Thread by @HeliosRunner

!Part 2
1/ Operational situation update/ #russian_invasion in #Ukraine on March 5, 2023
#RussianArmy this week tried to push their tiny advantages here & there as said earlier.
But as we speak, out of #Bakhmut, nothing is really going on "well" for them anywhere.

#UkraineMap

2/ first of, about the north #Kupiansk #Svatove area
General FEBA line remained quite the same for the last couple months even if extremely small yet violent combats are happening everywhere & Ru trying to push back #UAarmy everywhere & vice versa. no real gain. Ru are trying to

3/ to push to 2 main directions, as they clearly want to push the #UAarmy out of #Dvorichna, #Hryanykivka (first) but also to the south in the outskirts of the forest near #Synkivka then they would push through by P79 and try to take into a pincer movement the city of #Koupiansk

4/ This is difficult to know the exact limits reached by Russians but we know that both cities are stilled shelled, and no real reports from Russians regarding a huge advance there.
it is worth noting there is some possible grounds to cross the river north of #Dovrochina, but

5/ in #Novomlynsk there are natural rock formations that are quite enough high grounds compare to the valley to see anyone coming that way. so only recce ops really going on right now in the area. Ru wants to avoid another infamous "river crossing"

6/ Also quick note regarding the future if Russia wanted to try to go through the border, to attack Ukr in their back. the terrain & (absence of) roads are literally a nightmare in that particular area, so there is nothing to fear there IMO in the future!

7/ so basically to finish with that area, we are witnessing the usual, yet not enough Ru troops involved to have any strong success, also they try to reach the limit of the oblast & that's about it for now
Ru shelling also shelled settlements near the contact line, including

8/ #Pishchane, #Kyslivka and #Krokhmalne & #Stelmakhivka
we still can't really assess if they have any real plan out of trying to reach the Oblast limits as nothing really substantial is happening right now.

9/ As for the #Svatove to #Kreminna area. Ru still sending all the "reserve" troops they can in order to "keep" #Ukr at bay, & keep full control south of #Svatove & sadly in ref to last week, #Ukraine have lost some good grounds in some places.
Still fights near #Chervonopopivka

10/ So #Russians are attempting constant assaults towards #Nevske, #Terny #Zarichne as their gen plan remains the same, meaning pushing back the Ukrainians back the river & gaining full control of the Oblast doing so. Also trying to gain back some grounds in the #Serebryanka

11/ Forest without real success.
but the price for Ukrainians is quite high there too. it's a very difficult war fought there for months now. winter never favored one or the other, & mines & absence of proper roads is part of reason it has nullified real success on both sides.

12/ next : The situation in #Bilohorivka is still slightly moving but UKR remain masters. Same in #Spirne or #Verkhnokyamanske
Holding here for months... more than Bakhmut!
Ru r trying to almost everyday & quite often at night recently but #UAarmy stand strong.

#UkraineMap

13/ so I just kept the same map, as month ago, just to show you there is actually no diff whatsoever, but according to Hayday or other sources, it's a real nightmare there too. this small village is shelled every day sometimes worst than some places of 5 times bigger!
it's Hell.

14/ The situation North East of #Bakhmut is for now quite under control & Ukr forces r not being overwhelmed, Ru r still trying to move but with less "envy" bc less men/matierials right now, like in #Rozdolivka #Vesele or #Vasuykivka even in direction of #Vyimka sometimes.

15/ So basically Ru are doing always the same for last 6/7 months and we understand quite well what they are trying to achieve, but they are just dissipating forces, even if they think this is effective, this is utterly stupid. the rule of thumb is one area full force in one go

16/ when you are not able to succeed in 10 diff areas..
the simple fact of spending all these ressources for x months with no results should be a big red alarm to any decent commander.
but #Prigozhin (among other thing) is blinding them with his pseudo "advances" for months

17/ Now regarding the situation in #Bakhmut, Ukrainian defenders repelled the main attacks in the areas of #OrikhovoVasylivka, #DubovoVasylivka, #Hryhorivka, East #Bakhmut & #Khromove
situation is very secure yet very fluid there, so not easy to tell where is the exact frontline

18/ The enemy's artillery has clearly intensified in last days as RU are trying to definitively close that pocket but with no real success as we speak. The contact line in the south of the city is still ok but not near the road to #Kostyantynivka like shown in diff maps.
for now

19/ Ru still on offensive in south West of #Bakhmut but Ukr repelled on attacks on #Ivanivskeke #ChasivYar or #Stupochky
the situation seems to be under control there too because of good positions and also enough materials to get rid of multiple assaults (not enough punch)