Share this page!

Raj Rajnarayanan Profile picture
Twitter logo
Jan 6 • 7 tweets • 5 min read
#SARSCoV2 #VariantProportions - #USA |01/06/23

Interesting tug of war between BQ.1.1 vs XBB.1.5

As expected new @CDCgov #Nowcast estimates
BQ.1.1 (34.4%) > XBB.1.5* (27.6%)

covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tra…

1/n
BQ.1.1 vs XBB.1.5 trend consistent with #VariantDashboard #USA #15DayTrends



2/n
Use the "nowcast off" button in the CDC Variant Proportions dashboard to get a clear picture of the variant spread

covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tra…

3/n
Samples with specimen collection dates after Dec 25, 2022 is in complete

As more data* comes in.... it will appear like a tug of war between BQ.1.1 vs XBB.1.5.. which eventually XBB.1.5 is poised to win!

Tracked here: public.tableau.com/app/profile/ra…

4/n
as note here about BQ.1.1 vs XBB.1.5


5/n
Make no mistake..it will eventually outcompete all other circulating variant (unless something else pop up)



6/n
This competitive advantage over other circulating variants especially BQ.1/BQ.1.1 will eventually settle down to about 25-50% (as it did with previous variant combinations)

7/n

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
　

Keep Current with Raj Rajnarayanan

Raj Rajnarayanan Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @RajlabN

Raj Rajnarayanan Profile picture
Jan 7
#COVID19 #VariantDashboard - #UnitedStates

Interesting tug or war between BQ.1.1 vs XBB.1.5

TOP lineages (#15DAYTRENDS):

23.3% BQ.1.1
15.5% XBB.1.5
10.8% BQ.1
2.9% BQ.1.1.4
2.8% XBB.1
2.1% BQ.1.1.3

Tracker: tinyurl.com/mryj4uu7
#OmicronUpdates 01/06/2023

1/n Image
Sequence count by US State

Large share of sequences from outside NE States with specimen collection dates in the last 15 days.

The proportion of BQ.1*/BQ.1.1* >> XBB.1.5 outside NE states.

XBB.1.5 is expected to outcompete all other circulating lineages soon.

2/n Image
Granular details -#VariantDashboard #USA #15DayTrends

3/n Image
Read 24 tweets
Raj Rajnarayanan Profile picture
Jan 6
Tracking XBB.1.5* lineage over time | 01/06/2023

Total Sequence Count
- Global: 4,269
- USA: 3,722

Earliest sample collection date: 10/22/22 (NY, USA)*

Tracker: public.tableau.com/app/profile/ra…

* [excluding samples with date errors]
Tracking XBB.1.5* lineage over time in North America | 01/06/2023

Northeast USA is a major hotspot (mainly NY & NE USA)

Emerging hotspot outside USA: Ontario, Canada
A closer look at XBB.1.5 in USA over time

Not many sequences were submitted with collection dates after Dec 25, 2022.

Check other Divisions/Countries/Regions here at public.tableau.com/app/profile/ra…
Read 5 tweets
Raj Rajnarayanan Profile picture
Jan 6
#COVID19 #VariantDashboard - #UnitedStates

Interesting tug or war between BQ.1.1 vs XBB.1.5

TOP lineages (#15DAYTRENDS):

19.4% BQ.1.1
17.0% XBB.1.5
10.8% BQ.1
3.3% XBB.1
2.8% BQ.1.1.4
2.4% BQ.1.1.3

Tracker: tinyurl.com/mryj4uu7
#OmicronUpdates 01/05/2023

1/n
Note: Thanks to Emily Smith (tweet below), misassigned BQ.1.22s were reassigned now to BQ.1.1 or BQ.1.x.y (will check them again and update if there are any additional changes)



2/n
Sequence count by US State

Large share of sequences from outside NE States with specimen collection dates in the last 15 days. The proportion of BQ.1*/BQ.1.1* >> XBB.1.5 outside NE states. XBB.1.5 is expected to outcompete all other circulating lineages soon.

2/n
Read 19 tweets
Raj Rajnarayanan Profile picture
Jan 5
Tracking XBB.1.5* lineage over time | 01/05/2023

Total Sequence Count
- Global: 4,064
- USA: 3,597

Earliest sample collection date: 10/22/22 (NY, USA)*
Now circulating in 33 countries

Tracker: public.tableau.com/app/profile/ra…

* [excluding samples with date errors]
Tracking XBB.1.5* lineage over time in North America | 01/05/2023

Northeast USA is a major hotspot (mainly NY & NE USA)

Emerging hotspot outside USA: Ontario, Canada
Tracking XBB.1.5* lineage over time in Europe | 01/05/2023

Emerging hotspots #UnitedKingdom, #Denmark, #Germany, #Austria
Read 4 tweets
Raj Rajnarayanan Profile picture
Jan 5
#COVID19 #VariantDashboard - #UnitedStates

TOP lineages (#15DAYTRENDS):

18.9% XBB.1.5
14.5% BQ.1.1
9.6% BQ.1
6.6% BQ.1.22
3.2% XBB.1
2.4% BQ.1.1.4
2.3% BQ.1.3
2.1% BQ.1.12
2.0% BQ.1.1.3

Tracker: tinyurl.com/mryj4uu7
#OmicronUpdates 01/04/2023

1/n
Sequence count by US State

New York, California, North Carolina, Washington, Virginia and Florida have submitted a large share of sequences with specimen collection dates in the last 15 days.

2/n
Granular details -#VariantDashboard #USA #15DayTrends

3/n
Read 21 tweets
Raj Rajnarayanan Profile picture
Jan 4
Tracking XBB.1.5* lineage over time | 01/04/2023

Total Sequence Count
- Global: 3,582
- USA: 3,161

Earliest sample collection date: 10/22/22 (NY, USA)*

Tracker: public.tableau.com/app/profile/ra…

* [excluding samples with date errors] Image
Tracking XBB.1.5* lineage over time in North America | 01/04/2023

Northeast USA is a major hotspot (mainly NY) Image
Tracking XBB.1.5* lineage over time in Europe | 01/04/2023

Emerging hotspots #UnitedKingdom, #Denmark, #Germany, #Austria Image
Read 4 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

Send Email!

:(