Thread by @HeliosRunner

1/ Mid day - Operational situation update/ #russian_invasion in #Ukraine on February 04, 2023
#Russian is slowly moving forward in a dozen of different areas & put maximum pressure but yet contained & minored success.
South #Bakhmut area one of them.
#AFU resist.
#UkraineMap

2/ To be honest i thought #Ukraine would have tried (much more) to push back Ru orcs in S-SO of #Bakhmut, because as explained earlier i think by the end of the month, the East side of Bakhmut will certainly be under Ru control, so #AFU could manage to control all the west side.

3/ but Russians have so many men there (and much much more to come quite soon) that if they dont take the control back up to Mayorsk, & if Ru take heights close to Tchasiv Yar, as said it would be even difficult to hold the West part of Bakhmut.

4/ Now about the situation in #Rozdolivka it's the same there.. no more area of protection and Ru are going at it full force from all directions (which is the right tactic -locally & strategic globally) because if they take it. they have access to higher ground 1 click north

5/ and also to few roads to the east to go directly to the back on #Vesele which implies, that the entire front here would have to change.. and then Ru could progress to the #Siversk axis next.

So basically, like in Soledar (& we know exactly what happened there) they will focus

6/ there and without proper UKr dynamic counter attacks deep inside Ru own lines.. they will encroach there, and move forward.
it's sad, because really the lost of Soledar was directly affecting the entire area.
Hopefully #AFU still have some good defensive positions in the area

7/ Now regarding the situation in the #Kreminna area.
Ru r trying to gain back #Dibrova again, becacuse then they can present the "entire" area under control, but they r not able to really stay in the area, also UKr are Still in direct contact to #Kreminna outskirts!
#UkraineMap

8/ True that Ru have gained some grounds and still attacking like in the direction of #Nevske, but not "close" enough to close the deal.
Also #AFU still on the West part of #Chervonopopivka
cross fingers there too.. or again, it won't be good for entre line of defense there..

9/ Over the past day, the enemy conducted 20x air and 3x missile strikes, including, on civilian infrastructure of #Kharkiv and #Mykolaiv oblasts. The attacks caused casualties among civilian population. Moreover, russian forces conducted more than 90x MLRS attacks.

10/ The threat of russian air and missile strikes remains high across Ukraine. (morning map)
Ru Also continues offensive operations #Avdiivka, & #Novopavlivka axes, = suffering heavy losses.

11/ Also apparently i've missed this info: so Ru have been reported to attack in the area of #Grekivka #Hrekivka #Греківка Louhansk 92911
which when confirmed is bad actually because indicating no more river frontier "protection" & #Mariinka under pressure too.
(sorry for map)

12/ #Kupyansk axis: the vicinities of #Novomlynsk, #Dvorichna, #Zapadne, Holubivka, Kupyansk, and Kislivka (Kharkiv oblast); #Novoselivske and #Stelmakhivka (Luhansk oblast) suffered tank, mortar and artillery attacks....

13/ #Vuhledar is still under #Ukraine control contrary to what Russian said last week end...
and this is the rest of the morning report

14/ nothing "special" to report about #RussianLosses (alleged) except they are still mainly using Ru men as direct weapons/vehicles/mule/slave ...
(also tomorrow excel sheet will show the huge diff of weeks losses accumulations impacting global time of reaching Ru material limits

15/ good news :
#Ukraine officials with direct discussion to their Ru counterpart, managed to return 116 of our soldiers. In the course of exchange of prisoners of war. #POW
Two officers and 114 private and sergeants.

16/ remember this (from @macergifford ) :
well.. i'm happy to report he was heard 👍👍 (as all UKR i also heard) #CounterBatteryRadar
(just re-watching the list now )& realizing the 20 to 30 "hot spot" areas on the front line & will be "cover" soon...

https://twitter.com/HeliosRunner/status/1616417428711563269

17/ je vais en profiter pour coller ça là.. pr les FRA
#UkrainianLosses

https://twitter.com/HeliosRunner/status/1621575656889876480

18/ et ici celle là pour la situation sur #Bakhmut
(retrait pour aller ou...? juste plus loin pour tout recommencer ... alors qu'on peut tenir encore 2 mois le coin.

https://twitter.com/HeliosRunner/status/1621576845710721024

19/ #Bakhmut opinion (to complete from my previous french thread on the subject)
in #Kyiv by the rock solid @johnsweeneyroar

https://twitter.com/johnsweeneyroar/status/1621825805130014720

20/ Last update from Gen staff
-also from my own contacts, indications that within 72h renewed major offensives - like last week - (remember the famous night i urgently tweeted about ongoing major attack..) so this kind of thing is expected.

21/ the famous project "offensive guard" is on! in all region & has begun everywhere - here for Donetsk/Luhansk or south command

22/ very interesting... to notice! Ukr is also stepping up in digital/intel integrated managemen system :
Delta situational awareness system, which provides real-time coordination of troops, to the NATO Consultation, Command and Control Organisation (NC3O)
pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2023/…

23/ and remember that
other systems like IFATDS automated artillery fire control system kits for Ukraine's HIMARS will be implemented soon. and lots of new com systems (L16) & future radar integration is on it's way

https://twitter.com/HeliosRunner/status/1609904029060198402

24/ so it's gonna be "funny" that by the end of 2024 Ukraine will still use old Kalach, 152mm caliber & rpg7 and on the other hand top notch new Integrated Intel system & #C4ISR (some already says C6 ;-)

would interesting to know how they integrate sat infos from NATO datas etc