Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #FED

Most recents (24)

Some analysts seem to think, that #USDJPY must decline when/if #SP500 is to decline or crash. That is not the case! Observe yellow markings #HZupdates
#USDJPY and #Gold have strong inverse relationship. Both have formed triangles since 2015. Now - main direction will continue. USDJPY towards ~154 - and Gold towards ~800 USD #HZupdates
#Gold did bottom in 2015 - but only for a bounce! A "ZigZag-pattern" is defined by A-B-C waves. A from 2011-15 = 5 waves. B from 2015-19 = Triangle (abcde). Now 5 waves down in wave C. Decline may be very strong! #HZupdates
Read 10 tweets
*DOLLAR WEAKENS AFTER FED DECISION
*FED LEAVES FUNDS RATE UNCHANGED, ADJUSTS IOER TO 2.35% VS 2.4%
*FED TO STAY PATIENT ON RATES AS ECONOMY SOLID, INFLATION MUTED
*FED: OVERALL AND CORE INFLATION DECLINED, ARE RUNNING BELOW 2%
*TREASURIES EXTEND GAINS AFTER FED LOWERS IOER; 10Y YIELD 2.459%
Read 6 tweets
Hi #fintwit 😎 We are approaching a watershed moment in markets. Final deflationary phase of Kondratiev's winter is about to play out. Huge implications for #EUR, #Gold, #SP500, #DXY etc. I have some new interesting followers - hence something extra in this week's #HZupdates
#Kondratiev's winter is a period where #Velocity of Money drops which creates a disinflationary economic environment, where growth is subdued due to #debt levels. Since ~2000 we have been in this winter - and are still to see a range of "major economic events" unfold #HZupdates
In fact, we have never left the #Financial #Crisis. We have only been bouncing in the great "Financial and Sovereign Debt Crisis" of this #Kondratiev's winter. This can be observed from the #Deflation Gauges #Copper, #XAU, AUD, EUR. We are about to see wave C develop #HZupdates
Read 21 tweets
1. Politicians are lying to you: For almost 10 years we had near zero percent #interest, #ECB & #FED printed billions of $ & € creating huge asset #bubbles in #stocks & #properties. On top thousands of foreigners bought "cheap" properties in GER.

#Habeck #Enteignungen
2. On top many cities, especially #Munich, allowed only few new properties to be build - For 3 new families that reached Munich only 1 new home was build!
This scarcity is by design, since it inflates the value of existing #properties, enriching the "haves".
#Habeck #Enteignungen
3. The next money printing scam are all the regulations that hit home-builders in the last plus 10 years: "Dämmung","energetische Sanierung" (to prevent loss of heat/energy) and more is expensive & thus reduces the numbers that can afford a home & increases #rents.
#Enteignungen
Read 11 tweets
@Halsrethink @RemainSovereign @TFMetals @BullionStar @jameshenryand @michaellebowitz @dlacalle_IA @DA_Stockman @RonPaul @RonPaulInstitut @MarkTOByrne @MarkYusko @ErikSTownsend @AndrewBellBNN @realDonaldTrump @LouDobbs @Varneyco @MariaBartiromo @gatewaypundit @JeffSnider_AIP @TruthGundlach @epomboy @PaulCraigRobert @LanceRoberts @TheBubbleBubble @POTUS @TayTayLLP @ronanmanly @jimiuorio @MoneyMetals @stranahan When a central banker or economist mentions 'stimulus', they are talking about diluting the currency through debt currency issuance - to create REAL GROWTH.

This is the insanity & silly talk promoted by central bankers globally.

Nobody asks the question.

