Thread by @MaverickBogdan

$PLTR Q3 earnings preview🧵7th Nov:
Valuation since DPO: Price, Actual & Estimated Sales with Free Cash Flow switching positive:
👉when PLTR was making 1bn Sales & Sales estimates were 1.3bn, price = 44
👉when PLTR is making 1.74bn in Sales & Sales est are 2.09bn, price = 8.61🧐

$PLTR Earnings History & Surprises:
👉actual EPS vs EPS surprise
👉1 day price % reaction ... if you feel like trading the stock and/or options during the Q3 earnings have this in mind ...

$PLTR Financials Actuals & Consensus:
Wall Street consensus expects:
👉$475m Q3 Revenues while for Q4 $507m with revenue growth just 21% and 17%
👉 1.9bn for 2022, 2.3bn for 2023 and 3bn for 2024 with revenue growth just 23%, 24% and 25% =🧐materially below management guidance?

$PLTR Wall Street quarterly & yearly Sales revisions:
👉note the big revision from the summer ...
👉granted or not given we had good news coming from the company ? Food for thought ...

Complementary, $PLTR Wall-Street view:
👉Note: Q4 2020 right to sell / not to buy as price overcooked given the parabolic run ... good to hedge parabolic runs in general ...
👉currently, 26% return potential based on average consensus estimates (Low target price 6, High at 20)...

$PLTR Financials highlights since going public, what to watch for going forward ?
👉revenue growth & margins are key for growth / SaaS companies ...
👉Recall: revenue growth in general is key for long-term stock performance

Key question, how does $PLTR trade ?
👉trades like $ARKK Ark Invest innovation/hypergrowth investing ?
👉do they all trade based on the FED (balance sheet change % 1-year) ?
🧐Food for thought with this very interesting chart ... 😉Let that sink in! = bring the sink like Musk😉

👉related on that with the key message: interest rates, liquidity ... matter a lot for valuation ... a lot ... $PLTR
$SPY #Stocks #Equities #ArkInvest #CathieWood #FED #InterestRates

https://twitter.com/Maverick_Equity/status/1585290103353655297

$PLTR price floor ? Recall most recent private transactions & before DPO in Sep 2020:
👉during January 1 2020 - Aug 21 2020, transactions between $4.19 & $8.50
👉blue circle = VWAP which = more relevant metric: 6.3 the very latest
😉Let that sink in! = bring the sink like #Musk😉

$PLTR one last question: when does Wall Street expect Palantir to become profitable ?
👉EPS GAAP in 2024 - too pessimistic ?
👉EPS Non-GAAP now in 2022
Cheers!