Got another juicy thread today tracking down Binance wash trading. Very juicy.
So, i was looking at the #USDT again that keeps flowing into #Binance via #Kraken. I did the crazy thing again, and found it in Binance Hot.
But this time i went even further.
See that red line? I figured, maybe the bot network is stupid enough to transfer all the funds in at once, because there's pages of IN at 6H22M - but the amounts are *ASCENDING* in order! Sorted almost!
So i clicked on *every wallet* in that screenshot. Here's the analysis:
Look closely now.
Are you starting to see a pattern yet?
That last screenshot kind of gives it away with one more to go; so.
It turns out, there's one wallet present on ALL those screenshots: -CDyty.
To the point where it got me so curious - i checked out both the Kraken whale and the -67hk whale.
And guess what?
Now, normally, you'd pay no attention to such a small transaction. It's tiny compared to the direct inflows. Infact that's why i've missed it multiple times while it was staring me in the face before.
This is it. The source wallet for the Binance bot network that's been pumping money around making it appear like there's actual trading. The washtrading mastermind.
I know this for a few reasons. 1; there's only 44 normal transactions in this wallet. It's pure TRX.
2; the first wallet analysis i posted happened to be a fresh one. There's very few transfers, and especially transactions leave no doubt as to who made it:
3; the same wallet funded the TRX transfer for the -J1Fk wallet. Unfortunately i can't check -67HK because it only shows 10k out of 31k transactions; but i'm willing to bet it shows a similar pattern. Analytics probably picked it up because of a TRX refill along the road.
And i'd like to remind everybody why this matters:
-67HK and -J1Fk have been THE MAIN SOURCE OF FUNDING FOR THE MAIN HOT WALLET FOR BINANCE ON TRON! A COOL $4.6 BILLION!
And for completionist sake, that -ZSHj wallet, the one receiving $3 BILLION of $1.0002 prints?
Oh yeah, you guessed it:
So there ya go. One wallet connecting ALL major Binance inflow wallets on TRON - the same that's showing clear and obvious botting behavior.
I doubt it's free TRX gas. More likely it's ALL a scam.
Been a while since i looked at the $FNMA Fannie Mae monthly summary.
And yknow what, history never repeats, but it often does rhyme...
Dug out an old summary from December 2008, and the liquidation rate's looking like it's having the same "blow off bottom" as it had in 2008.
Here's how that went in 2009 (from the January 2010 summary). Mind you liquidations spiked higher during covid than during the 2011 peak:
But, it is different this time, as delinquencies started the last mess while a positive rate shock occurred as rates dropped, keeping even the 50bps numbers to decimal points throughout 2009.
This time delinquencies lag due to wage increase on fixed rate; but the rate shock...
More BRRR. But that's not the question of today, which remains these darn chainswaps Bitfinex keeps doing.
This isn't small potatoes yknow. $388 million in 5 days!
I really wonder what the function of Bitfinex 2 on Ethereum is as well. Since these chainswaps keep originating from there, and the INs before the chainswap are a total mystery to me.
Looking up these transactions in the Bitfinex hotwallet, we can see the money flows in from other wallets *right before* it flows into Bitfinex 2 - but not always the exact amount that came into the hot wallet.
Honestly this looks like a bot network (cut and pasted together):
So, in a nutshell, Coinmarketcap and Coingecko circulating supply have become completely unreliable. I've squared the numbers before as has @Cryptadamist, so it's notable that there's a change.
Which also means the market cap readout on EVERY WEBSITE is now unreliable.
Twice within a short time period now i've tracked USDT moving out of the treasury wallets into Binance (Bitfinex once) on TRON yet the market cap on CMC did not update at its regular time or close to it. With the DXY going sideways even there should be no reason holding it back.
Caught this with #Tether and #Binance doing their chain swap.
For some reason, that 2.8B didn't end up in Tether's treasury wallet directly. Somehow it ended up in multiple Binance hot wallets (as the top 11-50 holders grew alot compared to top 1-10).
And wouldn't you know it..
So what you're looking at is the moment of transfer out of Binance Cold 2, as well as 2 other Binance Hot wallets at that time which aren't the main one. Page 500 was already below 2 hours when i thought of tracking this transaction.
And while i can't correlate ins....
...i can show that during the time the money moved out of the cold wallet, both wallets were temporarily offline, and resumed trading not too long after.
Could be convenient maintenance, sure. But i don't see why the money has to make a detour through hot wallets for a chainswap
Couple of highlights. I think the DoJ's case will be more extensive, this is gonna take ages to dig everything up, buuuuut there's a few gems in there none the less:
By the way; i wonder if people can figure out why Binance stopped withdrawals on USDC, but not USDT.
And for anybody saying "it's for arbitrage" - please compare the last few hours on Kraken, Coinbase, Binance and Bitfinex and tell me where arbitrage happened.
For the thick fucks out there:
Pushing people out of the frying pan and into the fire isn't a problem. Having USD leave the ecosystem is. So BUSD is fine. USDT is fine. USDC is not fine; not since they're in open revolt against Binance.