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Feb 21 โ€ข 13 tweets โ€ข 10 min read
#Putin points to:
- historic #Russia territories
- Ukraine (compared to 3rd Reich)
- ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ depicted as "they"
- ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ is anti-Russia, coup dโ€™รฉtat
- ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ operation is preemptive
- ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ donโ€™t fight ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ people
- war responsibility is ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ/๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ
- existential issue for ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Image
#Putin address (cont.):
- ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ to protect ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ children from the rotten west
- ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ is multinational and all support war
- individual (!) professions were thanked
- citizens & human duty to fight
- Azov Sea is only ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ
- ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ is strong in producing peace
- aware of the numbers of WIA
#Putin address (cont.):
- veterans must be protected
- 2021-2025 MoD development plan mentioned: all units must reach the modernization levels as nuclear SRT
- all best technologies must go to the #RussianArmy
- all talents for victory
- war, information, economy is ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ weapon Image
#Putin address (cont.):
-๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ #sanctions canโ€™t break ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ
- ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ business is stronger
- ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ economy will not repeat the blunders of the past (no war economy / arms race to be introduced)
- cooperation with South East Asia is ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ priority
- ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ will build roads, gas infrastructure
#Putin address now turned heavily economy oriented (cont.):
- new ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ crediting policy
- ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ banking system is stable
- private business effective in supporting ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ
- ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ private business should withdraw from off-shore locations
- no more yachts, but investments in ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ
#Putin address (cont.):
- the West inspired international terrorism to attack USSR and now ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ
- ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ living abroad are treated as 2 category persons
- only in ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ you people will be our priority
- you must reshape your life. Live only in ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ
- ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ is the better civilization
#Putin address (cont.):
- ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ people: we must be united to grow stronger
- ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ culture will be supported. It is priority
- scientific R&D must be freed
- ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ must train/educate more (a million) technicians/workers
- entire education system must be remodeled
#Putin address (cont.):
- ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ demographics needs improvement
- government must support ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ people
- โ—๏ธRussia suspends New START (SNV-III) treaty. It is ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ/๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ nuclear arms reduction treaty (signed on 8 April 2010 in Prague)

#PutinWarCriminal address focused:
- ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ nation morale, economy, education (indoctrination) oriented.
- government & regions tasked. Image
Some interesting screenshots.
From #PutinWarCriminal address.
cc @_JanRR ImageImageImageImage
#Putinโ€™s address on one slide

cc @_JanRR Image

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More from @JanR210

Feb 22
1/4 ๐Ÿงต
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ military intelligence head K.Budanov (@DI_Ukraine) interview for @Forbes. Summary:
- ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ objective is to capture entire Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts by 31 March
- mobilized ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ units without heavy arms, just "Urals" and "Kamazs". No more BMPs
- Medvedev's statement to produce 800 tanks not possible
- a trial batch of 20,000 artillery shells was imported from Iran
- no confirmed ammunition supplies from North Korea
- keeping Bakhmut allows ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ to draw the Russians to that area and inflict catastrophic ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ casualties
- reserves of artillery shells in Russia have decreased to 30%
- ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ missile production is +/- 40 cruise missiles per month
- additional production of about 20 Kalibr missiles per month
Read 4 tweets
Feb 22
Remember #Prigozhin annoyance? On inadequate ammo deliveries?
Here some angry assessments from ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ: (based on data from ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ MoD for 18-20 Feb)
- delivered: 1660 projectiles for MLRS, 10171 for guns/mortars, 980 for tanks.
- (๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ): this is only for 2-5 days, 980 is only for 26 tanks, 1660 is only for 42 BM-21. One mortar needs 100 bombs per day
- ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ MoD declared to meet all Feb 2023 ammo requirements from #WagnerGroup by the end of the month! (so at least some were not met)
- #WagnerGroup itself estimate it regularly is not delivered 80% of requested ammo and these are delayed for 20 days.

