Ajay Profile picture
Dec 31, 2022 7 tweets 4 min read
Mama Earth is a popular baby care & skin care company with organic products.

It recently announced its plans for an IPO, seeking a valuation of $3 billin.

There's just one problem.

Let's find out in a 🧵:

#mamaearth #StockMarket #ipoalert #investing Image
The company is backed by celebrity investors like Shilpa Shetty and the big names in the VC world : Sequoia Capital and Fireside Ventures Fund.

It was also valued at $1.2 billion in 2021 making it a unicorn.

Clearly, the company must be making millions in profits?

Not really.
Honasa Consumer Ltd, that owns Mama Earth posted a net profit of just INR 19.8 crore in FY21.

It had incurred a loss of INR 1332.2 crore in FY20.

But what is more interesting is an exceptional clause that was inserted into the shareholders' agreement in FY21. Source: Inc42
This clause says that if the company cannot provide investors with an exit within a certain time frame, then it will have to offer a buyout.

This exceptional item has been shown as an expense in the P&L statement under IND-AS rules.

The IPO couldn't have come at a better time.
So, here's a company that makes a net profit of ~INR 20-25 crore and seeking a valuation of INR 24000 crore!

Almost a 1000x multiple that does not make sense at all.

Even if they grow at 100x from here, the company would be extremely expensive at this valuation.

#Price
Retail investors are still recovering from such expensive IPOs like Nykaa, Zomato and PayTM.

Prices for these stocks have eroded almost 80-90% and PayTM has even initiated a buyback at 1/3rd the IPO price to add insult to injury!

#Paytm #Zomato Image
I really hope my fellow retail investors don't get trapped again with this one, and will do their own research before applying for this IPO.

Do not believe the hype, and invest your money wisely.

#mamaearth @ipo_mantra @dmuthuk #StockMarket

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More from @ajay_invests

Dec 28, 2022
The Rupee is in a free fall against the US Dollar.

However, the RBI is intervening to cushion INR's fall.

Ever wonder how the RBI does it?

Let's learn it here:

#USDINR #USD #forex #India #Rupee
First, let's understand why RBI intervenes to defend the rupee in the first place.

A weak currency worsens our fiscal deficit, fuels inflation and slows down international trade.

Clearly, RBI has a mandate to improve the situation on behalf of the GoI and the citizens of India.
Forex market is highly volatile and a breeding ground for speculators. This is why the FX market is the most liquid in the world with around $7.5 trillion (with a T!) in daily turnover.

So, RBI has to control speculation in the USDINR segment to ensure stability of the Rupee.
Read 11 tweets
Dec 26, 2022
The US Dollar stands at INR 82.82 as of today.

Ever wonder why the Rupee always depreciates against the Dollar?

Let’s find out in a 🧵:

#USD #Dollar #forex #investing Image
One of the major reasons for INR depreciation is India’s massive exposure and dependence on one single commodity:

OIL.

Almost 70% of our imports in value is just crude oil, as we’re the third-largest consumer globally.

There are two ways this affect our economy and currency.
1. Global crude oil market is denominated in USD.

This means we have to sell INR to buy USD in the Forex market first, and then pay the same to OPEC to import oil.

As demand for USD rises, and supply being controlled by The Fed, its value too rises against the INR.

#oilprices
Read 9 tweets
Dec 14, 2022
Net Cash Flow is an important metric many investors look at when researching companies.

But do you know that cash flows can be easily manipulated?

Let's see how:

#investing #finance #FinancialFreedom #Accounting
The Cash Flow Statement is one of the three most important financial statements of a company.

The other two being P&L Statement and the Balance Sheet.

Balance Sheet shows us the assets and liabilities of the company and is very important to look at when analyzing cash flows.
Cash position of a company has an inverse relation with Assets and a direct relation with Liabilities.

For e.g., you BURN cash to acquire an Asset. So when Assets increase, the cash position DECREASES.

On the corollary, an increase in Liabilities INCREASES the cash position.
Read 7 tweets
Dec 6, 2022
How Return on Equity (RoE) can be manipulated:

A short 🧵:

💰💰🔥🔥

#invest #Financial
First, let’s take the formula to calculate Return on Equity (RoE):

RoE = (Net Profit/Shareholders’ Equity) x 100

Here, we need to understand what shareholders’ equity stand for in the Balance Sheet:

#stocks #investing
If the company has assets worth ₹1000/- then liabilities also need to be ₹1000/-.

With no debt, in a simple world, the liability would be the shareholders’ equity. Let’s say Net profit is ₹100/-

And RoE would be :

(100/1000) x 100 = 10%

But everything changes with debt.
Read 6 tweets

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