against the bridge would definitely increase.
Eventually #Crimea would be cut from all supplies and be operationally encircled.
We would see the same kind of situation as we see today in #Kherson where 20 000 russians are operationally encircled on the bank of the Dnipro river.
But of course in much bigger scale.
We would see the same kind of situation as we see today in #Kherson where 20 000 russians are operationally encircled on the bank of the Dnipro river.
But of course in much bigger scale.
Of course after succesful offensive in Zaporizhzhia & Kherson, whole Crimea would be in the range of HIMARS, M270 and long range artillery.
Eventually, russians would have to evacuate by sea.
Eventually, russians would have to evacuate by sea.
It would propably take months for all these events to happen. And if they happened even partially, Putins regime would be in enormous pressure and even fall.
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