#centralbanking #gold
Read 55 tweets
#USDTRY kurundaki gelişmeler kısaca şöyle:
Öncelikle yaşanan oynaklık küresel risk algısının bozulmasından kaynaklanan, riskli varlıklardan çıkış hareketinin gelişen piyasa ekonomilerinin paralarını olumsuz etkilemesi ve kırılganlığı yüksek olanların daha fazla değer kaybetmesi.
#USD bütün paralara karşı değer kazanırken “emerging market sell off” bütün piyasaları derinden etkiliyor. #Fed kararının gerçekte küresel ekonomik görünümün ve finansal koşulların tahmin edilenden daha kötü olacağı şeklinde okunması gerektiğini anlayan piyasanın morali bozuldu.
Euro bölgesi ve Almanya PMI verileri, Çin ekonomisine ilişkin endişeler, küresel ticaret geriliminin bir türlü yatışmaması, Brexit gibi risk algısını olumsuz etkileyen etkenlere bir de Ortadoğu’da jeopolitik riskleri artıracak gelişmeler eklenince tepki de ağır oldu.
Read 13 tweets
RECESSION THREAD
1/ a lot of you see me post often that a recession is coming. I believe q1/q2 2020 it will happen and I will explain why it will happen then. However don’t expect 2008 unless student debt breaks the govt books (lol)
2/ back in the day when most of you were in high school, recessions came from negative gdp growth. The US hasn’t seen neg gdp in how long? And there’s a reason the #Fed won’t raise rates
3/ we live in an economy financed by debt. They raise the rates too high there won’t be any lending, and the economy will just explode. They won’t allow that to happen. It will be a slow bleed
Read 12 tweets
🇺🇸 #SPX (1) | Equities ⬆ significantly since Dec. lows with participants not taking into account:
1/ the global synchronised slowdown that should be associated with a global trade contraction (YoY) soon
2/ the likely earnings recession in U.S. (and 🇪🇺)
🇺🇸 #SPX (2) | The move can be partly explained by the dovish switch in CBs:
1/ #Fed makes a pause in ⬆ rates and should should stop ⬇ its BS by year-end
2/ #ECB is likely to delay its 1st rate ⬆ and will launch new TLTROs
3/ #BOJ is considering 4 options for extra easing
🇺🇸 #SPX (3) | This easing charge has significant repercussions on asset prices leading to a sharp ⬆ of bonds trading with negative yields (up 60% since Oct. according to a Bloomberg/Barclays index)

#TINA can also explain why investors have rushed into other risky assets
Read 10 tweets
5) #Hussein orchestrated $ shipments 2Iran. At least $1.7bil went there. The #TreasuryDept & #DOS (Bureau of Polical-Military Affairs - which links 2the #DefenseDept -Think big #BudgetAllocations) control the flow of $, but bottom line, the #Fed secretly, or not, controls $$$. It
6) can be greatly aided in the effort with an #Executive's blessings. The Office of the Inspector General has a hand in distribution & the accounting of #ForeignAid. The #GAO (General Accounting Office) investigates $ moves.
7) orgs & then be redirected to the personal holdings of the creator/s. Another secondary shuffle is the covert placement in offshore holdings 4distribution. Activities attributed to slush funds come to mind. They move in all directions as needed. These methods are in use
Read 30 tweets
#Equities #SP500 was rallying and the bulls are cheering. The excuse seems to be, that Powell has blinked. Remember 2007-09? Fed started lowering rates by September 07. Yet that did not prevent Financial markets to decline hard until March 2009 #HZupdates
The thing is, that when liquidity #crunch snowball gets rolling, some announcement from #Fed will not do the job. Down the line, Fed will need to scramble (QE or the like) to fight USD shortage. My LT #SP500 model remains like this. Major Bear market ABC-structure. #HZupdates
I will not reveal my EW-count for #SP500 here. That is reserved for subscribers and buyers of Weekly Update. Only say, that we have not seen an impulse wave since Sept high. I expect a MAJOR decline to set in rather soon, taking us to my bottom of wave A from LT-chart. #HZupdates
Read 17 tweets
@afbranco Because people today have a short attention span / are flat lazy we will highlight some excerpts from #JulianMcall's article on Linkdin regarding comments by Mayor #MarshallKamena of #Livermore #California RT @DunbarJoseph #QAnon @Reinebow23 @StevenRCorey1 @CarrionSoul @Ange6H777
@afbranco @DunbarJoseph @Reinebow23 @StevenRCorey1 @CarrionSoul @Ange6H777 First of all this is not an attack on #obama/#hillaryclinton: Their actions stand for themselves. Whilst #cnn constantly hammers President #Trump with unverified stories/comments etc they give absolutely no accountability to barry or the hag RT #QAnon @StevenRCorey1 @CarrionSoul
@afbranco @DunbarJoseph @Reinebow23 @StevenRCorey1 @CarrionSoul @Ange6H777 The comment regarding @POTUS are things such as: undignified, no decorum, no statesmanship'. To this we say so f'n what. We're sure #Venezuelas's #Maduro was a smooth talker to his citizens before the election and now they live in a #socialism nightmare RT #QAnon @CarrionSoul
Read 14 tweets
1) A brief #WorldBank resignation thread.

