0xScope Profile picture
Nov 9 25 tweets 18 min read
A recap of the crazy last 72 Hours, a thread🧵👇: Image
It all started with the worry about #Alameda's financial status after their balance sheet and liability are leaked👇.
Then the rumor is out that FTX is in a liquidity crisis.
But at this point, based on the scale of FTX, many still hold FTX is safe.

coindesk.com/business/2022/…
Then 3 days later, a huge #FTT transaction (22,999,999 - $580M at that time) happens, then the man, @cz_binance steps in and announces #Binance gonna sell all #FTT they have due to #FTX existing risk, seems a war between @binance and @FTX_Official has just begun. ImageImage
Affected by the above, In 7 days span, $6.6B worth of assets on Ethereum left #FTX, especially Stablecoins, users are hard to withdraw USDT/USDC from #FTX as they have a lower than 100M stablecoin balance. ImageImage
As the speed of withdrawal from #FTX gets slow, @SBF claims to be the problem of banks.

To track the overall status including the FTX/FTT/Binance inflow/outflow, we created a sheet yesterday to track everything, thousands of people viewed this and discuss it with us.
What's interesting is that #Binance is the one exchange that seems to attract these escaped capitals.
For the past 7 Days, $1.1B worth of money was transferred from #FTX to #Binance. Image
Additional Content halfway meme time: ImageImageImage
At the same time, we analyze the money flow into FTX exchanges on Nov 9 and Nov 8.
We found that all the assets are from other exchanges and other institutions, and NO COLD WALLET transfer or other direct resources.
A chance that FTX moved the user funds.
Another incident that happens yesterday is the issue between @BitDAO_Official and @AlamedaResearch about whether the latter kept the promise of not selling the exchanged $BIT.

Our research @BobieLiu did a detailed analysis of the $BIT transfer by #Alameda and find out indeed $BIT price it is highly possible #Alameda is just market making.
And later it proves to be true.
Nov 8th, 12am UTC, 98.5M $BIT was sent back from #FTX to #Alameda, which they still hold for today.

Then comes the craziest 6 hours in crypto history we may say:
👇
🚨At 2022/11/08 12:00 UTC, the 0xScope team found that no assets have been out from #FTX, we wait for about 1.5 hours to confirm and post the following about the FTX withdraw suspend.
But #FTXUS seems not affected, the operation runs normally, and their deposit and withdrawal were still working.
As more people aware of this and the media spreads the message, the market finally realizes #FTX is in serious trouble.
No clarification from the #FTX side also boosted this fear.
But the message sent out by two main characters @cz_binance and @SBF_FTX changed everything.

😲Binance intended to fully acquire FTX.com.
This is something the market never expected, @cz_binance suddenly become the only main character of the crypto world.
The price of FTT & BNB rises up quickly. ImageImage
When everybody thinks this unnecessary war is finally over, we can finally go to sleep.
Rumor is out, regulation could stop @cz_binance to finish the deal.

reuters.com/markets/curren…
And people are starting to realize that FTX being fully acquired is not a good sign.
The problem should be super big that @SBF_FTX had to give up his empire in such a short term.
This drags the whole market down until this point. Image
And parties could be affected by potential #Alameda and #FTX collapses like other exchanges, CeFi institutions, and FTX portfolios like #Kucoin #Amber #Solana are all surrendered by rumors.
#SOL and #FTT down badly in the past 20 hours ImageImage
Centralized exchanges are now on a driven mission to a fully reserved mode, and multiple parties have expressed their actions and willingness.
In a short term, the worries and influence will not stop🚫.
Answers to the following questions still need to be found🤔:
Will @cz_binance be able to finish the deal?
Will #Alameda dump the whole market?
How big is the #FTX 's hole?
That's why 0xScope will continue to track the data to evaluate the influence on the crypto market, we will launch our detailed FTX&Binance data dashboard on @0xWatchers soon, and we will stay with you to analyze everything out 💪.

Stay Tuned.
@cz_binance Updates:
#Binance has decided to stop the acquisition process after Due Diligence on FTX.com.

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More from @ScopeProtocol

Nov 10
😬Rumor has it that @SBF_FTX has been moving users' funds around. We dived in for a hell lot of time and here's what we found:

🚨We found that @SBF_FTX and @AlamedaResearch have been SHARING the same funding and lots of exchange accounts for a long time 🫡.

