How can I explain this #SPY chart with 280 characters. I will try in a thread. $SPY $SPX #VIX Image
The regular flat grid chart is misleading to retail. The big money uses diamonds. It works on any minute chart and on a daily as well. that is how they communicate/coordinate beating retail. I discovered this 3 -4 month ago and it never fails.
The fight is now on the downward channel the bulls wanted to stop the cycle of down trends pushing it artificially higher to prevent $300. A downtrend channel is inevitable but what channel is the important question. because the next bottom moves higher.
If you look at the big picture the bulls want to determine the next bottom and take it from there. As soon as a hard landing became almost impossible because of monitory policy the bulls took control but they know its too early to call for a bull market. Image
But that spiral cycle of downtrend had to be broken. The mini recession that we will have in 2023 will not break the market or send #vix to $80. It looks like #SPY will have one huge dip before the move up entering 2024 holding other independent variables constant.
Fed has to keep interest rate down & add leverage to artificially make you feel richer than before. This has become possible by adding more debt not economic activity or productivity. So, it is not dependent on anything but a decision. This favors status quo kicking down the can.
There will be, at some point in the future, a collapse of wealth, one of the magnitude of FTX but not in the next decade or so or until US dollar is still the blood of world economic activity known as Washington Consensus which replaced the Gold standard system.
The US monitory domination is despised around the world but no better system is there to replace it with. DeFi advancements are the biggest challenge to the US #DXY domination and the US imperialistic monetary domination wont go down without a fight or major systemic changes.
I hope this will give you a better #MACRO outlook for the year 2023 and 2024. Love ya all.
So the bottom line: Stay bullish until that breakdown line is broken. then follow that channel down. I will announce the approximate bottom based on multiple monetary measures holding everything else constant.

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More from @userofintellect

Nov 13, 2022
Life time opportunity: Housing market bubble is the best opportunity to double or triple your wealth. Here is why and how: A thread 🧵
The US housing market has been going through cycles of ups and downs every 15-18 years much of the past 100 years while on a slow uptrend. The 60-year trend line shows the average and median price of houses sold in the US.
The center dotted line separating blue and red on the uptrend line has a historical gravitational force which will meet the average price of homes at some point in the future. The current price (average & median) is off the charts as you can see! But there is more...
Read 12 tweets
Nov 11, 2022
Remember you are only one standard deviation away from achieving your goal!!! Statisticians joke! But I am trying to crack the code, normalize it and make that joke a reality. $SPY is the greatest money making machine in the history. #SPY #SPX #SPX500 Image
Only had time for one trade so far. Sold at 36% profit short of my 40% goal because I had to go. I will see if I can do another now. I will post here. Image
waiting for that spot for entry Image
Read 4 tweets
Nov 11, 2022
My goal is to create a simple strategy/ algo/ code/ for inexperienced retail investors so they will not be left behind and finally gain the upper hand. A small but safe window of opportunity to make small but consistent profit. Here is how: (1/4)
A lot of traders entangle themselves in convoluted technical analysis & babysitting stocks for hours & days and they may pay a lot of money for advise services. The accessibility barriers; The block in front of you; the perceived k knowledge gap. You blame yourself… (2/4)
Some strategies may work for a while but it will need to be replaced. But #macro analysis along with basic technicals that are only based on buy/sell ratio, volume and price action will always remain relevant. Parsimony is a virtue. (3/4)
Read 4 tweets
May 10, 2022
Why #AMC #GME MOASS is more likely now:
1- the retail strong base.
2- major shorts use leverage.
3- bear market seduces shorts.
4- retail have not sold per OBV, #LogTheFloat & AA. Wouldn’t matter even if they did b/c:
5- retail owns at least 4 times the float; Documented for DOJ
6- Fed may limit the shorts via SEC to prevent an arbitrary recession.
7- institutions needing to make money & $GME $AMC are the best vehicles b/c of FOMO support & historical precedent.
8- negative beta = fast recovery
9- small & mid caps move higher faster in a recovery phase
10- major indices are down more than 20% which means by historical standards we are in margin call zone.
11- everything (stock, crypto, spy, my wife sex appetite) have been tied together which means breakaways occur soon.
12- imbalances cause stress for high risk equities.
Read 5 tweets
Oct 1, 2021
A few assumptions in my "new solution" DD for #AMC & #GME Please comment if these assumptions are wrong or need adjustment:
1- Most brokerages don't fulfill orders immediately. They keep the money / may benefit from a decline in two days or longer aka T2+. No enforcement
2- Naked shorting is legal. Synthetic shares can be created to maintain an "orderly" market. The system has no enforcement mechanism and squeeze plays that last a few days encourage such practice. MMs & shorts benefit. Type 1 synthetic shares.
3- Big money buys huge puts, MMs create synthetic shares & sell them while they dont have any shares & / no shares available (Type 2 synthetic shrs) MMs purchase it cheaper later MM benefit more from deflation. Big money shorts as much as they want. burden on MMs => option fukry
Read 8 tweets
Sep 17, 2021
(1/5) A few important notes on #AMC
1- The bull trend is being tested but not broken. A few more days on this trend and we cross a major resistance
2- Even if price drops bellow it nothing changes. The main strategy of buy and hold still applies. It only delays MOASS a little
(2/5)
3- The late day price action was an option game to collect premiums & had nothing to do with shorts & short interest but MMs
4- Volume is dry and slight buying pressure moves the price up because ape dont sell
5- Day traders have been kept out and that is a very good thing
(3/5)
6- AMC shares are with diamond hands now. literary no one wants to sell after waiting for months.
7- Take the shares of diamond hands out of the float & the "official" short interest % of float will be above 200%. Unofficial % is much higher
Read 7 tweets

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