The Economist asks and answers the big question 🙋🏻♂️ and by doing so, it squashes the already weak arguments of putin-sponsored pacifists and the western fiscal-conservatives-minted-in-the-kremlin economist.com/leaders/2023/0… via @TheEconomist 1/5
“As the war enters its second year, some ask whether Ukraine is worth all this effort. Isn’t the cost-of-living crisis more urgent? Or climate change? Imagine if the money spent on weapons could finance development instead.” 2/5
“It is right to regret the war, but unwise simply to wish away Mr Putin’s aggression. A Russian victory in Ukraine would frog-march the world down a bleak path where might is right and frontiers are drawn by violence.” 3/5
“It may hasten the next, even worse, confrontation in Europe. And it would deepen a widespread sense that Western power, and the universal values it sustains, are in steep decline.” -@TheEconomist
4/5
To which I add: anything less than a definitive defeat for russia means doubling, tripling or quadrupling of defense budgets everywhere. There will be no money left for the priorities Putinverstehers are so concerned with if the Free World fails to #ArmUkraineNow 5/5
Russia/putin did this to a 19-year-old Ukrainian. Russia/putin did this to Ruslana, who volunteered to defend her country. Russia/putin did this to countless thousands of innocent victims. Russia/putin will not stop, until they’re stopped. #NeverForget#UkraineWillWin
📷 Photo credit – Костянтин та Влада Ліберови via @bbcukrainian
🔴 Why did #russia launch a full-scale invasion last year?
🔵 Whether you're pro-russian, anti-russian, or Elon Musk [who just can't decide], Feb 24th doesn't make any sense
🔵 So, here is a short thread 🧵to explore the 3 most compelling explanations I've heard 1/5
2️⃣ regime preservation: a plan to conduct a quick & victorious war [repeating "Crimea success"] & thus accrue sufficient legitimacy for the putin-kleptocracy to run/pillage russia for decades to come
Which USSR did you like more?
🔴 1939 when it signed a pact w/ Hitler
🔴 1962 when it tried to place ☢️ weapons in 🇨🇺
🔴 1968 when it sent tanks to Prague
🔴 1979 when it invaded 🇦🇫
🔵 1991 when it fell apart & People of the former colonies/Soviet republics found freedom
1/3
Which #Russia do you like more?
🔴 1994/99 when it slaughtered 300K+ of its own citizens in two Chechen wars
🔴 2008 when it invaded 🇬🇪
🔴 2013 when it bribed Yanukovych $15B so he wouldn’t sign 🇪🇺-🇺🇦 association agreement
2/3
🔴 2014 when it annexed Crimea, invaded Donbas, shot down #MH17
🔴 2016 when it razed Aleppo 🇸🇾 to the ground
🔴 2022 what is launched a full-scale invasion
🔵 20.. when war criminals get punished, 🇷🇺 people atone for what they’ve done, former colonies of Muscovy find freedom 3/3
Brief history of escalation
🔴 2008: russia threatens Georgia, the world’s response is muted. Russia escalates
🔴 2014: russia invades Crimea, gets a slap on the wrist; invades Donbas, downs #MH17
🔴 2015: Nord Stream 2 is green-lighted. Russia exports corruption
1/4
🔴 2021: putin declares his intentions with a genocide manifesto, World buries head in the sand. Russia kills Minsk process, begins energy blackmail
🔴 2022: russia amasses troops at the border, sabre-rattles its nukes, no major response. Russia launches full scale invasion
2/4
Brief history of deescalation
🔵 Free World sands javelins and stingers. Ukraine repels attack on Kyiv. Deescalates the war
🔵 US sends HIMARS, Ukraine liberates Izyum, Kherson.
🔵 Free World sends air defense kit, Ukraine intercepts Ruscist missiles, saves lives
3/4
📆As we enter year 2023 and #RussiaIsCollapsing in front of our eyes, I wanted to share a Recommended 📚 Reading List on one theme: why we should welcome the final fall of the Ruscist Empire, no fear it.
1️⃣ The Russian Empire Must Die by @anneapplebaum 1/5 theatlantic.com/magazine/archi…
2️⃣ Don’t Be Afraid of a Russian Collapse. By @KristiRaik for @ForeignPolicy
A definitive Ukrainian victory "could one day open up a truly peaceful, post-imperial era in Russia’s relations with its neighbors." 2/5 foreignpolicy.com/2022/12/08/ukr…
3️⃣ Russia must stop being an empire if it is wishes to prosper as a nation. By @TarasKuzio for @ACEurasia
"Russia [in its imperial form] will remain a source of global instability & a threat to 🇪🇺 security while failing to achieve its own potential" 3/5 atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainea…