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Jan 31 • 9 tweets • 8 min read
Think the Unthinkable. (1) States need to start international cooperation on climate change and SARS-CoV-2 in the next three years. (2) Links update weekly to daily (COVID-19/climate).
coralreefwatch.noaa.gov/data_current/5…
polar.ncep.noaa.gov/global/nc/?-so…
…id19-country-overviews.ecdc.europa.eu
outbreak.info/location-repor… ImageImageImageImage
1. Don't ask me how the outbreak.info tracking works; I just took a @T_Brautigan link and hit buttons at random until it roughly made sense. (There's 100% better ways to display this.) Legend:
@T_Brautigan 2. Legend II
3. Follow @KrVaSt & our small online scicomm community for iceberg tracking:

Above are some of the most fundamental, existential questions that humanity faces today. They should NOT be left to us volunteers. tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/ocean…
worldview.earthdata.nasa.gov/?v=-6044792.14…
ImageImage
4. This is how the magic happens. It’s late, but all the more needed:
5. Breaking the ice: Observe the otherworldly beauty of the West Antarctic ice sheet (WAIS)'s disintegration live, here the last eleven days of January 2023: @KrVaSt worldview.earthdata.nasa.gov/?v=-2829966.04…
6. @KrVaSt kindly introduces #Thwaites (TG, a.k.a. #doomsday glacier) & Pine Island Glacier (PIG).
7. En detail
8. Pediatric hepatitis from XBB.1.5 due to Orf1b:s959p (=Nsp13:s36p)? Perhaps "living with" SARS was not such a brilliant idea after all.

Therapies remain elusive, 20 years after the first SARS-CoV outbreak? This is the textbook definition of #incurable. Image

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More from @_ppmv

Paul Maidowski Profile picture
Feb 1
Intellectuals who promote "living with SARS" policy don't know the real risk as they never studied the primary literature. German examples I appreciate for otherwise good FP analysis: @fuecks @ulrichspeck @thorstenbenner etc. Can't deny that it's intriguing to see tragedy unfold!
Few seem to analyze global affairs with the scientific rigor needed to stop SARS-CoV-2 transmission in Schengen/EU, let alone worldwide. Thus we now face great risk.

More of us should work to build sustainable models. This however will require funding. 🫠
3. What's next?

SARS-CoV-2 will evolve for higher viral load, unlike influenza, and higher surface electrostatic potential, like HIV-1.

Germany's last mandates ended today; our policy will fail.

All: read and mask for your own health and security (N95). ImageImageImageImage
Read 7 tweets
Paul Maidowski Profile picture
Feb 1
1. Where do we stand on COVID-19 in Year Four?

SARS-CoV-2 is slowly reverting to its long-term trend of increasing viral load (=severity) after a one-year surprise dip thanks to Omicron.

Most people seem wildly determined to learn by experience. Good luck mates, you'll need it!
2. Viral load thread. 👍
Read 22 tweets
Paul Maidowski Profile picture
Feb 1
1. The shock of 2020: we learned a pandemic can strike US out of the blue.

We worried climate would lose the little salience we'd won in 2019 and worked unpaid overtime for months/years to link both to deeper socioeconomic problem structures.

System dynamics + #syndemic theory. Image
2. The shock of 2021 was Omicron: we learned how eagerly people dismissed it.

Spoiler: we then pissed away one year telling ourselves it was "mild", "a natural vaccine", "we were lucky"; rather than taking preparations for SARS eradication, which would work just like in 2003. Image
3. The surprise of 2022 was seeing the last #ZeroCovid countries like New Zealand, Taiwan and China remove protections even though they everyone who was remotely interested and science-literate knew what would happen.

The real shock is: No one has a plan.
ourworldindata.org/explorers/coro… Image
Read 6 tweets
Paul Maidowski Profile picture
Feb 1
Wir alle sind #vulnerabel: LongCovid Symptome können Monate nach Konvaleszenz einsetzen.

#LongCovid ist #unheilbar. incurable

SARS muss nicht töten, um Euch aus dem Leben zu reißen.

Ihr werdet es nur auf Twitter hören. N95 und Augenschutz zur eigenen Sicherheit und Gesundheit.
1. Lauterbach warnte vor unheilbarer Immunschwäche durch #Corona. "Wer sich öfter mit Corona infiziert, läuft offenbar Gefahr, an einer unheilbaren Immunschwäche zu erkranken." - Ja, wir haben 20 Jahre Erfahrung mit SARS-Überlebenden.

LongSARS = LongCOVID
2. Die Warnung stand für ca. 12 Stunden. Ich hätte echt Erzieher werden sollen.
Read 8 tweets
Paul Maidowski Profile picture
Jan 31
1. What is ahead in the next 75 years?

Our children will experience Earth heating faster than in 12 to 55 million years. Learn from states' errors and asystemic, linear thinking of the past 3 years.

The next 3 years need to see international cooperation emerge. WHO @DrTedros 👍 Image
@DrTedros 2. My kind reminder for scientists and anyone who works in public policy. We've seen enough model magic in epidemiology AND in climate. SARS-CoV-2 should have taught you that reality denial helps no one in the long run. Please focus.
@DrTedros 3. What is the difference between Pliocene, Miocene, and Eocene trajectories?

Human civilization.

What makes resilient, sane, survivable societies possible?

International cooperation and a strong, effective, and independent - because well funded - WHO.
Read 16 tweets
Paul Maidowski Profile picture
Jan 31
Says @RoyScranton, "Amidst the stresses, grief, and terrors of life, there is this, too: a rich ongoing conversation, an elaborate tapestry of narrative and thought." - Adding the SARS-CoV-2 library, a virus of epic, poetic qualities. Note the juxtaposition of Pope and pregnancy, Image
And yes, you'll be forgiven for thinking the library may need some work. Not top of the agenda though; no one pays me for this.
We will pay dearly for not better structuring the ongoing conversation - and resultant political priorities; I'll recommend placing this high on the public agenda. Background as per the kind @fitterhappierAJ,
Read 4 tweets

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