Russian President Vladimir #Putin declared the end of Russian military mobilization on October 28, likely to free up administrative and training capacity in time for the delayed start of the Russian autumn conscription cycle beginning on November 1. isw.pub/UkrWar102822 
2/ Defense Minister Sergei #Shoigu, who joined #Putin, stated that #Russia mobilized 300K men, 82K of whom are deployed in #Ukraine and 218K of whom are training at Russian training grounds. Putin stated that 41K of the 82K servicemen in Ukraine are serving in combat units.
3/ #Russia‘s now-completed mobilization is unlikely to decisively impact Russian combat power. isw.pub/UkrWar102822
4/ #Putin described a 50-50 split between mobilized personnel in combat and support roles in #Ukraine. Applied generally, that ratio suggests a total of 150K mobilized personnel will deploy to combat roles in Ukraine after training is complete, likely sometime in November.
5/ #Russia’s deployment of 41K poorly trained combat personnel to #Ukraine may have temporarily stiffened Russian defensive lines, although these reservists have not yet faced the full weight of a major and prepared Ukrainian counteroffensive thrust.
5/ The deployment has not significantly increased Russian combat power. The deployment of an additional 110K or so mobilized men to combat units, therefore, remains unlikely to change the trajectory of the war. isw.pub/UkrWar102822
6/ #Putin may be attempting to reestablish #Shoigu’s authority in the Russian information space to balance the growing influence of the Russian pro-war siloviki faction (people with meaningful power bases within Putin’s inner circle who are fielding combat forces in #Ukraine).
7/ Putin could have announced the end of mobilization himself instead of in a meeting with Shoigu or could have tasked Shoigu with concluding the flawed mobilization effort on his own. Their staged public meeting is consistent with the recent surge in Shoigu’s media appearances.
8/ #Shoigu’s presence in the information space depends on the approval of the #Kremlin since #Putin can control when and whether Shoigu speaks publicly. Shoigu’s siloviki rivals control their own Telegram channels and speak freely to the media. isw.pub/UkrWar102822
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