ISW Profile picture
Feb 24 8 tweets 7 min read
Eastern #Ukraine: #Donetsk Oblast

Russian forces continued ground attacks around #Bakhmut and made tactical gains in the area on 23 FEB. Russian forces also continued ground attacks in the #Avdiivka-Donetsk City area in western Donetsk Oblast. 🧵(1/8) isw.pub/UkrWar022323
2/ #Bakhmut area:

Geolocated footage confirms that Russian forces have made incremental advances in the eastern, southern, and southwestern sectors of Bakhmut.
3/ Footage posted by Wagner Group financier Yevgeny #Prigozhin on February 23 and later geolocated shows him visiting #Wagner troops in eastern #Bakhmut within 500m of the current frontline, although Prigozhin claimed he was within 400m of the frontline.
4/ #Avdiivka area:

Russian forces continued ground attacks in the Avdiivka area north of Donetsk City on February 23. Geolocated footage shows that Russian forces have made marginal advances north of Avdiivka in the Novobakhmutivka area.
5/ #Donetsk City:

Russian forces continued ground attacks along the western outskirts of Donetsk City on February 23.

Geolocated footage shows that Russian forces have also advanced to #Pobieda, indicating that Russian troops have likely made additional gains south of #Marinka.
6/ Russian milbloggers claimed that Russian troops continue attacks along the northwestern outskirts of #Donetsk City and that DNR fighters are making territorial gains within #Marinka itself.
7/ Western #Donetsk Oblast:

Russian forces continued ground attacks southwest of Donetsk City in the #Vuhledar area on February 23 with Ukrainian sources noting that Russian forces have recently increased their activity in the sector.
8/ @DefenceHQ warned that Russian forces in this area may be preparing for yet another offensive on #Vuhledar.

Russian milbloggers claimed that Russian forces are fighting southeast of Vuhledar between Pavlivka and Mykilske. isw.pub/UkrWar022323

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More from @TheStudyofWar

Feb 26
Eastern #Ukraine: #Donetsk Oblast

Russian forces made marginal territorial gains around #Bakhmut and #Avdiivka and continued to conduct ground attacks across the Donetsk Oblast front line. 🧵(1/20)

isw.pub/UkrWar022523
2/ #Bakhmut:

The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Russian forces conducted unsuccessful offensive operations near Orikhovo-Vasylivka (11km northwest of Bakhmut), Berkhivka (4km north of Bakhmut), Ivanivske (6km west of Bakhmut), and Pivnichne (21km southwest of Bakhmut). Image
3/ Yevgeny #Prigozhin claimed that his #Wagner Group fighters captured #Yahidne (2km north of Bakhmut) and posted a picture of Wagner fighters posing near the settlement’s welcome sign that was later geolocated, indicating that Wagner fighters likely captured the settlement. Image
Read 19 tweets
Feb 26
Eastern #Ukraine: #Luhansk Oblast

Russian forces continued ground attacks northwest of #Svatove and near #Kreminna on February 25. Geolocated footage posted yesterday shows Ukrainian forces shelling Russian infantry in Dzherelne (15km west of Svatove). isw.pub/UkrWar022523 Image
2/ #Svatove area:

The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Russian forces conducted an unsuccessful offensive action near Masyutivka (51km NW of Svatove). isw.pub/UkrWar022523 Image
3/ #Luhansk Oblast Administration Head Serhiy Haidai stated that Ukrainian forces repelled Russian forces attempting to advance with heavy equipment in the #Svatove area.
Read 7 tweets
Feb 26
UK, French, & German officials are reportedly preparing a NATO-Ukraine pact that falls far short of the protections Ukraine would receive from NATO membership & could reflect a desire to press Ukraine to accept a negotiated settlement on unfavorable terms. isw.pub/UkrWar022523 ImageImageImageImage
2/ @WSJ reported that the exact provisions of the pact are undecided, but the officials indicated that it will provide advanced military equipment, arms, & ammo to #Ukraine, but not Article V protection or a commitment to station NATO forces in Ukraine... wsj.com/articles/natos…
3/ ...and falling short of #Ukraine’s aspirations for full #NATO membership. The officials stated that the pact aims to provision Ukraine so that Ukrainian forces can conduct a counteroffensive that brings #Russia to the negotiating table and deter any future Russian aggression.
Read 6 tweets
Feb 25
A Russian source capitalized on #China's release of a 12-point peace plan to inaccurately portray China as supporting #Russia's war on #Ukraine on February 24. isw.pub/UkrWar02242023
2/ #China on 24 FEB released a “Position on the Political Settlement of the #Ukraine Crisis" that called for Ukraine and #Russia to respect each other's sovereignty, cease hostilities, resume peace talks, reduce strategic risks, and cease unilateral sanctions.
3/ Advisor to the #Luhansk People's Republic (LNR) head Rodion Miroshnik falsely asserted that #China's peace plan insinuated that #Ukraine and the West are the aggressors, supporting #Russia's framing of the war.
Read 5 tweets
Feb 25
Eastern #Ukraine: #Luhansk Obl.

Russian forces continued to conduct ground attacks NW of #Svatove and near #Kreminna on 24 FEB.
Russian sources confirmed that Russian forces have split certain Airborne force formations across at least two axes of advance. isw.pub/UkrWar02242023 Image
2/ A #Kremlin-affiliated milblogger claimed on February 23 that unspecified elements of the Russian 76th Airborne Division are operating in unspecified positions on the #Svatove-Kreminna line and that VDV units operate along the entire Svatove-#Kreminna front.
3/ The Russian MoD claimed that unspecified elements of the 76th and 106th Airborne Divisions are operating in the #Bakhmut area in #Donetsk Oblast, confirming ISW's assessment that the 76th and likely the 106th are not deployed as full division-level formations in either area.
Read 4 tweets
Feb 24
A prominent Russian milblogger attempted to preempt Western discussions of releasing classified information regarding #China’s considerations to provide lethal aid to #Russia. 🧵 (1/6) isw.pub/UkrWar022323
2/ The milblogger responded to Chinese Foreign Minister Yi Wang’s denial that #China intends to supply weapons to #Russia & stated that China provides Russia the opportunity to purchase various ammo, industrial drones, field medicine, & protective gear on a commercial basis.
3/ The Russian milblogger claimed that Chinese-made equipment is abundantly available in #Russia and is present throughout the front in #Ukraine.
Read 6 tweets

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