Obama-appointed World Bank President @JimYongKim is abruptly resigning nearly 3 yrs. before the end of his term: wsj.com/articles/world…

Kim has been added to the #QAnon resignation map: qmap.pub/resignations
2) With little oversight, some argue the World Bank has functioned as a debt creating instrument, further destabilizing, exploiting, and enslaving poor nations: wikileaks.org/wiki/East_Timo…
3) In April 2018 @POTUS approved a $13B capital increase to the Bank in a deal that reformed lending rules and increased China's shareholdings (responsibility), with the bulk of U.S. capital designated to the Bank's "Reconstruction and Development" arm: money.usnews.com/investing/news…
Read 4 tweets
In early October 2016, myself, & 2 high level prophetic voices (from USA) were led to go (in a subtle manner) and pray inside the #GOLD room of the luxe Mount Washington Hotel in Bretton Woods, NH, located in the Presidential Mountains.
This was the site of the Bretton Woods Conference from 1944. Otherwise known as the VERY formation of the IMF, the International Monetary Fund.

en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bretton_W…
In that moment, we read and decreed a divorcement from Ba’al over the IMF. We decreed a 100% breakthrough and shift over the corruption with the IMF, world gold reserves, and the FED.

I don’t play.
Read 18 tweets
Throwing this out there, to bring to forefront of groupthink consciousness again.

Remember: “ASSETS SEIZED...” #EO 12.21.17. Or, “Watch #resignations,” “follow the money/wives...”

#Panic looks like a lot of things; & surely as market violatility.

#Q #QAnon #Fed
I agree. Or deals being made as assets seized, put into holding patterns, or even total devaluation because of some companies/platforms not withstanding corruption purge, or false Bull-market in some cases to prey on fear or out of DS panic (I.e. commodities & gold spike.)
I think that even the #StockMarket will indeed, weather #TheStorm. But my hope is a “transfer of wealth out of a store rooms of hidden darkness” in the process. (Isaiah.) Some things must be shaken.
Read 3 tweets
At what point do people wake up?
Q

#QANON
#MAGA
#WAKEUP

Define 'Projection'.
Define 'Getting Ahead of the Story'.
What is scheduled to happen this week?
Coincidence?
PANIC?
THIS IS AS REAL AS IT GETS.
NO ESCAPE.
NO DEALS.
ADD BRENNAN TO GRAPHIC AND UPDATE.
EVIL HAS NO PLACE HERE.
Q

#QANON
#MAGA
#PODESTA
Read 13 tweets
National Bank of Canada 1/5: With wages on the rise, one would have expected some cost-push inflation. But after picking up steam earlier in the year, consumer prices seem to be moderating again as evidenced by core PCE inflation rate dropping in Oct to 1.8% y-o-y,
National Bank of Canada 2/5: or below Fed’s 2% target. The core PCE’s more recent trends should be concerning from #Fed’s standpoint given that the three-month annualized rate sank to just 1.1%, lowest since May last year. The strong dollar is keeping import prices under wraps
National Bank of Canada 3/5: & it’s also possible firms, intent in maintaining market share, are opting to absorb rising costs instead of passing them on to consumers. Their profit buffer, made more significant thanks to earlier corporate tax cuts, seems to be helping cushion
Read 5 tweets
...capito perché non se ne uscirà mai..?!?!
Dollar Shortage #FED
...le due chart "chiave"
Seguire #Fed fund rate futures e Eurodollar Futures oltre al libor è l'unica cosa che conta davvero e che impatta l'economia globale e la natura dei mercato aldilà degli algos telecomandati...
Libor up by 0.35 bps
Libor at 2.61813%
SPOT LOIS at 28.513
Read 135 tweets
Good morning 😀 Another interesting week in the market. Last week, I expected SP500 to set up a relief rally. It did - but what is the outlook ahead? And the Euro....everybody was so bearish the Euro this week. What happens next? Ready for some #HZupdates?
#SP500 the big picture, I think we have the beginning of a major Bear market. We have 5 waves up since 2009 - and this is a major 5(red) top. Hence, the correction is on the entire structure. Will unfold in 3 waves (ABC). Three possible target areas. #HZupdates
#SP500 Wave A of major Bear will unfold in 5 waves. We may have seen wave 1(red) of that decline, and are currently in making of wave 2(red). This may take some weeks to unfold. If this is right, then one of the crashes, we will experience during this bear, waits ahead #HZupdates
Read 15 tweets
🇨🇳 #CHINA Q3 GDP Y/Y: 6.5% V 6.6%E (slowest growth since Q1 2009)
*NBS spokesman Mao Shengyong said that the international situation was bringing “downward pressure” on China.
*Link: bloom.bg/2RVX1ZA
🇫🇷 🇪🇺 🇨🇳 French tire maker Michelin warned of declining sales in Europe and #China in the second half of the year, dragging down shares of its competitors in the U.S. and Europe - Bloomberg
*Statement: bit.ly/2EujhqH
🇺🇸🇨🇳🇪🇺 In a volley of filings, the EU, #China and the U.S. this week escalated disputes over new U.S. metals tariffs, the European response to those levies, and Chinese intellectual property practices - Bloomberg
bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Read 634 tweets
@EmmaMuhleman1 @jameshenryand @michaellebowitz @SantiagoAuFund @dlacalle_IA @DA_Stockman @RonPaul @RonPaulInstitut @MarkTOByrne @MarkYusko @ErikSTownsend @Halsrethink @AndrewBellBNN @JayTaylorMedia @realDonaldTrump @LouDobbs @Varneyco @MariaBartiromo @gatewaypundit @JeffSnider_AIP @TruthGundlach @epomboy @TFMetals @PaulCraigRobert @LanceRoberts @TheBubbleBubble One important difference in the cycles is that low interest rates steadily build-in distortion to the economy over time while the tightening cycle (esp. a rapid tighten) precipitates failures that quickly cascade through the economy. Criticality theory.

