Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #InterestRates

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#Anons need to understand #InterestRates

Use a graph to tell a story!


How do you control the market?

Available funds or liquidity?

What happened after @POTUS?
After 9/11?

Not [CABAL]?
#EndtheFed #QArmy #QAnon…
#QLoungeLive explains recently.

Read 4 tweets
Time for a pre-turkey #tweetstorm on the biggest positioning/flows driver in the US #interestrates and #bond markets, and it’s a monster. 1/
As always, some background. This story starts in the #Eurodollar futures markets, which are basically bets on where 3m LIBOR will settle on a given day. E.g., a Dec 2019 ED contract pays based on where 3m LIBOR is on Dec 16, 2019. 2/
When expectations of 3m LIBOR fall, ED prices rise and vice versa. So the price of an ED is like a bond in that respect. 3/
Read 14 tweets
Today we release our annual @wiiw_news Autumn #Forecast Report, with macroeconomic projections for #CESEE out to 2020. Below, a thread on the highlights 1/13
#Growth still looks quite good for most, notable upgrades this time for #Poland, #Serbia, #Hungary. But downgrades for several #EU members, plus #Turkey, #Macedonia and #Belarus. 2/13
Over the #forecast period we expect best growth performance in #EUCEE and #WesternBalkans, although both will slow by 2020. Outlook for #CIS & #Ukraine weaker. 3/13
Read 14 tweets

1. Once and for all, dispense with the notion that rising #InterestRates are a result of a growing #economy. Housing & industrial production is rolling over & retail sales are declining.

Rates are rising bc of INSOLVENCY & #CREDIT RISK.
2. In 2007, prior to the crisis, the following was true:

πŸ”· the average yield was 4.6%
πŸ”· the #deficit was 1% of #GDP
πŸ”· publicly traded #debt was ~ 5 trillion #dollars

Due to #ZIRP, if the 10 year goes to a meager 4.4%, bond investors will lose OVER 25% of their investment
3. In 2018-19, prior to the coming crisis, the following is true:

πŸ”Ά publicly traded debt is ~ 15 trillion dollars
πŸ”Ά the deficit will be 8.5% of GDP
πŸ”Ά so interest rates are going to the 🌝 🌟 πŸ’«

Unless of course the #CentralBanks reverse and buy everything up...
Read 9 tweets

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