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Dec 14 • 5 tweets • 3 min read
(1) This is why I use syndemic theory for health and climate. (2) SARS is the highest leverage point, vital to all countries and to all of us. (3) I’m stunned so few do the same. Do children not deserve livable futures? (4) Disagree on ‘distraction’ but Andy is right on strategy.
(5) Kind souls ask how to end the pandemic. Understandable, as every gov and most public health experts falsely claim it's impossible.

Dear all, here is how: IHR 2005, just like for SARS 2003, and for the SARS-CoV-2 Wuhan wildtype. who.int/health-topics/…
who.int/publications/i…
(6) Read this carefully, because your future depends on it.
(7) If #ZeroSARS ends (#a to #ab, notation in the second tweet here), then we lose the last control group of this grand population-level natural decarbonization experiment. #b is unsustainable, so - by definition - sooner or later we'll shift back (#aba).

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More from @_ppmv

Paul Maidowski Profile picture
Dec 15
Brutal. Important update. Thanks you three: Image
Complete mystery to me how this was ever even a question. Image
I think this is important to emphasize. Children - infants’ lives! - are at stake here. Harsh, criminal justice questions are in order for authorities who purposely and systematically, for years, infected an entire generation. We have no idea how these children will grow up. Image
Read 8 tweets
Paul Maidowski Profile picture
Dec 15
#NobelPrize (only) for climate-relevant work. - Needed for @NobelPrize to make up for Nordhaus, leading neoclassical climate economist awarded a “Nobel Prize” for flawed, influential work that has been downplaying the climate catastrophe since the 1990s. @sci_ffert @ProfSteveKeen
I called for a similar initiative: natural and systems scientists should challenge or do research with economists. Here tongue in cheek summarized by @W_Lucht. Good enough, as I deleted most teeets from first pandemic months, given slow rates of learning.
I restate this mostly to reair the wise words of @pkhaff, among the very notable scientific voices in the field.
Read 7 tweets
Paul Maidowski Profile picture
Dec 15
Me being very chill on a Thursday morning.

Normalize reminding people (kindly, no personal critique intended, @sehof 😂) that countless millions of lives are at stake in the decisions of the coming months.

Countless because many of these unborn lives lost will never be counted.
@sehof This concludes this (week's?) joint China, climate, SARS tweetstorm. I'll have to carve out another model. Twitter engagement is worthwhile, thank you all! Yet it's ineffectual re to the scale of challenges. Reach out if you have ideas/resources/questions.
@sehof It's remarkable to witness LIVE, for years, how many people not just silently tolerate but actively promote SARS. Even in China now, more than three years after the start of pandemic spread. I never imagined there would be so many closet climate activists.
Read 7 tweets
Paul Maidowski Profile picture
Dec 14
Climate change and SARS are the Unthinkable. Both involve high-order nonlinear feedbacks that spill beyond the limits of our language and mental models in time and space.

Both bleeding-edge science: read arxiv.org/abs/2212.04474

The answer to both is the Precautionary Principle.
Background: sans doubt the climate paper of the year. Brilliant, and very accessible language - anyone can read this. @DrJamesEHansen @MakikoSato6 @LeonSimons8
Antarctica thread because this continent determines our long-run future. Sea ice for scale. 3/k
Read 17 tweets
Paul Maidowski Profile picture
Dec 13
Always surprises me to see what kinds of cool thinkers, writers, profs follow me for some reason. However well this wild ride between China, SARS, climate, IR & zombie politics is working for you - we need to find more effective ways. At least I need to.

Thanks all, be well, 🙏
Feels like we’re approaching the next phase of this pandemic, with scientific uncertainty about what’s ahead comparable to early 2020.
Zombie politics a @dandrezner reference - yet there’s been VERY little meaningful analysis of SARS and climate from the IR department (not to criticize my alma mater, applies to the discipline as such). Folks the risk is real. We are years behind! Do we care to catch up or nah?
Read 6 tweets
Paul Maidowski Profile picture
Dec 12
Strategic litigation is the only way out for the west. When people ask what your exit strategy is: It’s right here. Until the insurance CEOs sue the airline CEOs, and we eradicate SARS by following WHO guidance, we’ll all go downhill.
Below macroecon and international law (@IsabellaMWeber @DanielaGabor), don’t underestimate the meso/micro (market or firm level). I expect balancing feedbacks to activate. But expected them in 2020 already and was wrong; may be wrong again. Caveat twittor.
I’m heartbroken @jmcrookston disinherited me (a truckload of elastomerics!? 😂), but the chance of MERS (“camel flu”) genetic recombination with SARS seems to have inspired some media echo and public attention. #WorldCup influence may be used for good (=public health education).
Read 9 tweets

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