#EndTheFed
@EmmaMuhleman1 @jameshenryand @michaellebowitz @SantiagoAuFund @dlacalle_IA @DA_Stockman @RonPaul @RonPaulInstitut @MarkTOByrne @MarkYusko @ErikSTownsend @Halsrethink @AndrewBellBNN @JayTaylorMedia @realDonaldTrump @LouDobbs @Varneyco @MariaBartiromo @gatewaypundit @JeffSnider_AIP @TruthGundlach @epomboy @TFMetals @PaulCraigRobert @LanceRoberts @TheBubbleBubble "I speak to more than a dozen ceos every single week. They all had high hopes. No longer."

"It changed in the last six weeks."

Anecdotes, but expected.

The Fed builds dysfunction into the economy with low rates - it shows when rates rise.

#EndTheFed

cnbc.com/2018/10/09/cra…
@EmmaMuhleman1 @jameshenryand @michaellebowitz @SantiagoAuFund @dlacalle_IA @DA_Stockman @RonPaul @RonPaulInstitut @MarkTOByrne @MarkYusko @ErikSTownsend @Halsrethink @AndrewBellBNN @JayTaylorMedia @realDonaldTrump @LouDobbs @Varneyco @MariaBartiromo @gatewaypundit @JeffSnider_AIP @TruthGundlach @epomboy @TFMetals @PaulCraigRobert @LanceRoberts @TheBubbleBubble Cramer's relay of plunging CEO sentiment fits w/ sudden dive in Consumer Metrics 'Weighted Composite Index' starting in September.

consumerindexes.com

A sharp break to be expected after years of zero Fed rate and then increased Fed rates. Criticality Theory.

#bonds #gold
Read 15 tweets
Tria non potrebbe mai lavorare con @POTUS 😂😂😂
#TriaExit #Mef cosa?
Sta diventando stucchevole..tanto 1,6/2/2,5 la sostanza non cambia...se arriva la contrazione economica seria come preambolo di recessione...vi travolge ...senza se e senza ma...
PUPAZZI 👺💩👏

#ITALY'S LEAGUE ECONOMICS ADVISOR SAYS ANY TALK OF THE COUNTRY'S EURO EXIT IS OUT OF DISCUSSION
Read 347 tweets
riprendiamo questo discorso...
la "comica" corsa delle HFT firms ad avvicinarsi quanto più possibile ai server del CME (futures exchange)...
datacenterknowledge.com/cyrusone/cyrus…
...se parlate di mercati, cari i miei governanti, almeno cercate di conoscerne la struttura...ancora con il "floor"
6 maggio del 2010...la Grecia è al centro dell'attenzione mediatica mondiale e da li a poco la #ECB inizierà a comprare debito greco via SMP... ma quel giorno verrà ricordato come la massima espressione dei "fake markets" moderni, dominati dagli algos HFT
cnbc.com/video/30003772…
Read 120 tweets
美国步入衰退的可能性大增
紐約聯邦儲備委員會的衰退概率指標(Recession-probablity Indicator)——使用10年/ 3個月的國債收益率曲線來預測未來12個月收縮的可能性,最近達到2008年以來的最高點——24%。據彭博數據顯示,自20世紀60年代以來,該指標已經上升了11次,其中8次伴隨著衰退。 #Recession
美帝人民在家具和家居裝修方面的支出大幅下降
Read 18 tweets

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