1/ Mid day - Operational situation update/ #russian_invasion in #Ukraine on February 08, 2023
#Russian spent the last day & night moving forward in dozen of different areas to close the pocket, but yet contained, but to be frank the dynamic is not good for UKR now.
#UkraineMap
2/ To make it obvious for some of you i have highlighted the general movement Ru is trying to achieve there and in green the last true road that be taken for resupply and med evacs. because the 2 other ones are not really used right now.. (still some)
3/ so it's quite difficult to assess the exact limits of the attacks, the magnitude of it, & exactly what happened, but as i called it yesterday some groups were trying to "hide" within major attacks & reach some villages in the "back" of UKR defense.
not sure if all the targets
4/ have been "dealt with" actually. it seems that Ukr are not always able to contain massive loads of zombies attacks & more precise kind of Recce units from better units, that are going through the first line of defense.
5/ hopefully UKR has diff layers of defenses. Dense mesh in the second line. and lots of people to control all the troops and mouvements going out there.
let me tell you that passwords & appropriates techniques for identification are much needed now as Russ r using UKR uniforms
6/ So i can't tell for sure exactly what was the extent of the attack on #TchassivYar and #Ivaniske, & it was pushed back.. & i'm not sure if now Ru are in control of the little hill & the roads there (so it would be very bad) or if they were press back to their previous "limit".
7/ so on the other side (N - NE) of #Bakhmut as said by my contact yesterday night, they tried to directly cut all the lines and reach #OrikhovoVasylivka, #DubovoVasylivka indicating they are well establish now on the hill and pushing troops as much they have in reserve.
9/ as for the other front, just go back to my previous assessments & thread as the Feba line basically the same.
same for my better topo maps.
i'll try later on if i have time to make proper maps with geoloc etc.
it takes too much time now.
just some good news : RU losses
10/ it's also time now for me to make a gen thread abt UKR looking to get out of #Bakhmut certainly sooner than later.
let's be honest here.
i'll make it later today, i got to go now...
but here to show u that i was keeping it for some days now.. just wasn't sure of the agenda

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More from @HeliosRunner

Feb 10
Hello There!
everything's (almost) ok this morning...
Take a walk.. have a good day you all!
#SlavaUkraïni

1/n
2/ ok... short debrief to what happened yesterday evening. 'plus de peurs que de mal"
What happened is as i said in S-West #Bakhmut to #TchassivYar it was only scouting & probing and they were destroyed easily.
What happened close to #KrasnaHora area is that stupid #Wagner Image
3/ went "alone" to try to do something major, just because certainly #Prigozhin gave direct orders... but they were not supported from a joint forces ops with regular Ru army.. so they effing "failed". in Some places they even withdraw..
reminder :
Read 12 tweets
Feb 9
1/ Quick & dirty situation update/ #russian_invasion in #Ukraine on February 09, 2023
#Russian are just going like crazy right now.. because they r moving forward to try to "close the deal" in #KrasnaHora #КраснаГора N-East #Bakhmut
about 1 km to close the pocket.
#UkraineMap Image
2/ can't tell you why #Ukrainian are still there or if they are moving away from there and Russians are moving in... i have some reports but they are "different" let's put it like this, depending on the guy out there reporting. now they are still there... but maybe not for long.
3/ Also i have (i'll try to explain if i have time tomorrow, but my days are crazy right now) some diff reports from guys in the area who are really pissed off with their chain of commands (when commander r "old school" trained ala Ru & don't want to act according to more modern
Read 6 tweets
Feb 8
1/ ds l'oreillette @LCI : il n'y a plus de AV-8B Harrier :
= pas tout à fait :
"The Marine Corps currently retains 126 AV-8B and TAV-8B aircraft, with only 80 Harrier aircraft in active service as of 2018. Each fighter squadron operates 16 AV-8B Harrier jets. The Marine Corps
2/ currently plans to have all squadrons transitioned to or start to transition to the F-35 platform by 2026.
also
navyrecognition.com/index.php/focu…
3/ US could have fast tracked the production of F-35 B, but first it takes time, and also they have problems to deal with & need to train their pilot first (even if with current simulator it goes quite fast)

but for Ukraine to get them would take too long & zero maintainers
Read 6 tweets
Feb 6
1/ Russians are preparing a huge offensive in order to reach the limits of #Luhansk region as they were asked few weeks ago. Several reports and contact seems now to confirms major input of fresh troops all along the #Svatove #Kreminna axis (plus back up in #Starobilsk area.
2/ it's not easy of course to have precise numbers but we can talk from 10k to 15k on top of actual RU troops. Also thousands more as reserve and some support.
Indications from Regional mil command about large amount of armored vehicles also being send to "waiting zone".
3/ Exactly like Ru probed the Zaporijia area week ago, the current attack and RU SOF actions to sneak into the UKR lines were certainly only to "update" actual Ukr def positions / way to react / available materials / com / reaction times etc etc.
so very soon now, major attack.
Read 5 tweets
Feb 6
Little "side track" this morning as there is a major catastrophe in #Turkey #TurkeyEarthquake
SÉISME EN #Turquie - Scène de désolations à #Kahramanmaraş en #Turquie où mult immeubles se sont effondrés, tuant un nb record de personnes. #seisme
2/ Apparently #Gaziantep in #Turkey is also partly destroyed

A destructive Magnitude up to 7.8 earthquake just struck southern Turkey near Gaziantep that has caused extensive destructions
3/ le fameux chateau (reconstruit) de #Gazantiep aurait vraiment subit des dommages considérables
j'aimerais bien insérer une petite remarque sur l'orgueil & le Karma etc.. mais bon, je vais me retenir qq jours surtout si ce drame à fait pas mal de victimes...
#TurkeyEarthquake ImageImage
Read 17 tweets
Feb 5
1/ i'm not going to do the week end recap today - maybe update tomorrow as the situation remains almost the same (out of few couple meters here & there)
just want to let you know that for the last 24h there are 2 majors areas where RU & Ukr are confronting really hard (purple)
2/ one is the part above (for the hill - highground) above #Blahodatne (reminder read 8/9/ here below) :
3/ and also the South West of #Bakhmut, were Ukrainians are really doing a number there as they have decided not to let the Ru stay there as they were so closed to totally control the area. really hard battles there..
and Ru absolutely need the area to go on with their plan...
Read 9 tweets

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