The conflict between ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ MoD (#Shoygu / #Gerasimov) and #Prigozhin continues

cc @HN_Schlottman @Maciej_Korowaj @STRATPOINTS_EU @NATOJFCBS
Read 7 tweets
Feb 9
๐Ÿงต 1/
#Roskomnadzor plans/activity:
- AI (sophisticated software) to spy on runet users, as ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ humans are too slow & too blind
- software: โ€œVeprโ€ by the Moscow Institute of Physics and Technology MIPT should find/locate/identify negative comments against ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ leadership Image
- pinpoint fake info, deepfake, metadata
- Vepr requirements by FSB & Federal Service for Technical & Export Control
- several new Vepr bot farms to be launched by the end of 2024
- but Vepr only a part of larger systems architecture
- also an Oculus project to recognize pics
- Oculus to scan 200k jpg/png-like files/memes per day
- its planned cost is 445 million rubles in 2022โ€“2024
- and Oculus to recognize video files by 2024
- currently ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ uses this software: AS MSMK (ะะก ะœะกะœะš ะฐะฒั‚ะพะผะฐั‚ะธั‡ะตัะบะฐั ัะธัั‚ะตะผะฐ ะผะพะฝะธั‚ะพั€ะธะฝะณะฐ ัั€ะตะดัั‚ะฒ ะผะฐััะพะฒั‹ั… ะบะพะผะผัƒะฝะธะบะฐั†ะธะน)
Read 7 tweets
Jan 23
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Federal Agency for State Reserves (ะ ะพัั€ะตะทะตั€ะฒ)
Summary of corruption, pilfering & appropriations. ๐Ÿงต

- currently no director, just acting Igor Guchas (ะ˜ะณะพั€ ะ“ัƒั‡ะฐั)
- majority of data is classified (internal structure, what products, how many depots, their locations, etc.)
two key words that facilitate corruption: โ€œะทะฐะบะปะฐะดะบะฐโ€ (purchase) and โ€œะฒั‹ะฟัƒัะบโ€ (sale). Participation in all these events is authorized by #FSB. As you may expect, authorization is not for free. And the slices of the cake are not even.
It is a very narrow entourage. All #Putinโ€™s friends and their families. And they decide all the prices. Obviously the profits are located outside Russia. But one false step and one may end in prison. Especially with fuel contracts. Or cheating top management.
Read 8 tweets
Jan 23
#Russian Uralvagonzavod (tank production) urgently needs metal machinery workers. Local Prison Directorate is to select and send 250 workers there.
The situation is dire in all military industry factories. Shortage of electronics, electricity & automation is gravely critical.
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ assess the vacancies to 40k-50k. All retired personnel was requested to return to jobs. Still few want to take the job due to low salaries. Military industry pays machinery operators 40k rubles (โ‚ฌ550) a month while non-military - even 80k.
Russians anonymously say:
โ€œI can take it, but I need a salary like a private in [special military operation], three meals a day & free lodging.โ€
โ€œI left the job in military industry with 27k rubles. Average worker age was 58 and growing.โ€ See the assembly of the Mi-28 and guess their age.
Read 6 tweets
Jan 7
#Russian 2023 post-victory assessment (abbreviated)
A. political/economic:
- ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ fights with NATO & in this case the victory is not achievable
- ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ must force NATO to stop supporting ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ & it must be the new ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ strategy
- that could lower the quality of life in EU/NATO and
initiate the most severe crisis in capitalism zone
- ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ will survive it, the West not
B. military:
- 20th century concepts of occupation will not work
- when ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ occupies ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ, guerrilla movement will not stop,
- some units relocate to Poland, where it canโ€™t be attacked
- ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ rear will never be secured, guerrillas will operate inside ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ/๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ urban areas
- no secure air space for ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ aircraft
- every single ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ unit/garrison will have to be defended
- no continuous supplies from ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ
Read 6 tweets

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