Proofs👇:
First of all, we applied address clustering to all the @SBF addresses we can find, and one of them is highly connected with a tagged #Alameda's address.
SBF's: 0xD57581D9e42E9032e6f60422fA619b4A4574Ba79 (0xD5)
Alameda's:
0xf108a465a5dafb51bb48615b1a4f5e00401ff90d (0xf1) Image
Why do we say address 0xD5 is @SBF_FTX?
Okay, first of all, he admits himself.

And we also find this is one of the multi-signer of @SushiSwap, which SBF is.

panewslab.com/en/articledeta… ImageImage
Read 11 tweets
Nov 10
【0xScope Corps Rally: Watchers Assembly】

We are doing something interesting and can't wait to share it with you 👇

Co-host:@TechFlowPost @BiteyeCN @BuidlerDAO @7upDAO @TernaryOfficial @TigerVCDAO @avatar_dao Image
Recently, FTX events have been scorching, and people are in great demand for data tracking. 0xScope's research team, in the first instance, created a dashboard that closely tracked the events around FTX and monitored the money flow in the market 👉 watchers.pro/#/report
We're cultivating one of the most vital up-and-coming forces of on-chain intelligence, working with Watchers to monitor market movements, protect investor safety, and drive sustainable industry growth!
Read 5 tweets
Nov 9
This is probably the most detailed analysis of #Alameda's on-chain status:

We pull a total of 643 #Alameda's addresses data on different chains.

Right now, they have $310M in EVM positions and assets, $200M on Solana (excluding low liquidity assets)

A breakdown:
Assets on Ethereum worth $230M include:
$99M #USDC
$32M #BIT they keep the oath I guess
$23M #USDT
$18M #WETH
$12M #ETH
Mostly major assets, on the other hand, other altcoins decreased. Image
Besides, they have around $80M worth of Ethereum positions like:
$23.5M #FTT collateral to borrow $MIM
$3.66M #WBTC collateral on @AaveAave to lend $CRV
$2.37M aETHc on @ankr
$5.64M #USDC Liquidity on @ClearpoolFin
$7.11M #xSUSHI @SushiSwap
Read 5 tweets
Nov 8
We created a sheet that includes all the important data of the ongoing @FTX_Official drama.
All data is updated every hour.
Explain👇:
docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
Sheet1 & Sheet2:
@FTX_Official 's inflow and outflow data indicate how much capital left Alameda, especially ETH/stablecoins.
$50M left in the past 1H. ImageImage
Sheet 3
We calculate how much money has been transferred from @FTX_Official to @binance?
At this war, is #binance getting something juicy?
The answer is yes, around 20% of the #Binance inflow comes from #FTX in the past 7 days.
🟩->🟨
And that is $1.17B in USD value. Image
Read 5 tweets
Nov 8
🚨As the #FTX drama continues, many projects and retail investors worry #Alameda is gonna dump their tokens, so maybe it's time for a quick review of what tokens are in Alameda's pocket now?
🧵👇
How much do they have on Ethereum?

By checking our entity

Alameda Research#RE5UBiNg (627 addresses)

now holds around $100M in assets Image
Besides major tokens like $USDC/ $ETH/ $BTC, the following are also worth noticing:

$2.76M in $UNI
$2.66M in $MATIC (already decrease 80% of the balance in 1 day)
$1.86M in $SHIB
$1.55M in $RNDR
$1.51M in $ORBS ImageImage
Read 5 tweets
Nov 7
🧵What happens with FTX?
The ongoing #FTX & #binance drama draws the attention of the whole market.
0xScope gives you a real-time monitor of what is happening with @FTX_Official based on the most powerful Ethereum on-chain tracking ability.

Hold tight, you are gonna like it👇:
Before we start, we have created entities of related parties, you can use the ID to see the dashboard or you can set custom alerts on @0xWatchers:

Alameda Research#RE5UBiNg (627 addresses)
Binance Exchange#xLrHRwpe (74 addresses)
FTX#5ZDQkT62(3 addresses)

#TrustIn0xScope
First of all, @FTX_Official is experiencing a panic withdrawal period. The balance of USDT/USDC drops 95%📉 in 7 days and ETH drops 50%.
On the other hand, parties like Alameda keep filling holes for FTX. For now, the stablecoin share keeps around 0.2%.
Read 10 tweets

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