Chxta Profile picture
Nov 27 16 tweets 6 min read
I had a discussion with someone yesterday that brings to my mind the nature, to some extent, of the damage that the current Japa wave is doing. This time, not to the body-corporate #Nigeria
I've discussed that in some form here, and I've done a thread on the effects on the middle class, who are the primary movers of this migration.

I recommend reading @tundeleye's 2017 piece about why people were leaving #Nigeria bit.ly/2WvirUH
The #LekkiMassacre of two years ago merely accelerated what was already a trend.

But not much is being said about the effect of this trend on the lower classes, the people who used to be house helps, nannies, stewards, drivers, cooks and maiguards.
A story I was told yesterday brought this out in very harsh terms to me, and I think retelling it is in order.

A friend left with his family last year. When they left, their driver, maiguard, and house-help, all became unemployed.
I have no clue what has become of either driver or maiguard, but my driver is acquainted with the former house-help, and yesterday, I got updated on her history post-March 2021, when her employers left #Nigeria for #Canada.
She is from Benue State but had nothing to return to there because of various issues, such as a lack of jobs and insecurity, so she moved to Ibadan and stayed with friends there.

As these things go, she met a young man and, in short order, got pregnant and now has a baby boy.
The father, who is unknown to my driver, abandoned her with the child, and she is now virtually destitute and begging for food up in Ibadan.

My immediate advice was that she should go back to her village with the baby.
You see, AFAIL, there is no way in #Nigeria that she would starve in the village.

Yes, she would lack a lot, and yes, there would be no money. But my thinking is, "go stay a while, let your family get used to having the child around, then come back, find a job and send money."
My driver said he had given similar advice, but it was rejected off-hand.

Apparently, she is too ashamed to go back.
While I believe she is not thinking, I understand that social pressures could be significant.

Most people in her position would be unable to cope with the shame of falling from being the breadwinner to being virtually destitute.
Plus, large tracts of #Nigeria are still socially conservative, so an unwed young mother being seen as a burden on a poor family is very unlikely to go down well.

I see why she would not want to go back home.
Personally, I'll see what I can do to help (and if anyone is of like mind, reach out to me so I can make introductions), but at best we are helping one person.

According to the UKVI, almost 32,000 Nigerians were granted student visas in the last year alone.
Most of these people came with dependents, meaning they had the resources to move with family.

That ability to move multiple dependents across borders places such people solidly in #Nigeria's upper middle class.
These are the very kind of people who were able to afford to, while living in #Nigeria, employ domestic staff.

Nannies/stewards/house-helps were typically the one essential member of staff that such people hired.
This would mean that in the last year, 32,000 low-skilled workers in #Nigeria have lost their jobs.

The average wage for stewards (at least as of 2019) was ₦30,000.
Many of these people used to support families that were poorer still, and through no fault of theirs or of their erstwhile employers, if we are brutally honest, that essential lifeline was yanked away.

Where does all of this lead?

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More from @Chxta

Nov 24
Words matter, especially when they come from someone with influence.

That is the theme of my latest column in @FinancialNG bit.ly/3VhvOAI, the impact of the words of @JoeBiden before he became POTUS.

Bear in mind, this was written before #America's mid-terms...
Faced with the implications of his words during his presidential campaign, the Biden administration rediscovered the concept of realpolitik and tried to make good with the Saudis by visiting #SaudiArabia in July and ending up with that infamous fist bump. Image
In November 2019, Joe Biden fingered MBS in the killing of @washingtonpost contributor Jamal Khashoggi and committed to making the Saudis pay.

He followed up upon assuming office by rejecting contact with MBS and stopping US assistance to Saudi efforts in its war in #Yemen.
Read 8 tweets
Sep 5
On #FreshlyPressed981 with @SopeMartins and @monsieurceee this morning, we'll be asking how the NNPC came to the conclusion that petrol will sell for ₦462/litre without the subsidy.

@Smooth981FM in 15 minutes...
The NNPC is just involved in unnecessary fear-mongering.

Our neighbours, who are poorer, pay a lot more than we do for petrol. What I see in all this is people committed to maintaining their cushy subsidy scam going on.
Consider the attached chart, published in February.

As of February, based on the exchange rate, we were paying 40 cents per litre of petrol. In #Benin it was 95 cents, in #Niger it was 97 cents, in #Chad it was 89 cents, and in #Cameroun, it was $1.09. Image
Read 9 tweets
Aug 17
“We have seen your type before, and they all fizzled out. Let’s see how long you will last.”

That's what someone told @DavidHundeyin as recounted in his @BusinessDayNg column today: bit.ly/3JZzB0N

That thing cut my soul because it is true...
For all the flak that the Nigerian media gets, people tend to forget one crucial fact: they are products of their environment, working within that same environment.

Only a very few people in this life have the fortitude of Job.
The overwhelming majority of humanity, including me these days, would make the required compromise to just keep things moving.

One problem we have in #Nigeria is that we never interrogate these things. We must ask, "why"?
Read 17 tweets
Aug 16
In the 1963 movie, Cleopatra, there was an interesting dialogue between Mark Anthony and Octavian, the man who would later become Augustus Caesar, the first emperor of Rome about the birth of Julius Caesar's son, Caesarion:
Mark Antony: "You were so shut at the mouth just now one would think your words were are precious to you as your gold."

Octavian: "Like my gold, I use them where they are worth most."

This is instructive...
Also instructive is that during his 19 years as chairman of the US Federal Reserve, Alan Greenspan did not give any interviews. Having taken over from the inflation-busting Paul Volcker, Greenspan knew that words from his position carried weight and so had to be used sparingly.
Read 6 tweets
Jun 10
This tweet, and the reply, are both hilarious and sad at the same time. I normally don't engage such nonsense, but herein lies a teachable moment, so let's go.

First, in a thread of 5 tweets, it's the single one that pointed out the flaw in the strategy of the victims you saw.
It says a lot about your ability to assess multiple streams of information at the same time, and as important, it speaks to your emotional state.

Basically, you're looking for affirmation, so anything that runs contrary to what you'd like to hear, can only be from an "enemy".
Which is fair at an individual level, but when an entire group begins to act in this manner and expects the results to be favourable, one can only wonder...
Read 14 tweets
Jun 9
This map is from a presentation made after #NigeriaDecides2019. Note where state actors engaged in violence. Opposition strongholds.

Today's nonsense in Alaba is same just earlier in the process. Voter suppression. You can download the full report here: bit.ly/3O3j6l7
Present at that report were people from @inecnigeria @HQNigerianArmy @PoliceNG @official_NSCDC and a host of other actors in the election and security matrix.

The report was adopted, and INEC promised to do better. bit.ly/3aIxnp4
Having pointed out all of this, we must come to terms with the flaws in our system and figure out ways around them.

@inecnigeria has started CVR. There's really no reason why we should be doing lastminute.com voter reg and creating choke points politicians can exploit.
Read 5 tweets

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