Eric Finnigan Profile picture
Nov 2 14 tweets 5 min read
“Housing is significantly affected by these higher rates.”
-Jay Powell today about the Fed’s impact on housing

Every month our team surveys 1,000+ agents across the US on what they're seeing in their local markets.

Short 🧵 on local housing markets from our monthly survey:
#Houston, TX: “Home prices have most first-time home buyers priced out of home ownership. It's even worse with the higher interest rates decreasing what the buyers can qualify for.”
#Denver, CO: “Cost of living [and] interest rate [increases] are keeping most buyers from buying.”
#Baltimore, MD: “The market is transitioning. Inventory is still low and the number of buyers looking is less due to rising interest rates. Buyers are qualifying for less, so they are pulling back. [I am] seeing less as-is sales, more home inspections, and negotiations overall.”
#Sarasota, FL: “I've had numerous buyers looking but the prices are much higher than they want to spend. Many pulled back waiting for the market to go down.”
#LosAngeles, CA: “Skyrocketing interest rates are pushing buyers out of the market (they can no longer afford homes that were in their price range just a few months ago) and making homes more difficult to sell for sellers and their agents.”
#Phoenix, AZ: “Buyers are very nervous about making a decision.”
#NewYork: “Open house attendance is weaker than usual, and sales take longer.”
#Minnesota, MN: “Still seeing a fair number of cash sales as competition to financed sales.”
#StLouis, MO: “Things are slowing down slightly, but I have found that the good properties are still moving quickly with multiple offers and going above ask.”
#Barre, VT: “Our local market in Lamoille County is very flat and challenging. Local working families are outpriced by the prices and interest rates. The neighboring resort town has slowed but there are still cash buyers for the million plus market.”
#OrangeCounty, CA: “Interest rates have put the brakes on the market.”
If you're an agent and want to participate in our monthly survey (and get an infographic to share on social media to grow your following every month) sign up here:

realestateconsulting.com/our-company/re… Image
And lastly, if you like charts and data on housing and demographics, hit follow >> @EricFinnigan

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More from @EricFinnigan

Mar 9
US Remodeler Index is out, 4 big themes this qtr: 1) Projects getting BIGGER. 2) Product/material lead times, labor shortages got worse. 3) Remodelers FLEXING pricing power to protect margin. 4) No homes to buy=more whole-home remodels. Commentary from remodelers here… 🧵 1/11
#Missouri Full-service Remodeler: "Delivery times are 32 weeks for my windows and 50 weeks for doors. Delivery delays have brought my projects to a halt and it will be early Q2 before we'll be able to start work again on substantial projects.” 2/11
#Illinois Home Improvement Pro: "We have shifted to other brands that kept lead times and pricing under control." 3/11
Read 12 tweets
Feb 2
Where is pricing power strongest in the residential remodeling space? Where is it weakest? A thread:
👇👇👇
That's one of the biggest questions this year, as consumers stare down the highest inflation in four decades. 2/
Our latest research shows that BIG PROJECT REMODELS ARE LESS SENSITIVE TO RISING PRICES than small projects. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Feb 1
Esther George @KansasCityFed: "$6.9 trillion holdings of federal agency and longer-term Treasury debt is depressing the 10-year Treasury yield by roughly 150 basis points" -- I believe this misses a key point:
The market is a discounting mechanism, bringing the expected future into the present. And the Fed has telegraphed policy, emphasizing predictability. 2/
The market has responded accordingly. Since Dec 23rd:

10-year +28bps
30-year mortgage rate +50bps

3/
Read 4 tweets

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