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Mar 12 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
Thought of the day: Banks Runs aren't fun, 3rd party risk acceleration in stepping up, the breaking of the system is now at a pivotal point, 👉 markets will react accordingly. Bargain basement equity valuations will abound as risk tops out, fresh asymmetric theme entry for 2H2023
The week ahead for US #financials could see -20-25% corrections if regulators don't act to build confidence with depositors. This could flow into -5-8% S&P500 impact, high beta plays could take a 30% hit. Redux 2008.

The playbook is set....
Looks like depositors have been looked after, hence this will mitigate much of the damage.....recession is still incoming.
High Beta bounce.... Image

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More from @BULLReturns

Cycle Bottom Profile picture
Mar 14
Thought of the day: Investor Survivability & Opportunity Kit for 2023:
- ensure you have 30%+ cash weighting for deployment into fresh asymmetric themes
- ensure you have exited ponzi tech and other rubbish which will implode within the next 12 months
- ensure 9 months cost cover
Last night at lows at a few #regionalbanks approached 0.2x book coupled with survivability features = new asymmetric theme
We expect the fear environment to worsen as the recession hits over the next 9 months, hence one must have coverage of all possible outcomes.

- personal cashflow coverage (9 months of reserves)

- 30% cash stack for opportunistic fresh asymmetric themes deployment
Read 4 tweets
Cycle Bottom Profile picture
Mar 10
Where is the alignment of interest? Avoid the asset collectors, focus in on the performance collectors.
Watch out for the specialists who want their 5 minutes of fame to extend for 40 minutes.

Follow the multi cycle generalists who have seen it all, they are not anchored in peak cycles whereas specialists are.

#tech
#uranium
#cyclicals
#coal
#lithium
What specialists never say?

It's time to sell as valuations are above to collapse by 75%

What seasoned generalists, always do?

Scaled out prior to the peak and have moved on to fresh asymmetric themes.

Who should you be following....who has your back ...

#investing101
Read 4 tweets
Cycle Bottom Profile picture
Mar 9
#auraenergy $AEE the global $1 party is looking set for 2H 2024, entry for those with 1m shares plus

Who is joining us?
1m shares

Cost A$26k at the bottom

Will cost A$335k today

Will be A$1m 2H 2024

......perhaps A$4m through 2028

The power of sitting and compounding $AEE #uranium
Who wants to join the next wealth compounder with us from day one?

What to expect....
A) likely sub $20m starting cap
B) a huge Scalable NPV....50x buy in cap
C) a down and out rear vision mirror picture
D) twitter hate
E) under the radar, no promotion
F) no institutions
Read 5 tweets
Cycle Bottom Profile picture
Mar 9
We provided full guidance on this opportunity over this period....while many were overpaying for explorers and high AISC plays, we did the opposite and shared this widely. $AEE #uranium

The weighing machine works in the end, the voting machine has a shorter life.
Tiris resource will grow to a major deposit within 4 years due to nearology, new DFS out this month....

Haggan a monster mix of battery metals and #uranium has a very low AISC due to the monster credits.....Sweden moving to pro-mining this Month.

Total NPV per share > $4
How did you miss this opportunity?
- you didnt read the DFS or Scoping study
- you went for the over-promoted plays and overpaid
- you listened to those with marketing agendas as opposed to those open for the best value plays in the #uranium space
- you didn't relate NPV to sp
Read 5 tweets
Cycle Bottom Profile picture
Mar 8
We are independent thinkers $WKT 1.2x 2024 (0.6x 2027) CF, $CKA 1.8x 2024 CF (0.4x 2027) and $AEE 1x 2025 CF (0.5x 2028)

#metcoal
#expandablegraphite
#uranium
We won't mention a position unless we own it or are accummulating it (and eventually scaling down, often due to size constraints of our 20 baggers), sometimes in size, we are paid by noone to promote anything. We are asset managers who investor near cycle bottoms.
Many of our core positions are difficult to replicate, hence we are cycle holders, particularly in #uranium.

$CKA while we believe the #coal cycle is against us, the company will scale up to 5mtpa through 2027 and produce 3x it's current cap in cashflow in due course.
Read 4 tweets
Cycle Bottom Profile picture
Mar 8
$AEE outperforming #uranium again today +30% in the last week.

Why?
- few have read the Haggan Scoping Study < $20 AISC
- Sweden is going pro-mining
- Tiris updated DFS pushes the NPV up massively
- #auraenergy is underexposed Vs peers
When we entered into this potential 100 bagger we read everything we could get our hands, as the price fell 65% we tripled up and tripled up again, why?

- it was by far the best value of the whole sector with 2 great #uranium projects
- we worked hard to create alignment ...
....of interests between the board and shareholders to ensure future success.

- we exposed the opportunity to those that had objectivity of thinking

- 2023 will be transformational

$AEE
Read 4 tweets

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