There has been surprise and awe as protestors in China chant “Xi Jinping, stand down” (习近平下台). Yet from our knowledge of power and resistance in authoritarian states, these demands should be expected to emerge sooner or later. 🧵 #ZeroCovidChina#UrumqiFire#ChinaProtests
1/ The late, great Stephen White who taught Post-Communist Politics 101 emphasised that the more personalised an authoritarian system, the more that social discontent will focus on that leader as the sole actor responsible for policy and with power to change course.
2/ The more violent the leader, the more violence expected in state transformation. For example, no analyst wonders why Nicolae Ceaușescu’s end was so violent. It is explained in relation to the intensity of levels of state violence and personalisation of the political system.
3/
Xi Jinping has personalised China's system. He is in command of policymaking and monitoring, his thought is a guide to action.
Xi Jinping threatens & imprisons cadres using examples of “violations of discipline”. We see this viscerally in #Xinjiang. Scholars & journalists must engage w/ research on region and its peoples to understand what Xi is doing across China and why.
Now we see public calls for Xi’s removal, not in Xinjiang, but far away in Shanghai and cities with high concentrations of educated young people who want to be allowed outside and to be able to express themselves.
...and state anxiety that Han Chinese understand that genocide against #Uyghurs will eventually directly affect them.
“doing #Xinjiang work well is related to the overall situation of the whole nation…and is the business of all the party and the nation” Xi Jinping
7/ Xi Jinping explains that Xinjiang's affairs affect security of entire nation. Scholars & journalists have access to primary sources and analysis, with important work by @adrianzenz but also myself, @dtbyler, and Kelly Hammond.
Protests in Shanghai could spiral into something more as they chant for freedom and political change, and these are taken up by Chinese diaspora around the world.
There is also much hurt in the Uyghur diaspora community as they are not asking to be released from covid controls but from arbitrary detention, forced labour, and racial targeting.
Journalists, activists, & analysts, please consider how China’s political system shapes protest and how the spark was caused by death of Uyghurs under racially targeted, excessive covid controls in a region considered under occupation by those people.
Note that ordinary police are deployed in Shanghai to deal with what are interpreted as student protestors. In Urumchi, where Han are far more accustomed to conflict, military police were stationed immediately.
If Xi remains in control of military and nothing suggests he will not, protests will be crushed or they will dissipate. It is unclear if Chinese protestors in Shanghai are prepared for this. But their bravery should be documented alongside the tragic death of Uyghurs.
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Urumchi is not Zhengzhou. I lived there for several years, observing and interviewing around many protests. I want to add some overlooked background to #UrumqiProtest conversation. Many dominant voices on the subject have never been there. 🧵
1. @guardian / @Reuters quoted 1 respected political scientist but who does not research the region. Alternatively, many foreign and Uyghur experts who know the city are available, sharing videos and analysis on the capital city of their homeland.
2.
Bypassing experts guarantees ideological framings (“Chinese protest” & “civil society”), ignoring local dynamics where Han protestors often describe themselves as “vanguard” and Uyghurs died in a building fire under ethnically targeting and excessive covid controls.
Six essential books to help understand how the current crisis in the region known as #Xinjiang emerged. These overlooked, multidisciplinary works, published before the current crisis, range from history to anthropology to political science. #Uyghurs#Centralasia#China#Islam
Obviously I think you should read my book too! It explains how the goals of #China's ethnic policy shifted from gradual to rapid assimilation, exacerbating insecurity and cycles of violence between Han Chinese, #Uyghurs, and the state in #Xinjiang.
NEW REPORT by @lauratmurphy, @nyrola, and myself uncovers massive networks of forced labour and transfers of Uyghur people managed by the Bingtuan and commanded by the central party-state. An explainer 🧵
The Bingtuan (#Xinjiang Production & Construction Corps) is a state-run corporation, functioning as regional government, paramilitary organisation, prisons bureau, media empire, education system, and one of world’s largest state-run corporations.
2.
Established in the 1950s by former PLA and GMD soldiers, the Bingtuan describes itself as representing China’s ancient “settling the frontier culture” (屯垦文化) with “plough in one hand, gun in the other”
The report analyses Xi’s thinking and the centralised decision-making behind Xinjiang policy, institutional shifts to ensure policy implementation, and the arbitrary nature of mass detention of Turkic-speaking Muslim communities.
2.
It explains how China’s political system operates and analyses the thinking behind genocide in Xinjiang. The PRC is moving towards totalitarianism: personalised rule, mass mobilisation and surveillance, and ideological education.
Some book reviews! My fieldwork in Urumchi #Xinjiang planned to explore relations between Han, #Uyghurs, & party-state, particularly how urban groups most exposed to party education understand each other and how interactions shape #nationalism#security
What wasn't planned was 2009 mass violence. Han & #Uyghurs explained violence with narratives familiar from living there previously but crystallised into starker boundaries & insecurity. #China's party-state framed Uyghur identities as security problems, intensifying insecurity.
I had hoped to live there again during more peaceful times and even explore some themes in the reviews below. But Xi's ethnic extinction policies and his closed "new era" means we have to learn and use new methods.
After the 2009 violence between Han, #Uyghurs, and #Xinjiang’s security organs, #China’s party-state used region-wide compulsory “ethnic unity education” to "defeat separatism." A key text from those classes is now available. What does it tell us? 🧵
The text is hosted on @YXiaocuo ‘s Xinjiang Documentation Project website. Their goal is to uplift survivors’ voices and create a reliable resource to combat state-sponsored erasure of evidence and partisan presentation of the crisis in Xinjiang
To pass compulsory “ethnic unity” (minzu tuanjie) exams, schoolchildren, students, and state employees had to chant together in class and pass exams on their own identity and official narratives of history and separatism