1/ Operational situation update/ #russian_invasion in #Ukraine on Feb 23, 2023
Situation is still evolving in North & East #Bakhmut
In the city the Ukr seems to draw back from previous contact lines. preparing retreat.
Really hard fights all day long... everywhere #UkraineMap
2/ Ru are making notable progress along the NE-SW rail going between #Yahidne & #Khromove. RU forces are increasing their tactical harassements with continuous small groups of men ramping up like vermines... some pic of #Ukrainian LOCS taken by RU drones. direct mortar hit.
3/ As explained several times, if Ru take full control of this axis (even if #Bogdanivka is not fully taken) but up to #Khromove because of the particular terrain situation, #Ukrainian won't ever be able to take it back (acting like that of course.. )
so i think it's the reason
4/ why Ukr troops are withdrawing from #Bakhmut East to the river (soon) and they'll get ready to totally get out.
Also this is why President #Zelensky went on TV to talk abt the situatation being so hard
simply for ppl to agree : "yeah time to get out.."
6/ and that's about it... in other places the situation remains quite similar
nothing worth a full report now.
considering 40% to 50% of Russian effort is now on this specific area....
take care you all! See you around!
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1/ Operational situation update/ #russian_invasion in #Ukraine on March 1, 2023
Situation is still evolving in North & East #Bakhmut
but it's really difficult to assess the exact limits Ru have reached & several reports call for a "relative" momentary "stall". #UkraineMap
2/ so i'll resume try to resume tomorrow with more infos. only 3 geoloc today and does not change any of the FEBA as we previously assessed it. #UAarmy is also supposed (and proven by certain units) to be coming in for last support.
but we don't know for now, if it's only
3/ to help to stabilize the situation in order to prepare a "clean withdrawal" (as it is potentially one of the most difficult act to perform to cross your own lines of fire, when being in this situation).
or if it's for serious reinforcements because for example, mil intel have
1/ it is quite interesting to note how diff countries would commemorate their mil "exploit" or losses and "value" them in their history.
Ru in 2000 lost a really large amount of paratroopers and other units, in famous last battle against #Chechen during a battle "776.0 heights"
2/ today they talk about it of course for very obvious reasons, to show that : 1- it is necessary for Ru troops to understand that entire units being wiped out is absolutely normal to achieve a small success...
3/ Also that it does not matter what is the name or value of the unit, you are just one little cog in the wheel and you are here to follow order and go only forward & if you are "brave" you don't listen to high command telling you its not possible (#Prigozhin is still pushing his
1/ Operational situation update/ #russian_invasion in #Ukraine on Feb 27, 2023
Situation is still tense in north and East #Bakhmut but under control & steady almost everywhere.
Also there is some good news to the south of #ChassivYar #UkraineMap
2/ There is no "major counter attack" as i explained yesterday. this is pure bollocks. there was some real effort to send some troops /small units to control and defeat Ru adavances, but nothing else.
funny to see guys these morning still wondering about it, because of yesterday
3/ craziness. the funnier thing is the one taking the "bait" as i said several time are not even able to go check on all Ru (because they don't want to do proper job & are not able to understand anyway) "proper" chanels and same for Ukr reports.
Anyway, situation is ok..
ok, being more serious now -
Quick Operational situation update/ #russian_invasion in #Ukraine on Feb 26, 2023
Situation is very difficult in north & S-E #Bakhmut
situation is still degrading in lots of diff areas surrounding the city even if some controls remains #UkraineMap
2/ contrary to what lot of people claims/feared there is no control on Ru side on the S-W part of #Bakhmut and #Ivanske is ok right now as the road..
no reason to freak out about that sector.
but on the opposite side of the city (S-E) i can't assess really if they are simply
3/ pulling back as expected or if it's just quite hard right now, but it's very uncertain what the real front line is right there. also no clear explanations from any chanels/commanders or units there.
so we'll see.
on the north part, it's definitively the same problem and
! Several reports now about several explosions confirmed on #Belarus
Ru mil AWACS A-50 was -allegedly- blown up at #Machulishchy military airfield in Belarus -
BYPOL.
others infos are out there but not confirmed yet.
right now as usual, people are just speculating on everything
2/ being possible from missiles to Drones to partisans/SOF etc. but we still don't know.
it seems to be limited in that specific area though.
good shot.
but i don't believe Ukr would "risk" any escalation for such a target (i mean directly sending missiles/drones). Maybe
3/ partisans/SOF sending drones, from inside the country itself...
we'll see when we'll have full report or direct visual confirmations.
1/ @e_magistry merci pour votre mot Elisabeth!
Xavier était personnel naviguant, pas un spécialiste du renseignement humain ni un psy ni gendarme.. d'une part et d'autre part si qq'un se faisait ainsi passer par ex pr son père il n'aurait surement pas la meme reaction "détaché" .
2/ .. les hommes sont souvent comme ça. voir les reactions de tous vis a vis de Putin qd cela ne les touchait pas...
d'autre part le vol d'identité est un délit. point. le seul pb c'est qu'il n'y as pas pour l'instant d'utilisation de cette identité donc on se fait "croire" que
3/ pas grave mais c'est faux. faire passer ses idées pour celle d'un autre est également tres grave. imaginons si Pasteur avait eu un compte qui avait été squatté non par un antivax mais par un ancien infirmier pervers qui aurait été condamné puis viré pour attouchements ou